Monday, September 26, 2022

Hessians.

This is coolbert:

As it was with G. Washington in 1776 so as it is now with V. Zelensky in 2022?

The Ukrainian maintains the moral high ground and follows the proper path.

"Zelensky promises three protections to Russian soldiers willing to surrender"

From hotair.com the article by KAREN TOWNSEND September 25, 2022.

"Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is promising three protections to Russian soldiers who willingly surrender. Zelensky’s offer comes as Vladimir Putin announced plans to call up 300,000 reservists to replenish the troops who have died in battle. Zelensky delivered his offer directly to Russians as he made his nightly video address."

"Zelensky addressed them in Russian. He said every Russian soldier who surrenders is guaranteed three protections."

ADDRESSING THEM IN RUSSIAN:

1. "You will be treated in a civilized manner, in accordance with all conventions"

2. "No one will know the circumstances of your surrender, no one in Russia will know that your surrender was voluntary"

3. "If you are afraid to return to Russia and do not want an exchange, we will find a way to ensure this as well.”

My instantaneous reaction was the inducements offered by George Washington to the Hessian [German] mercenaries fighting for the British during the American Revolutionary War. Desert and surrender to the American Continental army and you will receive land grants and settlement peaceably so in the aftermath of the conflict.

"This Day In History: Washington Tried to Persuade Hessian Mercenaries to Desert (1776)"

From historycollection.com Ed - August 26, 2016.

Considerable numbers of Hessian mercenaries indeed settling in the USA after the war and quite successfully so. Germans make the best Americans.

See also:

"What Happened to the Captured Hessians?"

Again, the carrot rather than the stick. An offer [inducement] of land, citizenship, a new start in life for a peasant German mercenary almost an unheard offer to good to refuse.

"CARROT-AND-STICK is characterized by the use of both reward and punishment to induce cooperation."

Hessians knowing an offer too good to refuse. Russians conscripts the Ukraine Conflict will react the same way?

coolbert.




Sunday, September 25, 2022

Meteorite.

This is coolbert:

From the Internet web site "South Front" and thanks to same.

"USE OF UR-77 SELF-PROPELLED MINE CLEARANCE ROCKET LAUNCHER IN URBAN WARFARE"

"The UR-77 Meteorit (Russian: УР-77 «Метеорит», lit. 'Meteorite') is a Soviet mine clearing vehicle." 

UR-77 rocket firing mine clearing weapon system. And as being used in the urban warfare setting the Ukraine Conflict. Russian BRUTE FORCE approach on display.

"The vehicle [UR-77] is armed with a launcher and two mine-clearing line charges. When launched, a charge causes a shock wave that destroys or disables all the shells or mines along the area of the line charge (with a width of 6 meters [about eighteen feet] and length up to 90 meters [about two-hundred seventy feet])."

"The UR-77 Meteorite is a Soviet/Russian self-propelled mine clearance rocket launcher. It is based on the 2S1 Gvozdika self-propelled howitzer. It has been in serial production since 1978, replacing the UR-67. The UR-77 is capable of cutting through passages in anti-tank minefields during combat. The passage width is about 6 meters and length is 80 to 90 meters. While not designed for anti-personnel mine clearance, the UR-77 can clear U.S. M14 pressure mines from anti-personnel minefields by creating a clearance width of up to 14 meters [about forty-two feet]."

Go see the embedded videos also all courtesy "South Front". UR-77 in action. Russians throwing everything at the Ukrainian including almost literally the kitchen sink!

[....]

"The mine clearance is carried out by generating a shock wave from the detonation of a payload that affects the mine’s fuse."

COMBAT TESTED EFFECTIVE AND DEADLY INDEED!

coolbert.





Saturday, September 24, 2022

Fellowship.

