Monday, May 16, 2022

Atavistic.


This is coolbert:

Courtesy here the English tabloid "Daily Mail" the article by the distinguished military writer Antony Beever.

Sir Antony Knight Bachelor!

"From the Tsars to the Bolsheviks, Putin is just the latest incarnation of Russia's lust to dominate its borderlands with bloodshed: War historian ANTONY BEEVOR on why the horror in Ukraine was all too predictable"

By ANTONY BEEVOR FOR THE MAIL ON SUNDAY 14 May 2022.

"No country is as much a prisoner of its past as Russia. And no leader has become as much a victim of his own obsessive lies as Vladimir Putin. But where did this tragedy for the Russian people as well as Ukraine begin? And why did we not see this coming after the unspeakable brutality of Putin's conduct of war in Chechnya and Syria, deliberately using barrel bombs and nerve gas against civilian populations?"

"I [Beevor] certainly cannot claim to be one of the very few who had foreseen Putin's reckless gamble of invading Ukraine. I [Beevor] also underestimated the lingering resentment against the West among the majority of largely older Russians who get all their news from Kremlin-controlled media."

"Putin is famous for his pronouncement that the collapse of the Soviet Union was the greatest geo-political disaster of the 20th Century. This was backed by a widespread conviction in Russia that the Cold War had been lost through a dirty trick after the US under Ronald Reagan deliberately outspent them on armaments."

"The consequence of that collapse was war veterans and widows begging in the Metro, after their pensions became worth less than £4 [$ 6 USD] a week."

Devoted readers to the blog please read the remainder of the article. Antony his expertise and knowledge of Russia very good indeed.

THE UKRAINE CONFLICT! WHY? I SUPPOSE ASK TEN DIFFERENT EXPERTS AND YOU WILL GET ELEVEN DIFFERENT ANSWERS. ALL SEEMINGLY VALID.

coolbert.






Formality.

This is coolbert:

Finland and Sweden have NOW resolved to JOIN NATO. And SOONER than LATER.

But with one glitch!

"glitch: noun - 1a: a usually minor malfunction b: a minor problem that causes a temporary setback" 

1. "Finland, Sweden to meet with Turkey over NATO"

5/15/2022, 11:41:28 AM · by Kaslin · 30 replies

First from Hot Air .com ^ | May 15, 2022 | JAZZ SHAW the tip from Freeper.

"We were told to expect a decision 'within days' as to Finland applying for membership in NATO, triggering a threatening response from the Kremlin. That estimate proved to be true. This morning, the President and Prime Minister of Finland held a joint news conference where they announced that Finland’s formal application to join the alliance will be submitted this week following a vote in Parliament that is being described as 'a formality.'"

BUT WITH CONDITIONS.

2. "NATO: Turkey outlines demands on Finland and Sweden membership"

From Deutsche Welle ^ "German Voice" 5/15/2022. Again the tip from Freeper.

"Turkey's Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu on Sunday outlined demands for Finland and Sweden which seek membership in NATO in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Speaking with Turkish reporters after a meeting of NATO foreign ministers in Berlin, he said that Sweden and Finland must stop supporting terrorists in their countries, provide clear security guarantees and lift export bans on Turkey"

NEW MEMBERSHIP IN NATO IS SUBJECT TO UNANIMOUS VOTE OF ALL CONSTITUENT MEMBERS? THIS I WAS NOT AWARE OF.

coolbert.






Fifteen.

This is coolbert:

From the Zubu boys without a whole lot of elaboration on my part.

WHY THE RUSSIAN MILITARY ACTION IN THE UKRAINE IS APPARENTLY FAILING!

I neither say yea or nay. I'm just not saying. You the devoted readers to the blog must draw your conclusions.

May 16, 2022.

"15 Explanations For The Slow But Steady Pace Of Russia’s Special Military Operation"

"15 Explanations For The Slow But Steady Pace Of Russia’s Special Military Operation"

"The present piece will attempt to provide some cogent explanations for helping everyone better understand the evolving military-strategic dynamics at play that are responsible for this."

"Observers across the world are debating the reasons why Russia’s ongoing special military operation in Ukraine is still raging despite over 80 days of fighting. Critics and supporters of that Eurasian Great Power alike largely seemed in agreement that the Kremlin would crush Kiev within a few days, if not a couple weeks at the absolute most."

Merely with regard to item # 1 on the list:

1. "Russia Likely Made A Last-Minute Decision To Launch The Campaign"

"There should be no doubt that the Russian Armed Forces (RAF) planned in advance for multiple scenarios including the possibility of intervening in Ukraine, but it might very well have been that it wasn’t until the last minute that President Putin decided to launch the campaign after exhausting all diplomatic options for averting it, which he might have sincerely believed could have succeeded."

Like I said, devoted readers to the blog must read the entire article and reach their own determination. Expect debate to continue for decades to come. 

coolbert.





Mongoose.


This is coolbert:

Think Donets/Dneiper/Bug/Dneister/Danube delta.

Riverine warfare, the Ukraine Conflict? Who would have thought it?

Courtesy here Commander Salamander.

"Who is Helping Ukraine Build the Riverine Force They Need?"

Naval military units, small boat combat operations inland, often following major rivers upstream frOm the sea or an ocean. Riverine. Here an aspect of the Ukraine Conflict, a SIDESHOW but perhaps other than that in some regard. The Russians are using riverine, the Ukrainian are too. May 16, 2022.

[....]

"The Russians are making better use of the riverine environment"

"Russian patrol boats are racing up the Dnieper River to conduct covert operations deep behind enemy lines, a Ukrainian think tank has said."

"Boats that can reach Kyiv have been seen speeding upstream from the Russian-occupied city of Kherson, the Centre for Defence Studies (CDS) said."

"The Dnieper is the fourth longest river in Europe, measuring 13 miles [twenty-one kilometers] wide at points, and potentially allowing Russian boats to travel deep into Ukrainian-held territory undetected. Defense experts said Russian special forces could be using the missions to mark out targets for air strikes and artillery fire in cities such as Zaporizhzhia, Dnipro and the Ukrainian capital itself."

"The Mangust-class patrol boat, also known as Project 12150, is a Russian Coast Guard vessel. The patrol craft is designed to operate in coastal areas, ports, and other littoral areas, to perform missions like protection of territorial maritime borders, law enforcement, other defense missions, search and rescue, protection of fisheries, and enforcing rules of navigation."

RUSSIAN NAVAL COMMANDO UNITS "FROGMEN" COMBAT SWIMMERS SABOTEURS THEIR MISSION INTELLIGENCE GATHERING, PRESUMABLY ALSO MARKING TARGETS FOR PRECISION-GUIDED MUNITIONS STRIKES.

coolbert.





Startling?

This is coolbert:

Consider this DEBKAfile headline to be both startling and somewhat misleading.

"Iranian cruise missile sent to Hizballah could carry nuclear warhead. Sea blockade planned for Israel"

 May 16, 2022.

"Iran has furnished the Lebanese Hizballah terrorist group with a selection of cruise missiles, including the Kh-55, which is potentially capable of delivering a nuclear warhead. This weapon has a range of 3,000km. This report came from Western intelligence sources on Monday, May 16"

"The Kh-55 was developed by the Soviet Union in the 1970s as an air-launched cruise missile capable of delivering a nuclear warhead. The Iranian conversion [Soumar?] can be launched from land or from a naval vessel."

"While building up a stock of precision-guided surface missiles, Iran’s Lebanese proxy has also, with the help of Iran and Syria, been quietly accumulating a pile of marine cruise missiles, capable of posting a major threat to the Israeli Navy. Its purpose is to clamp a sea blockade on Israel in a war."

A SEA BLOCKADE OF ISRAEL DURING A TIME OF WAR. NOT AN IMMINENT AND UNILATERAL BLOCKADE AS IN THE WORKS.

Hezbollah [best light infantry in the world] an Iranian proxy and not a nation-state actor also possessing with rocket artillery an amount of conventional firepower that cannot even can be matched by medium-sized military powers as Great Britain or France.

