Tuesday, March 22, 2022

Weak?

This is coolbert:

I am apprehensive and nervous with this.

Begins here a series of blog entries, extracts from a thread as seen at Twitter, the subject the perceived poor performance of the Russian military, the Ukraine Conflict.

Tweets of Kamil Galeev. A Russian and an expert [?] on military affairs, soup to nuts.

Mr. Galeev a Fellow at the "The Wilson Center" a self-described independent researcher and journalist" his credentials and curriculum vitae most impressive and impeccable.

To the extracts without further ado some comment on my part as applicable:

[all tweets dated 12 March minus images and video which can be seen at the Twitter thread] .

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* Kamil Galeev

@kamilkazani

"Why Russian army is so weak?

When Russia invaded, experts thought it'd win in 24-72 hours. Two weeks later the war's still going. How come? On paper Russian superiority's overwhelming

Although Russia projects warlike image, its military r weak and don't know how to fight wars­čžÁ"

 Mar 12, 2022·

WAR AS FOUGHT IN THE MANNER OF WORLD WAR TWO, GULF WAR ONE, GULF WAR TWO. MAJOR COMBAT LARGE SCALE UNITS THE OPERATIONAL ART EPITOMIZED.

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* Kamil Galeev

@kamilkazani

·Mar 12

"Notwithstanding with its warlike image, boosted by massive PR campaign, Russian military have nearly zero experience of fighting conventional wars against other regular armies. They were quite successful in suppressing civilian riots ofc, in Hungary 1956, Czechoslovakia 1968, etc."

USA IN CONTRAST FOUGHT KOREA, VIETNAM, GULF WAR ONE AND TWO. MAJOR MILITARY OPERATIONS AT THE OPERATIONAL LEVEL.

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* Kamil Galeev

@kamilkazani

·Mar 12

"Russians were less successful in suppressing guerrilla movements in Afghanistan and Chechnya. Guerrillas didn't much heavy weaponry, didn't have proper air defence. And yet, Russians suffered high casualties and lost the First Chechen War, despite overwhelming material superiority":

The ruins of Grozny evidence of what occurs whem an artillery-centric army fights a war in a major city.

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* Kamil Galeev

@kamilkazani

Mar 12

"Since WWII Russia never fought a conventional war against a regular army. The only exception was Georgia 2008. Russia invaded to support separatist movements in Abkhazia and South Ossetia and defeated tiny Georgian army. That was the closest Russia had to a real war in last 70 y."

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* Kamil Galeev

@kamilkazani

·Mar 12

"Individual Russian military specialists fought in Korea, Vietnam, Angola etc. But army as a whole did not. Russian military machine, from recruitment to logistics, hasn't been checked in a war against a large regular army since 1945. That's the first experiment we're having now"

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* Kamil Galeev

@kamilkazani

·Mar 12

"Since 1945 Russian army fought against enemies neither of which had a regular army of its own. Enemies of Russia had no structure, little training, tiny firepower. To compensate this, Russia heavily invests in propaganda glorifying its military. But what do they really look like?"

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Inference: Russian army sorely lacking in the combat experience as needed for a successful resolution to the Ukraine Conflict. An inability for a variety of reasons to maneuver large bodies of combined arms troops to achieve a strategic objective.

To be continued!

coolbert.






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