This is coolbert:

"'If you are a cisgender woman, a transgender woman, non-binary, agender, bigender, two-spirit, demigender, genderfluid, genderqueer, or another form of gender minority, this program is for you,'. . . 'If you are a cisgender man, this program isn’t for you... but we encourage you to check out our spinoff programs, the Patti Grace Smith Fellowship and the Matthew Isakowitz Fellowship Program.'"

"Cisgender: Cisgender (sometimes cissexual or shortened to cis) describes a person whose gender identity corresponds to their sex assigned at birth."

Once again with apprehension and anxiety I discuss a "woke" topic within the military dimension.

"Air Force Academy promotes fellowship that bans ‘cisgender' men: ‘This program isn’t for you’"

"Eligible applicants must be cisgender women, transgender women, non-binary, agender, bigender, two-spirit, demigender, genderfluid or genderqueer"

By Jessica Chasmar | Fox News | September 23, 2022.

"EXCLUSIVE: The United States Air Force Academy (USAFA) in Colorado is encouraging cadets to apply for a fellowship program for 'gender minorities' that specifies 'cisgender' men need not apply."

"The academy sent an email on Sept. 14 informing cadets that the 2023 application for the Brooke Owens Fellowship for 'undergraduate women and gender minorities interested in aerospace' is due by Oct. 10."

I hardly think such an endorsement by the Air Force Academy or for that matter any other U.S. government entity is legal. And if legal surely a violation of some sort of policy. Discrimination if even with good intentions [if discrimination can be ever said to have good intentions] not allowed.

ATTEMPTS AT INCLUSION CANNOT BE VALID IF SUCH EFFORTS INCLUDE EXCLUSION!

To encourage cadets at the academy to even apply for these programs should be strongly condemned. Alumni of the USAFA where are you??

Please also consider the use of that word and term "fellowship" within context.

coolbert. 





Ukrops.

This is coolbert:

"A sucker born every minute!"

False flag the Ukraine Conflict! Courtesy Russian Internet "Dark Web" operatives.

"Undercover With Russia’s Fake Arms Dealers"

From blazingcatfur.ca and thanks to same.

"Russian state TV claims Ukrainians are selling US-donated weapons on the dark web. The BBC investigated one such marketplace, spoke undercover to those apparently selling weapons, and gathered evidence that suggests the adverts for weapons are fake."

“'Ukrops [a derogatory Russian slang term used to refer to Ukrainians] are selling Javelins on the darknet. The command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine resells equipment and weapons supplied by Nato.' This message about anti-tank weapons was posted on Twitter and Telegram on 2 June by pro-Kremlin English-language account ASB Military News."

WARNING: All devoted readers to the blog and those merely perusing casually. Military-grade ordnance of whatever type you CAN buy via the Dark Web more than likely defective. You will KILL yourself just trying to fire whatever weapon it is.

$30,000 USD for a Javelin a tidy sum indeed! 

coolbert.





Friday, September 23, 2022

SDAP II.

This is coolbert:

Remarkable. Special duty pay U.S Airforce not to be reduced.

Only about 10 % of the USAF personnel receiving such SDAP additional pay rest assured deliverance has arrived..

From www.doffeeordie.com article by Matt White September 21, 2022.

"AIR FORCE ‘FLIPS,’ SAYS SPECIAL OPS, RECRUITERS, AND OTHERS WON’T FACE PAY CUTS"

"Hundreds of Air Force special ops troops, recruiters, cryptology specialists, and others with high-tempo jobs will not see pay cuts next month."

"Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall announced at the annual Air & Space Forces Association’s conference this week that planned reductions to special duty assignment pay, or SDAP, would not go into effect in October. About 30,000 airmen, or slightly less than 10% of the active-duty force, receive SDAP pay each month, which can vary from $75 for junior troops to as high as $450 for senior leaders."

"The pay goes to most troops in the service’s special ops jobs, as well as those in high-intensity jobs around national defense assets like nuclear weapons, cryptology, and airborne command posts. SDAP also goes to several public-facing jobs, like flight attendants and crew chiefs on VIP jets, contracting troops, those assigned to presidential details, and professional military education instructors."