AND now cruise missiles that have a capability to carry a nuclear warhead!

coolbert.






SIW.


This is coolbert:

SIW = Self-inflicted Wound.

From the "Daily Beast" the original story by Reuters. "Daily Beast" entry by Allison Quinn 15 May.

Russian soldiers the Ukraine Conflict maiming themselves as to be unfit for combat.

"‘Let Someone Whack You’: Russian Troops Are Now Deliberately Wounding Themselves to Get Out of Putin’s War"

"Russian troops have apparently become so demoralized in Ukraine that they have been concocting ways to injure themselves."

"Nearly 90 days into Vladimir Putin’s “special military operation” in Ukraine, Russian troops have apparently become so demoralized and desperate to quit they’ve begun deliberately injuring themselves."

[....]

"A man identified as a Russian soldier in an air assault brigade based in Ukraine’s Kherson region can be heard venting his frustrations to his mother and explaining why he wants to abandon the fight."

The self-inflicted wound [SIW] a practice hardly confined to the Ukraine Conflict. During the Great War [WW1[ British troops referring to the "blighty wound". Often a SIW of whatever sort not life threatening but allowing a wounded man to avoid future combat.

"Faced with the prospect of being killed or permanently disabled, soldiers sometimes hoped that they would receive what was known as a blighty wound, and be sent back home. There were some cases where soldiers shot themselves in an attempt to end their time on the frontline. Self-inflicted wounds (SIW) was a capital offence and if discovered, a man found guilty of this faced execution by firing-squad. A total of 3,894 men in the British Army were convicted of SIW. None of these men were executed but they all served periods in prison."

Devoted readers to the blog are encouraged to read the linked article spartacus-education.com.

Combat medics and doctors administering to such wounds often quite good at spotting injuries SIW.

coolbert.






Tuesday, May 10, 2022

One-third.

This is coolbert:

Yet one more instance of force majeure as a result of the Ukraine Conflict.

Natural gas flow vital to existence in the European Union to be cut by one-third.

Thanks to the Russian Internet media outlet Russian Times [RT].

"Ukraine turns off Europe-bound gas"

"Kiev cites 'force majeure' to halt a third of Russian transited gas flow to Europe, while Gazprom says there have been no issues that would justify the move"

"Russian gas conglomerate Gazprom has received no confirmation of force majeure or any obstacles to continued transit of gas through a junction in Lugansk Region, the company said on Tuesday, after Ukraine’s operator OGTSU announced it would halt further deliveries starting May 11, due to the presence of 'Russian occupiers.'"

"Gas Transit Services of Ukraine (OGTSU) declared force majeure on Tuesday, saying that it was impossible to continue the transit of gas through a connection point and compressor station located in the Lugansk area. As OGTSU personnel 'cannot carry out operational and technological control' over the Sokhranovka connector point and Novopskov compressor station, the company cannot continue to fulfill its contract obligations, it said." 

"Force majeure . . . is a common clause in contracts which essentially frees both parties from liability or obligation when an extraordinary event or circumstance beyond the control of the parties, such as a war, strike, riot, crime, epidemic or sudden legal changes prevents one or both parties from fulfilling their obligations under the contract." [thanks to the wiki]

Persons or entities under contract because of the war declaring force majeure releasing them from obligations. Forces beyond control making fulfillment of obligations impossible.

This compressor station too close to the battle area, civilian operating personnel to wary to carry ouot their duties for fear of death? That is what this is?

coolbert.






Blurry.

This is coolbert:

More replenishment info of technologically advanced and effective weaponry as sent to the Ukraine from USA military stockpiles. Stinger and Javelin both.

"Stinger and Javelin stocks face unclear future in US"

From shephardmedi.com |by Flavia Camargos Pereira 9th May 2022.

"According to one estimate, one-third of the US Javelin stockpile has been shipped to Ukraine."

[....]

"After donating thousands of Stingers and Javelins to Ukraine, the US is seeking ways to refill its stockpiles in the short term. Although this process will take at the best more than one year, the timescale for the replenishment of those systems remains blurry."

"The donation to Ukraine of thousands of Stinger man-portable missiles (MANPADS) and Javelin ATGMs from DoD stockpiles has raised questions about the capacity of the defense industry to replenish these systems in the short term, and this situation has also led to concerns about the effect on US military" readiness."

"Although it will take (at best) more than 12 months to replenish the US inventory of Stingers and Javelins, the very future of those stocks remains unclear."

AMERICAN MILITARY IS PREPARED [?] TO FIGHT TWO REGIONAL WARS SIMULTANEOUSLY? I DOUBT IT.

Restarting an assembly line, hiring and training workers, finding the micro-semiconductor electronic parts you need, none of that going to be easy. 

U.S. military war-making essential bang stuff stockpiled the situation maybe not critical but tense. 

coolbert.





Mobilization II.

This is coolbert:

From "The Daily Beast" the story by Julia Davis May 9, 2022. That tip from Freeper.

Total mobilization Russian society for the Ukraine effort?

"Putin’s Puppets Admit Their Army Has Been a Total Embarrassment"

As extracted and strictly the comments of a Russian military expert regarding the possibilities of total Russian societal mobilization for the war effort, the Ukraine Conflict.

As is suggested, prospects not good, much less than favorable, such a decision if made the outcome not good. A long protracted conflict if stalemated results hardly auspicious.

"During Friday’s live broadcast of 60 Minutes, retired Colonel Mikhail Khodaryonok made the stunning confession that even mass mobilization in Russia wouldn’t help alter the course of Putin’s stalled invasion of Ukraine. He admitted that Russia would be hard-pressed to replenish its mounting losses in Ukraine, and that sending masses to fight with outdated weapons would be counterproductive because Russia’s arsenal does not measure up to NATO’s top-notch weaponry."

“'Let's imagine the drumroll, the sound of fanfare, and the mobilization is declared. How soon under this mobilization will we get the first fighter aviation regiment? We would get it by New Year's. We don't have the reserves, the pilots, or the planes so the mobilization would be of little help,' Khodaryonok said. 'If tonight, we order new ships to be built, how soon will we get the first one? In two years! That's the deal with mobilization. If we set a goal of forming a new tank division, when would it be ready? I would say in at least 90 days. And it wouldn't be equipped with modern weaponry because we don't have modern weapons and equipment in our reserves.'”

CONSIDER THAT DURING THE SECOND WORLD WAR, ALONE FROM THE RUSSIAN WAR EFFORT, IT TOOK THE OUTPUT OF FOUR FACTORIES TO CONSTRUCT A TOTALLY READY TO GO TOP-OF-THE-LINE T-34 TANK.

A MODERN TANK CURRENTLY IN THE RUSSIAN INVENTORY, SUCH AS THE T-90 NOW TAKES THE OUTPUT OF OVER TWO-HUNDRED FACTORIES!

Sending a normally formed unit of activated reservists into battle with rather antiquated tanks, say of the T-62/64 version mothballed for an extended period only would lead into a slaughter. Simple as that.

Indeed. Much less than auspicious.

coolbert.





Andrejev.

This is coolbert:

9 May memorial ceremony gone bad for the Russian.

"Protesters attack Russian ambassador with paint in Poland"

From the Internet web site "War is Boring" and thanks to same.

"Warsaw — Demonstrators in Warsaw threw red paint at the Russian ambassador, preventing him from placing flowers at a cemetery for Soviet soldiers in Poland on Monday."

"When Russian ambassador Sergey Andrejev arrived at the Soviet Military Cemetery in Warsaw with his delegation, a number of Ukrainian and Polish protesters greeted him with shouts of “murderer” and “fascist”, according to news agency PAP."

"A red liquid was then thrown at Andrejev, the report said, causing the ambassador and his delegation to return to their car."