SDAP as a result of budget shortfall the plan was: "half their special pay in October due to the budget shortfall, with the other half going away in 2024"

Let me reiterate this was not a "cut" in base pay but a "cut" in special duty pay for those personnel their assignment and function in such a category.

I might suggest too that this pay "cut" created a minor hubbub in the ranks that prompted the higher-ups to reconsider their original decision. No need to create rancor in the ranks when none needed.

coolbert.





Thursday, September 22, 2022

Counterfeit.

This is coolbert:

More bad American combat warplanes ejection seats!

"F-16 Pilot Died Because His Ejection Seat May Have Been Counterfeit"

From www.zerohedge.com BY TYLER DURDEN original story Rachel Cohen of DefenseNews | SEP 16, 2022.

"An Air Force investigation of a fatal fighter jet crash in 2020 quietly discovered that key components of the pilot’s ejection seat may have been counterfeit, Air Force Times has learned."

"First Lt. David Schmitz, an F-16 Fighting Falcon pilot at South Carolina’s Shaw Air Force Base, died June 30, 2020, when his ejection seat malfunctioned as he tried to escape from a failed nighttime landing. He was 32."

"The Air Force’s official inquiry in the months following the accident found that electronics inside the seat were scratched, unevenly sanded and showed otherwise shoddy craftsmanship."

Comments:

* Counterfeit as meaning perhaps active electronic component of lesser than MILSPEC level quality?

* Defective circuit boards normally returned to depot for repair. Replacing a defective component in a circuit board with a corrosion-resistant conformal coating rather difficult. Coating must be removed, part replaced, conformal coating once again applied.

* F-16 has been around for a long time. I assume a number of ejections from the warplane have already occurred. But until this time no real problems were found? Defective or "shoddy craftsmanship" a depot problem?

coolbert.




Flight.

This is coolbert:

Flight here that word here as having several meanings!

Russian young men again immediately in the aftermath of the partial mobilization of the Russian military as announced by President Putin attempting to avoid military service?

"Russian airlines ordered to stop selling tickets to Russian men aged 18 to 65"

From AirLive ^ | 9/21/2022 | Staff the tip from Freeper.

"Russian airlines have stopped selling tickets to Russian men aged 18 to 65 unless they can provide evidence of approval to travel from the Ministry of Defense. All flights from Russia to available foreign destinations were sold out Wednesday after President Vladimir Putin declared a “partial” mobilization of the country’s 25 million reservists. Flights from Moscow to the capitals of Georgia, Turkey and Armenia — which do not require visas for Russians — for Sept. 21 were unavailable within minutes of Putin’s announcement, according to Russia’s top travel planning website aviasales.ru."

These persons seeking immediate departure from Russia might be Russian citizens but not Great Russians as of the Russian ethnicity. Georgians, Armenians. Persons who see the Russian fight in Ukraine as NOT their fight.

Allow me to reiterate the Russian government attitude:

"Anti-patriotic (actions or diction) and military service-related ill behaviors are the worst crimes which celebrities and public figures should never be making. Those are even worse than physical violation and drug issues"

coolbert.




Bones.

This is coolbert:

"Anti-patriotic (actions or diction) and military service-related ill behaviors are the worst crimes which celebrities and public figures should never be making. Those are even worse than physical violation and drug issues… In case of military service, the condemnation can follow the person (who committed fraud in relevant fields) for years like a scarlet letter. These two issues are inexcusable… Male entertainers, out of fear that their fame will fade and their names be forgotten, commit various illicit acts to get exempted from military duty. But I sincerely hope that they can stop the act."

Fallout from the announcement by Vlad Putin of a partial mobilization of Russian military reservists for the Ukraine Conflict.