"May 9 is a holiday [memorial day more accurately] in Russia marking the anniversary of the Soviet victory over Nazi Germany in World War II. The Soviet cemetery in Warsaw was constructed some years after the end of the war and the remains of over 20,000 soldiers who died between 1944 and 1945 are buried there."

Devoted readers to the blog and those perusing only in a casual manner be assured that Bert is not happy with this. Regardless of the Ukraine Conflict and extreme ire directed at the Russian such actions are uncalled for and counter-productive. Desecrations of war memorials or attacking persons gathered at the resting place of the dead soldiers NOT a good thing.

THE VERY PERSON OF AN AMBASSADOR ALSO INVIOLATE. EVEN IN TIMES OF WAR. GENGHIS KHAN HIMSELF KNEW THIS AND OBSERVED SUCH PROTOCOL FASTIDIOUSLY.

coolbert.





Seriousness.

This is coolbert:

Vlad and his threats of nuclear annihilation. How serious must we take the man. Not since the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962 has such talk been bandied about and all the time it seems.

Normally rational people since the beginning of the Ukraine Conflict talking about the use of atomic weapons in almost a cavalier manner, as to expect the big bang to occur and just be prepared for it.

From DW EUROPE. Deutsche Welle. German voice. And thanks to same.

"How serious are Vladimir Putin's nuclear threats?"

"Despite President Putin's statement on Russia's nuclear alert, observers say it's highly unlikely Moscow could actually start a nuclear war. But given Putin's volatility, his threats can't be taken lightly either."

[....] 

"Four cases in which Russia could use nuclear weapons"

"Putin putting the Russian deterrence forces 'into a special mode of combat service' is not, however, widely considered as merely one last step away from declaring nuclear war."

"Russia's nuclear doctrine, which Putin himself approved as recently as 2020, states that the country would only resort to nuclear strikes in one of four cases: * 1. when ballistic missiles were fired at Russia or an ally's territory, * 2. when an enemy used nuclear weapons, * 3. in response to an attack on a Russian nuclear weapons site, or * 4. in response to an attack threatening the very existence of the Russian state."

Doesn't sound so unreal, irrational, or hyper-hysterical to me. Sounds about the same as the atomic stand-off that has existed since the Soviets acquired nuclear weapons in 1949.

I guess the fear is that Vlad in some fit of extreme fit of temper and rage will lose all control of his faculties and produce the Armageddon everyone has long feared. Or the use of tactical battlefield atomic munitions will NOT necessarily result in the obliteration of all mankind.

That is what it is, isn't it??

coolbert.





Der Schlacht.

This is coolbert:

Der Schlacht = The cauldron. The Ukraine Conflict.


The tip from Commander Salamander Tuesday, May 10, 2022.

"Again, the Austrian Army is providing the best briefs on the Russo-Ukrainian War. Col. Markus Reisner, AUT [Austrian] Army sets the benchmark."

"If your German is iffy, you can get English subtitles in settings by going Settings<Subtitles/CC<English."

"The Kursk-Donbas side by side is exceptional at the 13-minute mark."

See the You Tube video. NOW!



Comments:

* This analysis and briefing is the real stuff. Not some television pundits or even ex-military experts making pronouncements the validity of which often questionable.

* Defense is the stronger form of combat. Easier to do, you accomplish more with less. AND as stated, the  Ukrainian has had years to prepare entrenchments of a significant scale.

* Kursk 1943 all over again in the Donbass? German failure at Kursk primarily due to the slowness of the advance AND that too much was expended for too little gain. Kursk 1943, Donbass 2022?

And thank you Commander. Outstanding!

coolbert.






Monday, May 9, 2022

Muted.

This is coolbert:

Morocco? Even Morocco?

From the Internet web site "South Front" and thanks to same.

Without any commentary on my part go see the various video and photo.

1. "HOW VICTORY DAY IS CELEBRATED IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES OF WORLD (PHOTOS, VIDEOS)"

"How Victory Day Is Celebrated In Different Countries Of World (Photos, Videos)"

"Today May, 9 marks the 77th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany in World War II. In order for this to happen, many countries of the world, and above all Europe, took a direct part. However, it is historically recognized that the largest contribution was made by the Soviet Union, which gave a harsh repulse to the Nazi invaders on its territory, causing the deaths of nearly 30 million Soviet citizens."

"Our main task as descendants is not to allow the mixing of politics and history and not to forget the deeds of our ancestors."

I AGREE 100 %. Without qualification or reservation.

This too:

2. "VICTORY DAY CELEBRATIONS IN UKRAINIAN CITIES UNDER RUSSIAN CONTROL (PHOTO, VIDEO)"

Ukrainian cities as now occupied by Russian military forces their Victory Day celebrations.

"Victory Day Celebrations In Ukrainian Cities Under Russian Control (Photo, Video)"

"Today, 9 May, Ukraine’s cities, which went under Russian control, held celebrations to commemorate the anniversary of the USSR’s victory in the Great Patriotic War."

"Thousands of people attended the celebrations, carrying Soviet and Russian flags as well as pictures of their relatives who fought against Nazism in 1941-1945."

I WAS GOING TO SAY NO GRAND PARADE AND MARCH THROUGH MARIUPOL BUT I AM WRONG! NOT GRAND BUT A DIGNIFIED MARCH NONETHELESS!

And thank you South Front!

coolbert.




Scalar.


This is coolbert:

Scalar weapons? Never heard before of such a thing. 

The latest and greatest threat from the Russian? Unstoppable super-weapon technology for which there is no defense. Russia already has deployable such "scalar" systems? Whatever those are.

1. "Russia Has Scalar Technology Weapons That Can Unleash Massive Destruction"

From basedunderground.com the story by Natural News  May 7, 2022.

"Russia has scalar technology weapons that can unleash massive destruction"

"( Natural News ) Russia has claimed that it has made a radical new weapons system that can render enemy satellites and weapons futile. According to Russian makers, it is a 'fundamentally new electronic warfare system' that can be installed on ground-based, as well as air- and sea-borne, carriers."

"The new electronic warfare system is said to be capable of quashing cruise missile and other high-precision weaponry guidance systems and satellite radio-electronic equipment. The system, which sounds like scalar type weaponry, can also target the enemy’s electronic means, military satellites and deck-based, tactical, long-range and strategic aircraft."

Further from stillnessinthestorm.com:

2. "12 Things You Should Know About Scalar Weapons"

1. A POSSIBLE SCALAR WAR SCENARIO

2. HOW WERE SCALAR WAVES DISCOVERED?

3. A CLOSER LOOK AT SCALAR WAVE-FORMS

4. HOW DO SCALAR WEAPONS WORK?

5. WHAT CAN SCALAR WEAPONS DO?

6. SCALAR BEAMS AGAINST INDIVIDUALS

7. SCALAR MIND CONTROL

8. AMERICA’S ‘NO CONTACT’ MASS MIND CONTROLLING NETWORK

9. INDUCING DISEASES WITH SCALAR WAVES

10. TESLA’S TECHNOLOGY WAS SECRETLY CONTINUED BY RUSSIA AND THE NAZIS

11. IS THERE A SECRET WAR GOING IN THE SKIES?

12. WHO ELSE IS CONTINUING TESLA’S SCALAR TECHNOLOGY?

Article by "Silliness in the Storm". What does that say? I guess devoted readers to the blog will have to read the whole article for themselves.

Grandiose weapons with fearsome threat capability were a popular concept during the Cold War Era. Threats of a menacing nature by the Soviet intended to scare the capitalists a favorite technique as engaged in by Nikita Krushchev.

coolbert.






Anti-climactic.

This is coolbert:

Victory Day, Moscow, 9 May anti-climactic in the extreme. Expectations of some big announcements all anticipated but more or less a big nothing??

First repeating and as extracted from the New York Times news section thanks to the tip from Esteban:

"Mr. Putin did not make any major announcements on Monday, concentrating his remarks on paying tribute to the millions of Russians who died in World War II. There had been rampant speculation about whether Mr. Putin might announce a widening of the military draft — an idea that the Kremlin has rejected — or declare victory in Ukraine by citing the territory claimed along the coast.