"Search requests for how to break limbs 'painlessly' trend after Putin’s ‘mobilization’ announcement"

"Flights out of Russia quickly sold out following the announcement of the country's first military mobilization since the Second World War"

Thanks to the National Post Staff Sep 21, 2022  •  

"Google saw a spike in searches for how to break a limb painlessly in the wake of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s mass mobilization order, according to media reports."

"In what would be Russia’s first mobilization since the Second World War, Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said in a televised interview that 300,000 reservists with relevant combat and service experience initially would be mobilized. The reservists’ main task, according to Shoigu, will be to reinforce the front line in Ukraine, which is currently over 1,000 kilometres long [about six-hundred miles]."

Is there a way to break bones painlessly? Rather I would not like to even find out. Cutting off the index fingers of both hands also a way to go? I speak in a jocular but somewhat serious manner. 

Such behavior also in peacetime to avoid a mobilization or even conscription hardly confined to Russia. See this item a young South Korean celebrity figure having his four front [?] teeth pulled to avoid conscription".

coolbert.





Grumble III.

This is coolbert:

More Russian S-300 missiles for the Ukraine Conflict. Ballistic role.

"Russia Transfers Old St. Petersburg Defense Missiles To Ukraine Front: Report"

From www.zerohedge.com the article BY TYLER DURDEN | SEP 19, 2022.

"Finland’s Yle broadcaster said in a lengthy investigative report issued Sunday that Russia's military has taken the unprecedented step of moving old anti-aircraft missile systems to its captured regions of Ukraine amid an ongoing shortage of advanced weapons."

Russian S-300 surface-to-air missiles being moved to the Ukrainian front. To be used more than likely in the ballistic missile ground attack mode!

"Finnish military expert Marko Eklund was cited in the report as saying at least four anti-aircraft missile installations which surround St. Petersburg had been 'emptied of equipment' as of August and early September."

"The Yle report relies heavily on satellite imagery analysis which purports to show the transfers away from the Petersburg bases."

Isn't it just amazing and remarkable that technology once only within the purview of those persons functioning at the highest governmental positions of national security is now available almost to one and all!

"The Finnish expert explained 'It is most likely that the equipment that has been removed is primarily from the old S-300 system.' Eklund further said that St. Petersburg air defense capabilities are still intact given that all or most of the equipment moved included older, or less advanced technology"

Older S-300 system being replaced by the more modern S-400 air defense missiles. Air Defenses St. Petersburg hardly less well defended.

See previous blog entries S-300 missile being employed in the ballistic missile role rather than anti-aircraft:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/09/grumble-ii.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/07/grumble-ssm.html

coolbert.





Wednesday, September 21, 2022

Heavy-handed.

This is coolbert:

Here with a retweet by Hernan Cortes the original from Dmitri.

Russian partial military mobilization to be backed up by rather draconian measures. New "amendment" to existing law punishing shirkers, malingerers and those less-than-willing to participate in the Ukraine Conflict.

We are not at the Stalinist level of forced compliance. But taking a step in that direction without question.

Click on image to see an enlarged view. 

* "Voluntary surrender, looting and unauthorized leaving from a unit during the period of hostilities entails imprisonment of up to 15 years."

Like I said, not quite up to Stalinist standards. Old Joe during WW2 punishing those who surrendered twenty-five years in the Gulag from which I imagine few surviving their ordeal.

coolbert.





Bluff.

This is coolbert:

Item # 2 follows item # 1 in order.

1. "4 Ukrainian regions schedule votes this week to join Russia"

From the AP article By JON GAMBRELL September 20, 2022 courtesy the Press Democratic.

"KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — Russian-controlled regions of eastern and southern Ukraine announced plans Tuesday to start voting this week to become integral parts of Russia. The concerted and quickening Kremlin-backed efforts to swallow up four regions could set the stage for Moscow to escalate the war following Ukrainian successes on the battlefield."