"Instead, he ended his brief speech with: 'To Russia! To victory! Hooray!' The soldiers arrayed on Red Square responded: 'Hooray!'”

"A different New York Times reporter had a different take on Putin’s speech, but agreed that there were no announcements of policy shifts"

"President Vladimir V. Putin’s speech at the Red Square parade was longer than usual, but did not make any major news. He spent much of it justifying his invasion of Ukraine, describing it as he has in the past as an 'the inevitable, timely and only correct decision.'”

There you have it and just about nothing more needs to be said. No declarations or announcements of:

* Goals achieved, victory. * A general mobilization of Russian society for the war effort. * No parading of Ukrainian prisoners through Moscow.

JUST CONTINUE THE MARCH THEN IN WHATEVER WAY IT TAKES US?

coolbert.





Obligated.


This is coolbert:

Speculations here as to the rather pronounced number of Russian general officers killed during the Ukraine Conflict.

"High Death Toll of Russian Generals in Ukraine a Blow to Military Capability"

From the "Moscow Times" By James Beardsworth

"In a ceremony deserving of his rank, Russian Major General Vladimir Frolov was laid to rest in St. Petersburg’s Serafimovskoe Cemetery, where tens of thousands of victims of World War II are buried."

[....]

"One of the reasons for the higher death toll is that Russian officers are obliged to make more frequent trips to the frontlines than their Western counterparts, according to experts."

“If he [Russian general officer] doesn't get information, and officers are not feeding back information, this draws generals closer to the fighting,” said Sam Cranny-Evans, a military analyst at the Royal United Services Institute, a British think tank.

“Some generals will be friends of Putin, or associates of [Defense Minister Sergei] Shoigu and [army chief Valery] Gerasimov, to a degree in which generals in Western armies are not, so there’ll be a personal responsibility to check everything is going well,” he [Cranny-Evans] said.

Regarding the CV and expertise of Sam Cranny-Evans:

"Sam Cranny-Evans joined RUSI as a Research Analyst in C4ISR in October 2021 having spent five years at the Janes Information Group where he finished as a lead analyst in land warfare platforms. His primary role was the creation and maintenance of the Janes Armored Fighting Vehicles yearbooks and online content set."


Sunday, May 8, 2022

A & D II.

This is coolbert:

Once more, did they or didn't they? Neither affirm or deny is the rule?

The sinking of the Moskva. The USA intelligence services [dark forces] provided the targeting data to the Ukrainian. Such as is alleged.

1. "US Gave Intel Before Ukraine Sank Russian Warship"

Thanks to newsmax.com 05 May 2022.

"The U.S. says it shared intelligence with Ukraine about the location of the Russian missile cruiser Moskva prior to the strike that sank the warship, an incident that was a high-profile failure for Russia's military."

"An American official said Thursday that Ukraine alone decided to target and sink the flagship of Russia's Black Sea Fleet using its own anti-ship missiles. But given Russia's attacks on the Ukrainian coastline from the sea, the U.S. has provided 'a range of intelligence' that includes locations of those ships"

2. "US denies providing Ukraine with targeting information for Russia’s sunken Moskva ship"

5/6/2022, 8:37:51 AM · by conservative98 · 27 replies

From Fox News ^ | May 6, 2022 9:49am EDT | Greg Norman the tip from Freeper.

"In a statement late Thursday, Pentagon Press Secretary John Kirby said 'the Ukrainians have their own intelligence capabilities to track and target Russian naval vessels, as they did in this case.' 'We did not provide Ukraine with specific targeting information for the Moskva,' Kirby added, 'We were not involved in the Ukrainians' decision to strike the ship or in the operation they carried out.'"

AS BEFORE: "KEEP YOUR MOUTH  SHUT IN SUCH CIRCUMSTANCES. YOU ARE ASKING FOR BIG TIME TROUBLE IN THE FUTURE. THIS INDEED THE BEST POLICY."

coolbert.




A & D I.

This is coolbert:

YES or NO?  Well, which is it? Inquiring minds want to know! 

Neither affirm or deny? Keep everyone guessing?

1. "U.S. Intelligence Is Helping Ukraine Kill Russian Generals, Officials Say"

Thanks here to  the New York Times ^ | 4 May 2022 | Julian E. Barnes, Helene Cooper and Eric Schmitt. The tip from Freeper.

"WASHINGTON — The United States has provided intelligence that has helped Ukrainians target and kill many of the Russian generals who have died in action in the Ukraine war, according to senior American officials. Ukrainian officials said they have killed approximately 12 generals on the front lines, a number that has astonished military analysts. The targeting help is part of a classified effort by the Biden administration to provide real-time battlefield intelligence to Ukraine."

2. "Pentagon Denies US Intel Helped Ukrainian Forces Target, Kill Russian Generals"

By Jay Clemons    |   Thursday, 05 May 2022 courtesy newsmax.com

"The Pentagon has denied a sourced report claiming United States intelligence officials helped the Ukrainian armed forces target, or even kill Russian generals in the Russia-Ukraine war."

"'The United States provides battlefield intelligence to help Ukraine defend their country,' said Pentagon press secretary John Kirby on Thursday. ''We do not provide intelligence on the location of senior military leaders on the battlefield, or participate in targeting decisions of the Ukrainian military'."

KEEP YOUR MOUTH  SHUT IN SUCH CIRCUMSTANCES. YOU ARE ASKING FOR BIG TIME TROUBLE IN THE FUTURE. THIS INDEED THE BEST POLICY.

coolbert.





Brigands.

This is coolbert:

More thievery the Ukraine Conflict. Massive amounts of grain allegedly seized by the Russians.

Ramifications of war on the international scale quite often unexpected causing problems for which amelioration is next to nothing. Disruptions occurring now critical grain exports to the world gone presumably for some time to come and beyond grain now.

COSTS AND DWINDLING SUPPLIES BOTH!

1. "Ukraine Accuses Russian Forces Of Stealing 'Hundreds Of Thousands' Of Tons Of Grain"

From RFE/RL and thanks to same.

"Analysts foresee Ukraine's grain output declining by more than half year-on-year in 2022."

"Russian invading forces have stolen 'several hundred thousand tons' of grain in territory they hold, Ukraine’s deputy agriculture minister said on April 30."

“'Today, there are confirmed facts that several hundred thousand tons of grain in total were taken out of the Zaporizhzhya, Kherson, Donetsk, and Luhansk regions,' Taras Vysotskiy told Ukrainian TV.

[....]

"Ukraine is one of the world’s major grain producers and the Russian invasion has curtailed exports, pushing up world grain prices and raising concerns about severe grain shortages in importing countries."

UKRAINIAN GRAIN EXPORTS IN THE SHORTFALL AND MORE THAN LIKELY IN THE LONG TERM GOING TO BE NEXT TO NIL. 

In certain countries [such as Egypt] expect upheaval of a nature that leads to extreme societal instability other nations following suit much to the detriment of worldwide community. 

Read additionally:

2. "Sunflower Oil Is in Short Supply as War Continues in Ukraine"

5/4/2022, 5:05:50 PM · by nickcarraway · 13 replies

Thanks to Freeper the original story as seen at Food & Wine ^ | May 02, 2022 | Jelisa Castrodale.

"Ukraine typically exports about half of the world's sunflower oil supply. The war in Ukraine has entered its third month, and the global supply chain has increasingly been affected by Russia's invasion of its eastern European neighbor. One of the more measurable consequences is both the increasing costs and dwindling supplies of sunflower oil"

Sunflower oil! Even that! Going to be a mad scramble [already is a mad scramble?] for all sorts of agricultural products and hoarding.

Indeed, the sunflower can be seen and is being used as a symbol of Ukrainian resistance to Russian invasion.

coolbert.





Hyperbole.

This is coolbert:

From H.I. Sutton at the  Internet web site "Covert Shores" an evaluation probably 100 correct the danger to the Irish from the Poseidon/Status-6 Russian nuclear-armed nuclear-powered torpedo.

See previous blog entry Russian scare tactics Ireland.

"Russian TV Segment On Poseidon Nuclear Torpedo Destroying Britain Is Misleading"

By H I Sutton 01 May 2022.

"A segment aired on Russia-1, a state-owned TV channel, appears to be aimed at a British audience. The video amounts to a threat, showing how the Poseidon nuclear-armed torpedo could be used to destroy Britain. Wipe if off the map, if the graphic is to be believed."

AND in the process DESTROY all of Ireland as well. [click on below image to see an enlarged view]

"Poseidon is to be taken very seriously. But this video should not. It contains errors and repeats unsubstantiated claims and hyperbole."

[....]

"Poseidon is a new category of weapon, and it has the potential to shape the defense needs of the UK and NATO allies. It threatens to devastate coastal cities, and is a threat to the whole of the UK. It will be very difficult to counter and require new weapons to intercept it. But the Russia-1 segment is not a credible source for information on this threat."

Again, the narrator of those video widely disseminated a KNOWN sycophant for Vlad.

And thank you H.I. Sutton your insights most valuable.

coolbert.




Saturday, May 7, 2022

Scoundrels.

This is coolbert:

"'It is necessary to complete the special operation in Ukraine, in accordance with the goals and objectives that were set, on time,' . . . 'We now see that the Mariupol epic is coming to an end. There remain some notorious scoundrels, the Nazis of 'Azov,' who are joined by the remnants of the 36th Marine Brigade. They are gathered at Azovstal. I think that in the coming days they will be optimized in various ways.'" - - Col.-Gen. Andrey Kartapolov.

OPTIMIZED! Killed, wounded, surrendered, captured!

Declare victory and go home!

From newsmax.com the story by By Theodore Bunker    |   Thursday, 05 May 2022l.

"Russian Duma Member Suggests End to War If Mariupol Captured"

"A leading member of the Russian State Duma [legislator] this week suggested that the war in Ukraine could end if Russian forces capture Mariupol, the Ukrainian port city currently under siege."

Goals of the "special operation" attained on time so say the Russian. An end to the war. And just in time for the 9 May celebration  through Red Square. The cheering throngs. The parading troops. Awards and decorations. Etc. Sure. Got only two days now.

That day of 9 May Victory Day again as close as to a religious ritual and celebration that was possible in the old Soviet Union. Defeat as part of the anti-Hitler coalition glorifying the wonders and accomplishments of communism + the Soviet people. Not any of which was to be minimized.

See all previous blog entries Victory Day as it pertains to the current Ukraine Conflict:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/05/rally.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/05/celebrate.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/05/mobilization.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/05/article-13.html

coolbert.






Vampires.

This is coolbet:

Buryats again. Who would have thought it? A distinct Russian Federation ethnic minority becomes an important topic for discussion.

From Moscow times ^ | 27 April 2022 | Irina Shcherbakhova the tip from Freeper.

"'This War Is a Vampire’: Russian Buryat Activists Protest Ukraine Invasion"

"...Maria Vyushkova uses open-source information to track how many Russian soldiers from the Siberian republic of Buryatia have been killed in the invasion of Ukraine. An ethnic Buryat born in Russia and member of the anti-war Free Buryatia Foundation, Vyushkova analyzes social media posts, official statements and media reports about funerals to estimate the number of Buryat deaths in Ukraine. 'At the moment, activists have gathered information about 1,700 killed Russian soldiers of which 48 or 49 are Buryat. That is 2.8%. In comparison, Buryats only make up 0.3% of the Russian population,' said Vyushkova. The disproportionately high death toll..."

THE UKRAINE CONFLICT DISPROPORTIONATE CASUALTIES THE BURYATS. WILL BE SEEN A CANNON FODDER FOR PUTIN, BURYAT ETHNIC TROOPS MISUSED AND ABUSED!

See previous blog entry mention as made of the Buryats:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/05/buryats.html

coolbert.





SCUBA.

This is coolbert:

"Look, don't touch!"

From the Internet web site divescover.com an article concerning SCUBA diving opportunities the Gallipoli area, military warships as sunk during the WW1 campaign.

Diving in Gallipoli.

"Scuba And Diving Around of the Gallipoli Peninsula offers you the amazing opportunity to dive through the history of the WWI."

"The Gallipoli campaign commenced on 18 March 1915 when the British navy sought to attack Istanbul via the Çanakkale Strait. When their attempt to get through the strait failed, a joint offensive by British, French and Italian fleets was launched on 25 April 1915. Thousands of troops were landed on the peninsula of Gallipoli. But the unexpected Turkish resistance and the military skills of Mustafa Kemal Atatürk led to the failure of this campaign and the Allies withdrew from Gallipoli on 9 January 1916. Over that period several hundreds ships and boats sunk in the coastal waters between Anzac Cove and Suvla Bay on the western side of the peninsula. These included several war ships, landing craft, and lighters carrying troops and provisions."

"Today the locations of 216 of these wrecks have been identified, the most important being the British warships Irresistible, Triumph, Ocean, Majestic and Goliath and the French Bouvet. Normally the boat ride takes just 20 minutes to an hour to reach the diving areas, so that two dives can be completed in a day."

Diving on sunken warships seems to be a popular activity for the amateur diver who desires some excitement beyond the norm and seems to be an OK pastime if you follow the rule "look, don't touch". SCUBA diving of this nature you can well understand not confined to merely the Gallipoli are. 

In the years to come expect the wreck of the Russian warship Moskva to become a popular dive site. Depending on the salvage operation as evidently being currently carried out the Moskva is in shallow enough water [fifty meters/one-hundred fifty feet] of water as to be accessible to the amateur enthusiast.

Diving on the Moskva also might be possible only with the sufferance and prior permission of the Russian. 

Sunken warships with military personnel their remains inside the vessel not recovered of course a war graves site to which special protection status conferred. All proper deference must be maintained at all times. And should be.

coolbert.





Makarov.


This is coolbert:

More Russian naval disaster Black Sea? Does not sound good.

1. "Russian warship Admiral Makarov 'in flames' after Ukrainian missile strike"

Thanks to msn.com  ^ | 5/6/2022 | Will Stewart & Beth Robson & Kieren Williams the tip from Freeper.

"A massive Russian warship was reportedly struck by Ukrainian missiles earlier today in what has been described as 'another failure of the Russian fleet'. The Admiral Makarov was believed to be ablaze after the strike in the Black Sea. Reports suggest it was close to Snake Island and a rescue operation was deployed involving aircraft and boats"

2. "The Russian Frigate ‘Admiral Makarov’ Might Be The Juiciest Target In The Black Sea (It is burning already)"

Story from MSN (Forbes) ^ | 6 May 2022 | David Axe (Forbes).

"After the dramatic sinking of the missile-cruiser Moskva by a Ukrainian missile battery on April 14, the Russian Black Sea Fleet is down to just three major surface combatants. The best and most important of them might be the new missile-frigate Admiral Makarov... Commissioned in 2017, Admiral Makarov is the third, last and most modern vessel in her class"

Ukrainian Neptune at work again? These anti-ship coastal-defense missiles sea-skimming seem to be quite effective. See previous blog entry the You Tube video with simulation of such at attack, surface vessels even when well armed against missile attack quite vulnerable.

This Admiral Makarov story continues even as we speak.

coolbert.





Shannon.

This is coolbert:

American gadflies Ireland. War protesters. 

Ireland, the Shannon airport connection and the transportation of war material.

"Two US veterans fined in Dublin for protest at Shannon Airport"

"US veterans Tarak Kauff and Kenneth Mayers, members of the anti-war organization Veterans for Peace, were fined in Dublin for their 2019 protest at Shannon Airport in Co Clare."

Again from irishcentral.com the story by Kerry O'Shea @kerry_oshea May 04, 2022.