Those four regions and areas to include

"Luhansk, Kherson and partly Russian-controlled Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk regions"

Predominantly Russian-speaking regions of Ukraine voting in what will be seen as a sham election to join the Russian federation. It can reasonably be inferred that international recognition is not going to be forthcoming. Protracted war without a negotiated settlement now a given!

2. "Putin sets partial military call-up, won’t ‘bluff’ on nukes"

More thanks to the AP the story By KARL RITTER Sept. 21, 2022. (Russian Presidential Press Service via AP).

"KYIV, Ukraine (AP) — Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered a partial mobilization of reservists in Russia on Wednesday, risking a deeply unpopular step that follows a string of humiliating setbacks for his troops nearly seven months after invading Ukraine."

"It’s the first call-up in Russia since World War II and is sure to further fuel tensions with the Western backers of Ukraine, who derided the move as an act of weakness. The move also sent Russians scrambling to buy plane tickets out of the country."

[....]

"The Russian leader, in a seven-minute televised address to the nation aired Wednesday morning, also warned the West that he isn’t bluffing over using all the means at his disposal to protect Russia’s territory, in what appeared to be a veiled reference to Russia’s nuclear capability."

Weapons of Mass destruction [WMD] Russian style. ABC. Atomic, biological, chemical. The Russian still has a capability for biological and chemical warfare or was that all dismantled? Atomics with tactical warheads assuredly they do exist and are on-call.

Threats of Vlad must be taken seriously. If I was in a major position of power I would taking his comments most seriously. And with good reason.

coolbert.





Tuesday, September 20, 2022

2B25.

This is coolbert:

More mortar stuff the Russian army.

"New mortars for the Russian Army"

From www.edrmagazine.eu the story By Paolo Valpolini 29/08/2018.

"While increasing the firepower of its long-range artillery, the Russian Army is not neglecting the 'infantryman artillery', that is mortars. Two new systems of that category were exhibited in the Uralvagonzavod stand, both in the 82 mm caliber, the mortars being developed by the Burevestnik Institute."

Two new Russian infantry mortars. One a standard mortar of 82 mm caliber and designed with mountain and airborne units in mind. The second a spigot mortar presumably to be used by Russian special purpose [spetsnaz] units. That spigot mortar referred to as "silenced".

See the You Tube video a description of the spigot mortar 2B25.


"The Russian 2B25 Mortar is often described in the media as 'cutting edge' but its actually based on century old technology - it's a spigot mortar! In this video we'll explore how the 2B25 works and just what is a 'spigot mortar'!"

Traditionally as mentioned in the previous blog entry the Soviet/Russian army infatuated and very fond of larger-sized mortars, cast-iron smooth-bore weapons firing cast-iron mortar bombs [rounds in American military parlance]. You can manufacture many more cheaper and easier.

Now the Russian goes more for high-tech mortars?

That one Soviet spetsnaz troop with combat experience in Afghan said the only western nation small-arms superior to the Soviet version were American mortars.

It is easy for me to imagine the spetsnaz unit attacking and destroying NATO warplanes parked on the tarmac with this mortar. No need to get within whites-of-the-eyes distance.

coolbert.







Snow.

This is coolbert:

Alarmist but somewhat meaningless headline courtesy Hal Turner.

NOT the rasputitsa of the Ukrainian black earth steppe-land. Snow the Carpathian Mountains.

"First Snow Reaches Ukraine; Europe Headed into COLD, DARK, (Deadly) Winter"

WORLD | HAL TURNER | 18 SEPTEMBER 2022.

"First Snow Reaches Ukraine; Europe Headed into COLD, DARK, (Deadly) Winter"

"This morning, September 18, 2022, in the far southwestern region of Ukraine, the first snow fell in the Carpathian Mountains.  Winter is coming, and soon, western Europe will be plunged into a COLD, DARK, deadly time . . . because Europe has sanctioned Russian natural gas and oil; and will freeze to death from their own actions!"

You can well imagine that snow at this time of year in the high mountain area of the Carpathians not so unusual. A prelude that signals however an urgency to western Europe and the EU finding alternative sources of energy.

Rasputitsa prior to the cold of a Russian winter both in spring and fall making a war of movement historically impossible. 

Troops if not equipped with uniforms and shelter adequate for winter warfare the non-battlefield casualties from the cold more than actual injuries from combat action!

coolbert.




M-83A.

This is coolbert:

russian as spelled here with lower case letter r in a deliberate manner. Indicating a contempt for.

Chinese war munitions and weapon systems already reaching the Ukrainian Conflict? As promised by Xi and now given to Vlad.

​"Chinese-made Bombs Were Found on russian Troop’s Positions Captured by Ukraine’s Military
 (Video)
"

From Defense Express ukr.defense.news September 17, 2022 and thanks to same.

"60mm M-83A mortar bomb found on russian troop’s position"

Projectiles as fired from mortars called "bomb" in all military other than USA. 

"This finding may indicate that the russian troops are forced to use Chinese ammunition due to the lack of their own"

"Warriors of the Armed Forces of Ukraine found Chinese-made mortar bombs at one of the positions left by the russian troops. These are 60mm munitions that are fairly easily identified as Chinese 60mm M-83A, a high-explosive (HE), fin stabilized, fragmentation mortar bombs."

No where can I find a reference that the Soviet/Russian army ever used a mortar of LESS than 82 mm caliber. The Russian traditionally enthralled by large sized mortars, the bigger the better. Mortars too cast-iron not rifled and firing a cast-iron bomb.

You CANNOT fire a 60 mm mortar bomb from a 82 mm tube? I guess that is correct but my knowledge is limited in this regard.

coolbert.





Monday, September 19, 2022

Taran-M.

This is coolbert:

In a planned and orderly withdrawal from the battlefield such important equipment would not abandoned. And if was left behind would have been destroyed?

"Ukraine Just Captured Another Rare Russian Electronic Warfare [EW] Vehicle"

BY ADMIN · September 16 2022 original story from autonews.cc

Russian Taran-M electronic-warfare equipment of value captured the Kharkov sector?

"The potential intelligence windfall from the electronic warfare battle in Ukraine continues, with the first confirmed capture of a vehicle from the Russian Taran-M signals intelligence, or SIGINT, system. The vehicle, captured by Ukrainian forces in the ongoing counter-offensive in the east of the country, is the latest addition to a growing collection of seized modern Russian electronic warfare (EW) equipment, which ranges from containerized components of vehicle-borne systems to airborne jamming pods."

"The R-381T2M doesn’t perhaps offer the kind of intelligence goldmine as the Krasukha-4 mobile EW system, part of which was captured by Ukraine earlier in the war. Nevertheless, it still would be of very significant interest to military intelligence agencies, especially those of the United States, providing an idea of the kinds of battlefield SIGINT capabilities that Russia can currently bring to bear, as well as its differences compared to the original Taran system."

Comments:

* Consider this only a partial capture the Taran-M EW system?

* Documents and operational personnel the Taran-M also captured? 

* American intelligence services I am sure immensely interested in the Taran-M.

Consider this once again this capture an indicator the Russian withdrawal the Kharkov sector not so planned and done in a cool and deliberate manner. Such valuable equipment would not be left behind so easily?

coolbert.





Festivities.


This is coolbert:

Demonstration of Russian military prowess only nine miles from the border between Russian and Norway. "Day of the Tanker" it is called.

A celebration without much to celebrate about?

"Tankers day celebrated in Pechenga despite reports of massive new war losses"

"An unconfirmed Ukrainian military source claims that up to 250 soldiers from the Northern Fleet’s 200th Motorized Rifle Brigade in Pechenga are killed in the latest counter-offensive in the Kharkiv region."

Once more from thebarentsobserver.com the story by Thomas Nilsen September 11, 2022.