"US military veterans Ken Mayers and Tarak Kauff with a 'Respect Irish Neutrality' banner. VETERANS FOR PEACE"

"US veterans Tarak Kauff, 80, and Kenneth Mayers, 85, received a mixed verdict in Dublin on Tuesday stemming from charges handed to them after they staged a protest at Shannon Airport in Co Clare on March 17, St. Patrick's Day, 2019."

"The two men, both facing the same charges, were found not guilty of the charges of criminal damage and trespass with intent to commit an offense."

"However, by a vote of 10-2, they were both found guilty of interfering with the operation, management, and safety of an airport."

THAT AIRPORT SHANNON IRELAND AN IMPORTANT FACILITY FOR AIRCRAFT ON THE TRANS-ATLANTIC AIR ROUTE, WHETHER COMING OR GOING.

War munitions passing through airport or even in-transit military personnel in uniform often cited as a provocation and violation of Irish strict neutrality!

See previous blog entry as related to the topic:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2021/02/irish.html

coolbert.





Wiped.

This is coolbert:

Ireland atomic war? Ireland?

Russian threats of nuclear war and Ireland "wiped" off the map!     

"'Sinister,' 'shocking,' 'trash' - Irish politicians respond to Russian nuclear wipeout simulation"

"Taoiseach Micheál Martin says an 'apology should be forthcoming' after Russian state TV aired a simulation showing Ireland being wiped out by a Russian nuclear weapon."

From Irish Central Staff @IrishCentral May 04, 2022.

"Ireland is seen being wiped out by a nuclear weapon in a simulation that aired on Russian state TV. TWITTER"

RUSSIAN POSEIDON NUCLEAR-ARMED NUCLEAR-POWERED AUTONOMOUS ROBOT TORPEDO IN ACTION. FIRST THE FIVE-HUNDRED METER HIGH [1,500 FOOT] HIGH TSUNAMI. SECONDLY THE RADIOACTIVITY AT A LEVEL REDERING ALL OF IRELAND A WASTELAND FOR GENERATIONS TO COME!

"Leading Irish politicians have responded to the shocking simulation aired on Russian state TV over the weekend that showed Ireland being obliterated by a nuclear weapon."

“'It is very sinister intimidatory type tactics by the Russian Federation but I don’t think anyone is going to be intimidated by it,' Taoiseach Micheál Martin told reporters on Tuesday when asked about the Russian state TV simulation that aired over the weekend."

Mr. Mike Taoiseach [Prime Minister] don't hold your breath waiting too long for an apology.

See the twitter videos of the threats: [narrator a known Putin sycophant]

https://twitter.com/i/status/1520839304062373892

https://twitter.com/i/status/1520863969094901762

coolbert.





Rally.

This is coolbert:

The Ukraine Conflict the Irish connection. Ireland? The Ukraine Conflict? Ireland?

"An Irish Government agency has refused permission for a pro-Russian rally scheduled to take place in Dublin's Phoenix Park this weekend."

Phoenix Park Dublin? Russians? Now banned!!

"Dublin Pro-Russian 'Victory Day' [9 May] rally banned by Irish government"

"The Office of Public Works said it received an application in January for a rally to take place at the Papal Cross in the park over the weekend of May 7 and 8."

"Members of the Russian community in Ireland had planned to gather at the Papal Cross over the weekend to commemorate "Victory Day", marking Russia's defeat of the Nazis in the Second World War."

"The OPW said organizers of the rally failed to provide a signed indemnity form, submit an event safety management plan, or provide relevant insurance cover for the event."

Failure to provide proof of insurance in case a riot began with property damage. Counter-demonstrators surely would show up to protest the pro-Russian rally in Dublin with the potential for confrontation and fighting.

In all of Ireland anyhow there are how many Russians nationals?

coolbert.





Friday, May 6, 2022

Celebrate.


This is coolbert:

Back to the topic of 9 May Victory Day. Not so much Red Square Moscow this year but rather Mariupol?

From AFP ^ | May 4, 2022 | Joshua Askew the time from Freeper. 

"Russia planning victory parade in Mariupol, says Ukrainian intelligence"

"Russia is planning a military parade in the embattled city of Mariupol, Ukraine's intelligence service said on Wednesday. The parade is set to be held in the south-eastern Ukrainian city on 9 May to coincide with Moscow's Victory Day Parade, which celebrates its victory over Nazi Germany in the Second World War. Mariupol 'will become the center of celebrations', said the Ukrainian Military Intelligence (GUR) in a statement published on Telegram. (snip) Audiences in Russia will also be shown footage of Mariupol rejoicing at having Russian troops in their city"

Mariupol the capture of the city after a LONG and DIFFICULT battle [not still 100 % concluded] a subject for rejoicing in Russia.

Captured Ukrainian troops paraded through the streets. Evidence of Azov battalion neo-Nazi atrocity made apparent and shown to the whole world. Grateful and exuberant citizens of Mariupol beholden to the Russian troops ecstatic in their jubilation. I can see it all now.

NOT QUITE THE LAVISH CEREMONY THE POMP AND CIRCUMSTANCE OF RED SQUARE BUT IT WILL DO?

coolbert.





Impoverished.

This is coolbert:

In for the long haul are we?

"long haul: 1. A difficult task that requires a lot of time and energy to complete. 2. A considerable length of time, an extended period:

Russian recruiting distinct national and impoverished ethnic groups +  the unemployed for military service the Ukraine Conflict. Financial compensation as offered rather tempting for some I might venture.

THIS IS A BAD SIGN IT CAN BE JUSTIFIABLY SUGGESTED!

"Ukrainian intelligence uncovers covert mobilization of the unemployed and 'Cossacks' underway in Russia"

From a Ukrainian source: ukrpravda@gmail.com (Ukrayinska Pravda) May 4, 2022.

Copied in entirety and unashamedly so. Punctuation in all cases I cannot guarantee 100 % correct.

"DENYS KARLOVSKY - WEDNESDAY, MAY 4, 2022, Ukrainian intelligence has established that Russia is carrying out covert mobilization of former military personnel, the unemployed and Russian Cossacks from the southern regions. Source: Report of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Quote: 'To replenish the reserves of the occupying troops, the Russian Federation is continuing covert mobilization measures. The main attention of Ruscist agitators is given to the recruitment of 'volunteers' from among the Russian 'Cossacks' of the Rostov region and the Krasnodar Territory. Also of interest are citizens who have lost their jobs as a result of international sanctions and former military personnel living in other post-Soviet countries' Details: 'In addition, volunteers are also being sought in Primorsky Krai in the Far East. Ukrainian intelligence officers claim that those wishing to go to fight in Ukraine are being offered at least 200,000 rubles [about $3,000 USD] . . . monthly. In the Belgorod, Bryansk and Kursk regions bordering Ukraine, events are being held to recruit those who want to do 'short-term military service under a contract' for up to 3 months. In addition, preparations are being made in these areas for the partial mobilization of the male population in the event of a sharp deterioration in the military operations in Ukraine.'"

MOBILIZATION FROM THE CIVILIAN SECTOR IN SUCH A MERCENARY MANNER CANNOT BE SEEN AS ANYTHING OTHER THAN AN ACKNOWLEDGED RUSSIAN BAD NEWS ITEM. 

coolbert.





Mobilization I.

This is coolbert:

The big day is approaching. 9 May. It will all be anti-climactic? We shall say. But we all wait with bated breath as the saying goes.

"with bated breath: idiom - in a nervous and excited state anticipating what will happen"

"Putin is likely to use Russia's 'Victory Day' on May 9 to reveal plans for the future of his struggling Ukraine war, experts say"

From "Business Insider"  the article by John Haltiwanger May 4, 2022.

"May 9 is Victory Day in Russia, a national celebration commemorating the defeat of Nazi Germany."

"Experts and officials believe Putin could use the day to escalate the war, or even falsely declare victory."

EVERYONE ANTICIPATING THE 9 MAY VICTORY DAY RED SQUARE FOR SOME SORT OF ANNOUNCEMENT OF A GRAND NATURE TO OCCUR.