"There were few signs of mourning as people flocked to the ‘tankodrome’ near Korzunovo on Sunday to celebrate the Day of the Tanker, an annual military festive in Russia honoring soldiers driving tanks."

"The venue is next to an abandoned cold war air base, some 15 kilometers [about nine miles] from Russia’s border with Norway. It serves as a training ground for the fleet of T-80 battle tanks, of which most are sent south and take part in Putin’s onslaught on Ukraine."

Elements of the Russian 200th Motorized Rifle Brigade heavily involved in the recent fighting the Kharkov sector. Sustaining severe losses? This will not go over well in Pechenga.

Go see the embedded videos of Russian tanker driving skills. Demonstration topped off by a firing of the tank main gun.

See previous blog entries the topic the Russian 200th Motorized Rifle Brigade:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/08/eliminated.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/07/200th-motorized.html

coolbert.





Contribution.


This is coolbert:

The Komi people go to war. Doing their bit for the Russian side the Ukrainian Conflict.

Komi people? Yet one more Russian military unit with a distinct ethnicity.

Recruits from the far north, the Komi Republic.

"Here Komi fighters go to war"

From thebarentsobsaerver.com the story by Atle Staalesen. September 02, 2022.

"Regional Governor Vladimir Uiba says the warriors from his Komi Republic will be a an important 'contribution to great victory.' But the group of men that this week was sent to the battlefields in Ukraine did not look victorious.

“'The Republic of Komi and the whole country are proud of you,' regional leader Vladimir Uiba underlined to the about 30 men that were lined up in a ceremony ahead of their departure to Ukraine.

“'For us, this unit is a contribution to the great victory,' Uiba told journalists after the staged show that took place in Severomorsk-3, the Northern Fleet air base outside Murmansk."

Russian army Ukraine Conflict consisting of ethnically distinct combat units already have seen combat to include the Chechens, Buryats and now Komi.

Komi as best I can determine related to the Sami people quite often referred to as Lapps or Lapplanders.

coolbert.





Sunday, September 18, 2022

SDAP.

This is coolbert:

Special Duty Assignment Pay = SDAP is designed to recognize Service members assigned duties determined to be extremely demanding, require a greater than normal degree of responsibility or difficult, or require special qualifications.

From sofrep.com Sep 7, 2022.

U.S. Air Force cheap. Airmen their pay to be cut?

"Military Pay Cut: Air Force Airmen’s Salary is Next"

"SOFREP has just reported about the pay cuts for Air Force recruiters that amounts to $900 in losses in their annual salary. We have also extensively covered the marketing problem in the military’s recruitment and the massive challenge of different US military branches failing to hit recruitment numbers for years since the Iraq war. Still, we have learned that military recruitment woes are not stopping there."

[....]

Here is a list [only partial.] of Air Force positions that would receive pay cuts starting Oct. 1:

" * Recruiters * Basic * Military * Training instructors * Human Intelligence debriefers * Combat Controllers * Pararescue operators" 

AIR FORCE PERSONNEL ACROSS THE BOARD PLEASE BE ASSURED THAT YOUR BASIC PAY FOR TIME AND GRADE NOT GOING TO BE CUT.

SDAP only for personnel with certain job skills beyond norm. 

Back in my day you had additional add-ons to your basic pay to include [but again not limited to] overseas pay, hardship tour pay, parachute pay, demolition pay, proficiency pay, etc.

PAY CUT nor ordinarily as we understand a PAY CUT!

coolbert.





Completion.

This is coolbert:

The Poles have responded. The deed is done. See previous blog entry the "Baltic Strip".

The sole existing point of entry/exit the Vistula river/lagoon and the Baltic now bypassed. 

"Poland Opens New Canal Intended to Bypass Russia"

From BREITBART LONDON 17 Sep 2022.

"WARSAW, Poland (AP) – Poland’s top leaders celebrated the opening Saturday of a new – albeit unfinished – canal that they say will mean ships no longer must secure Russia’s permission to sail from the Baltic Sea to the ports of the Vistula Lagoon."