"Russian President Vladimir Putin is poised to use May 9 to spread propaganda to Russians about the Ukraine war, and could use it as a means of formally ramping up the conflict, experts and officials say."

"Experts are looking for Putin to use May 9 to make a major announcement on the Ukraine war."

Pronouncements that might include but will hardly be limited to: * Declare victory and go home. Objectives attained. * General mobilization of the population and Russian society for a continued protracted war. * Continued threats of global thermonuclear war.

Again, we wait "with bated breath".

coolbert.





Veneer.


This is coolbert:

First it was Crimea. Then it was Donetsk and Luhansk. NOW it is Kherson?

Incorporation into Russia by the will of the voters?

"Russia eyes 'sham referendum' in Kherson, U.S. and Ukrainian officials say"

"In its bid to permanently seize control of the Ukrainian city of Kherson, Russia is looking to hold what U.S. and Ukrainian officials say is a 'sham referendum' on secession."

"By holding an election in Kherson, Russia is aiming 'to try to add a veneer of democratic or electoral legitimacy' to its rule there, Michael Carpenter, the U.S. ambassador to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), said earlier this week."

"Under the pretense of providing Kherson residents welfare payments or humanitarian aid, Russian intelligence operatives are collecting personal data of Ukrainians there in order to commit ballot fraud during the potential referendum, according to Ukrainian military intelligence."

Again the pattern continues. The Russian speaking predominant in an area of the Ukraine as borders defined pre-war restive. A referendum [plebiscite?] is held with the electorate voting to unite with the Russian motherland. [I was going to say homeland but of course in the Russian context motherland more appropriate].

Transnistria Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic ( PMR ) Moldova is next?

coolbert.





Cadieu II.

This is coolbert:

I surely hope this is not so!!

"Canadian general arrested in Mariupol"

From the VOLTAIRE NETWORK | 3 MAY 2022.

"The Russian armed forces arrested Canadian General Trevor Cadieu in Mariupol on the night of 2-3 May 2022. He is currently in Moscow awaiting to stand trial."

"General Trevor Cadieu was apparently not on a mission for his government, but was in charge of bio-laboratory No. 1, with 18 staff working under his command."

General Cadieu having abruptly retired after three decades of service in the Canadian military and hastily having left the country for the Ukraine in a very surprising move. Cadieu under investigation back home for impropriety and depressed? Even the sudden disappearance of Trevor creating a minor stir in Canada.

General Cadieu captured by Russian forces and sent to Moscow for trial? 

THIS MAN HIS SERVICE AT THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF COMMAND PROBABLY VERY KNOWLEDGEABLE IN NATO PLANNING AND POLICY!

If all this true General Cadieu in big time trouble undeniable!

The infamous bio-labs boss. The bio-labs.

coolbert.




RKG-3 AT.

This is coolbert:

Old wine in a new bottle but still tasty?

WW2 style Soviet shaped-charge anti-tank hand-thrown grenade still in use the Ukraine Conflict.

Who would have ever thought it? Mr. Ripley needs to be informed.

RKG-3 useful if dropped or thrown and landing on those most vulnerable top portions of a tank. A strike on the engine compartment might not destroy the armored vehicle but would render immobile.

See this You Tube video the RKG-3 still in use and as dropped from a drone. The tip thanks to "Blazing Cat Fur".


That article from Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty:


By RFE/RL May 05, 2022.

"Ukrainian fighters have found a new use for outdated grenades that is proving spectacularly effective at destroying Russian tanks and other armored vehicles."

"This photo released by Aerorozvidka, an organization that develops Ukraine's use of small drones in warfare, shows a Ukrainian-made octocopter drone with two bomblets mounted beneath it."

"Videos recently released by Aerorozvidka show what appears to be the same, tail-finned explosives being dropped by drone before destroying armored vehicles with catastrophic explosions."

"Weapons trackers following the conflict in Ukraine have identified the bomblets as modified Soviet-era RKG-3 anti-tank grenades with 3D-printed tail fins attached to stabilize their fall from drones."

"The RKG-3 (pictured) is an anti-tank grenade designed in the Soviet Union that was first introduced in 1950. The weapon is the size and weight of a slender bottle of wine and made to be thrown by hand at enemy armored vehicles."

[....]

"Although remarkably effective on impact, the RKG-3 required near-suicidal proximity to enemy vehicles, and when rocket-propelled Soviet anti-tank weapons such as the RPG-7 entered service . . The risky, hand-thrown RKG-3 became largely obsolete."

It IS reputed that various insurgent and terrorists in Iraq and Syria have also used the RKG-3 with some success. I guess would also be effective if hitting a soft-skinned vehicle in a vulnerable area, say the engine compartment.


coolbert.






Thursday, May 5, 2022

Rev. Kentish.


This is coolbert:

From the Internet web site executedtoday.com and thanks to same.

The article by Headsman dated May 4th.

"1943: Rev. Leonard Kentish, kidnapped Australian civilian"

"On lonely scrubland at the Aru Islands port of Dobo on this date [4 May] in 1943, the Japanese military beheaded kidnapped Australian Rev. Leonard Kentish."

The missionary Rev. Kentish meeting a cruel and undeserved fate, WW2.

"Nobody knew his fate at the time — his wife spent years trying to discover it — but the so-called 'Kentish Affair' was one of the true oddities of the Pacific War: a civilian of no particular import to the war effort who was snatched from Australian territorial waters."

[....]

"And then mysteriously, the pilot gestured Rev. Kentish into the vacant seat of his plane, and took off. Kentish was the only prisoner taken, and his countrymen never again laid eyes on him."

[....]

"After World War II, she [the wife of Rev. Kentish] desperately resorted to firing letters to newspaper editors, until an intelligence officer chanced to read one published in the Argus and made the necessary inquiries via U.S. Gen. Douglas MacArthur’s staff in Tokyo to unravel the mystery."

In the clipped official findings: [per the response of the intelligence staff of MacArthur presumably]

1. The Rev KENTISH was taken on board a Jap float plane on Jan 22 43 after it had sunk the patrol vessel HMAS 'PATRICIA CAM' off WESSEL IS.

2. Unfortunately no info can be obtained of the whereabouts of the Rev KENTISH until 13 Apr 43, when he arrived at DOBO.

3. The Rev KENTISH was held at DOBO as a prisoner till the 4 May 43. Throughout this period he was subjected to ill treatment by severe bashings, the most common being punches in the nose and eyes to such an extent that his nose was broken, and he had great difficulty in seeing. His diet, as such, was just sufficient to keep him alive.

4. On the morning of 4 May he was taken in to the scrub, (a distance of under 200 yds [200 meters] from the township of DOBO) where a grave had been prepared, and executed.

5. The execution was carried out by the order of 1st Lieut SAKIDJIMA.

6. The remains of the Rev KENTISH have been recovered, and handed over to Capt STOCKWELL, of the War Graves Unit. They will be transported to AMBON, and buried in the Internees cemetery there.

7. This case is now considered closed. All dates must be treated as approx.

Read further the entire incident of the HMAS Patricia Cam.

There is absolutely no doubt in my mind that the Japanese thought with 100 % certainty that Rev. Kentish was a COASTWATCHER and had functioned as same for the allied effort during the war in the Pacific. COASTWATCHERS their surveillance activity VITAL to the allied cause.

Again, the Rev. Kentish has ultimate fate cruel and undeserved. The Japanese their minds clouded with PARANOIA, emotion overpowering reason, their response unnecessary.

coolbert.





Transparent.

This is coolbert:

Israeli mercenaries fighting WITH neo-Nazi Azov Ukraine? Israeli?

MISLEADING! VERY MISLEADING!

From the palestinianchronicle.com and thanks to same. May 4, 2022.

"Israeli Mercenaries Fight alongside ‘Ukrainian Neo-Nazis’, Moscow Says"

THIS ALL NEEDS TO BE CLARIFIED WITH 100 % TRANSPARENCY SPELLED-OUT AND WITH UNDENIABLE UNDERSTANDING!

"The Russian Foreign Ministry said on Wednesday that Israeli mercenaries are fighting with the ultranationalist [neo-Nazi] Azov Battalion in Ukraine."

"In an interview with Russian Sputnik radio, Maria Zarakhova, a spokeswoman for the Russian Foreign Ministry, said that 'Israeli mercenaries are practically shoulder to shoulder with Azov militants in Ukraine'."

"The Azov Battalion is an ultranationalist, far-right militia that was formed in May 2014 out of the ultra-nationalist Patriot of Ukraine gang and the neo-Nazi Social National Assembly (SNA) group, to fight pro-Russian separatists in the Donbas region."

NOT Israeli mercenaries SENT by the Israeli to fight WITH neo-Nazi groups the Ukraine. Ukrainians who are of Jewish ethnicity and HOLDING dual Ukrainian-Israeli citizenship fighting with Azov battalion! Hardly hired guns soldiers-of-fortune.

This is all Russian PARANOIA and extreme DELUDED thinking that doesn't do anyone any good!

coolbert.





Satanic.

This is coolbert:

The "dark forces" at work. The devil made me do it!

From the English tabloid "Daily Mail the article by By RACHAEL BUNYAN FOR MAILONLINE 4 May 2022 |

"Now Russia accuses Ukraine of using Black Magic: State media says 'Satanic seal of the dark forces' was found at deserted military HQ in propaganda claim"

* "A 'satanic seal' was apparently found on wall of deserted Ukrainian military base" * "Russian state news agency claimed the symbol showed there were signs Ukrainian soldiers were 'practicing black magic'"  * "RIA Novosti claims 'disciples of otherworldly forces tried to consecrate their weapons' so as to give their armory extra energy to deal extra damage"

"A satanic seal -  a symbol believed to hold connections toa a greater supernatural power - was apparently found on the wall of a deserted Ukrainian  military base on the outskirts of the village of Trekhizbenka in the Luhansk region." Thanks the image from RIA Novosti.

Devoted readers to the blog make what you will of this. In the African context this would be referred to as juju or muti. Incantation, supplications, wearing of amulets. During a time of war ensuring success, your adversary reduced to ruin, crushed and subdued, your safety in battle guaranteed!

Remember it works only if you believe it works!

coolbert.













https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10781189/Russian-state-media-says-Satanic-seal-dark-forces-Ukraine-propaganda-claim.html


CVN 73.

This is coolbert:

Military suicides U.S. Navy [USN]. Not such an uncommon event. This however different than most.

A sudden rash of USN suicides beyond norm creating a stir and immediate action taken.

"Father of Navy sailor who died by suicide says son expressed frustrations about work conditions"

Thanks to NBC News, Melissa Chan seen at yahoo.com April 30, 2022.

"Fresh out of high school, Xavier Hunter Sandor radiated with pride as he enlisted in the Navy on Aug. 24, 2021."

[....]

"Then he got his orders. On Jan. 27, he left his family’s home in Shelton, Connecticut, for the first time to serve on the aircraft carrier USS George Washington, as it underwent an extensive overhaul at a Virginia shipyard. He was onboard when he took his life three months later."

"Sandor was the third sailor on the ship to die by suicide in the span of a week this April, according to the Navy and the state chief medical examiner’s office. He had just turned 19, said his father, John Sandor. Sandor loved being in the Navy, and as far as his father knew, only the conditions at work were upsetting him."

[....]

"While most of the roughly 2,700 sailors go home after their shifts, hundreds who live out of state or don’t have off-site housing stay on the George Washington. Those onboard endure nearly uninhabitable conditions, including constant construction noise that makes sleeping after long shifts impossible and a lack of hot water and electricity, according to several sailors."

As previously stated, suicide sailor USN not an uncommon event. Sailor during a patrol on an aircraft carrier or other major warship away from home often for an extended period, half a year or more sometimes. Depressed naval personnel while at sea often develop mental issues with suicidal thoughts. Jump off the stern of the ship, missing for hours or more, never found.

Circumstances regarding these suicides however different.

In this case sailors living onboard a docked vessel while undergoing extensive overhaul [once every fifty years!] confined to an area where normal human habitation impossible, lack of * sleep and just plain ordinary * everyday basic amenities making life nearly unbearable. Depressed sailors with no way out thinking they have only one alternative to a bad situation. 

Hopefully measures as already taken with greatly alleviate what is obviously a very bad situation.

coolbert.





Anemic.

This is coolbert:

If a Pentagon official says it is so it must be so? 

From the newspaper online edition of the "Washington Examiner" the story by Jamie McIntyre, Senior Writer |   | May 03, 2022.

Pentagon appraisal of the current Russian Donbass "grand offensive" less than sanguine!

"Pentagon dismisses Donbas offensive as ‘anemic, tepid, uneven, and risk averse,’ as Russia prepares to annex the region"

"ANEMIC, TEPID, UNEVEN, RISK AVERSE’: The Pentagon is describing Russia’s halting in Ukraine’s eastern Donbas provinces as making 'minimal progress at best,' with 'minor gains' east of the northern cities of Izyum and Popasna, only to give ground back in the face of fierce Ukrainian counterattacks."

So, very, very cautious, very tepid, very uneven work by them on the ground, and in some cases, quite frankly, the best word to describe it would be ‘anemic.’”

TIMID at least that word not used. A word very pejorative in the military use of the word!

Further from the Pentagon official:

“'They're [Russian] still suffering from poor command-and-control, low morale in many units, less-than-ideal logistics,' the official said. 'They still have not solved all their logistics problems, and quite frankly, there's a casualty aversion, a risk and casualty aversion that we continue to see by the Russians now, not just in the air, but on the ground.'”

GERASIMOV HIS TRIP TO THE FRONT [AND WOUNDING] CAN NOW BE BETTER UNDERSTOOD IN CONTEXT OF APPARENT FEEBLE RUSSIAN SUCCESSES IN THE DONBASS? GRAND OFFENSIVE NOT GOING SO GRAND?

coolbert.





Mozart.


This is coolbert:

MY INTUITIVE REACTION INSTANTANEOUS TO THE HEADLINE WAS THE  UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS COULD TEACH THIS RETIRED U.S. MARINE COLONEL A THING OR TWO!

From the online edition of "Newsweek" the article by BY JACK DUTTON ON 4/20/22. 

American guerrilla in the Ukraine? Far from home but having the time of his life? The Russian has Wagner. The American has Mozart.

1. "Who are the Mozart Group? Former U.S. Marine Training Ukrainians in War"

"The Mozart Group is a group of Western veterans that are training fighters in Ukraine, in what reports have described as the Western equivalent to Russian President Vladimir Putin's infamous Wagner Group."

"The Wagner Group—an elite paramilitary force that has been linked to the Russian president—has been deployed to Eastern Ukraine to try to achieve Moscow's military objective of securing the Donbas region. The elite private army—which is also known as Liga—was formed in 2014, during the war in Donbas in Eastern Ukraine and Russia's annexation of Crimea. The group has been linked to war crimes."

"The Mozart Group was established during the war by ex-U.S. commander Colonel Andrew Milburn, the first marine to lead a Special Operations Task Force during the war against the so-called Islamic State."

2. "Retired Marine colonel is teaching Ukrainians how to fight"

From nbcnews.com the article by Ken Dilanian May 3, 2022.

"Andy Milburn commanded a special operations task force fighting the Islamic State in Iraq."

[....]

"Milburn, who retired in 2019 as deputy commander of U.S. special operations forces in the Middle East, traveled to Ukraine in March intending to cover the conflict as a journalist. But he quickly decided he needed to get involved."

"Andy Milburn fought ISIS. Now he leads a team of special operations veterans that trains and equips Ukrainians in the battle against Russia."

ONE MORE FOR THE GIPPER COLONEL! YOU HAVE THE UTMOST RESPECT OF BERT!

coolbert.