A CANAL THE CONSTRUCTION OF WHICH WAS STRONGLY ENCOURAGED BY NATO AND THE USA.

"The event was timed to mark 83 years since the Soviet invasion of Poland during World War II and to demonstrate symbolically the end of Moscow’s say on the economy and development of a region that borders Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave. The government says the waterway gives Poland full sovereignty in the northeastern region, which needs investment and economic development."

PERMISSION OF THE RUSSIAN NO LONGER NEEDED!

YES indeed! The Soviet invasion of Poland WW2 1939. Result of the Molotov-Ribbentrop non-aggression treaty. Poland as a nation-state obliterated. 

The Poles generally speaking have a highly developed sense of national honor. Being able to do business as a sovereign nation without the sufferance of the Russian high on the agenda.

coolbert.





Saturday, September 17, 2022

Drawdown.

This is coolbert:

“There’s an ongoing debate about the nature of the Russian drawdown, however it’s likely that in strict military terms, this was a withdrawal, ordered and sanctioned by the general staff, rather than an outright collapse.” 

The Ukrainian counter-offensive the Kharkov sector a resounding victory. Or a gain without a lot of consequence substance. You the devoted reader to the blog have to read between the lines.

"read between the lines: verb - to infer a meaning that is not stated explicitly"

1. "BATTLE FOR KHARKOV REGION: HAS NATO GAINED ADVANTAGE?"

From the Internet web site southfront.org and thanks to same. 9 September 2022.

Consider this web site to be unabashedly and unashamedly pro-Russian. To an extent but as to what extent rapeatedly making highly exaggerated claims the Ukraine Conflict. 

"The offensive operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and NATO in the Kharkov region was planned by the US military command. About 200 units of heavy military vehicles and up to 9 thousand soldiers were involved in the offensive. Reportedly, every third soldier operating under the Ukrainian chevron was a citizen of a NATO member state. These forces were 4-5 times superior to the units of the DPR, LPR and Russia defending their positions in the region."

RUSSIAN MAIN FORCE [1 GTA] THE KHARKOV SECTOR HAVING BEEN WITHDRAWN JUST PRIOR TO THE UKRAINIAN COUNTER-OFFENSIVE IN A PLANNED MANNER. SKELETAL COVERING FORCE THE ONLY RUSSIAN UNITS IN THE AREA OVERWHELMED!

2. "The Kharkov Counterattack – No Big Success – No Large Defeat"

From www.floppingaces.net the article by Curt on 14 September, 2022.

"The ‘western’ media are euphoric about the ‘successful’ Ukrainian counterattack in Kharkov oblast."

Western media sources ecstatic almost beyond measure the Ukrainian counter-offensive the Kharkov sector.

Not so fast comrade!

"The main Russian forces had already left the area. What was left were sentry guards of the Luhansk People’s Republic and a few companies of the Russian National Guard which is more or less a police force."

You have the two extremes. One a tremendous Ukrainian victory undisputable. The other a less than impressive Ukrainian advance with Russian battlefield losses far less than claimed.

And the truth is somewhere in between?

coolbert.





Friday, September 16, 2022

Encouragement.

This is coolbert:

I hardly think these are "secret" codes. QR code establishing conditions allowing Russian soldiers to safely surrender to the Ukrainian.

"SCAN TO SURVIVE Bizarre secret codes being handed to fleeing Russian troops on ‘surrender cards’ to help them escape war alive"

From The Sun ^ | 12:55, 14 Sep 2022 | Anthony Blair the tip from Freeper.

"UKRAINE has been handing out 'surrender cards' to Russian soldiers containing secret codes with advice on how they can return home alive, reports have claimed. The cards feature a message in Russian for Vlad's invading forces, as well as a QR code on the back with links to further information on how soldiers can surrender to Ukraine"

Indeed surrendering on the battlefield can be a very risky business. Your adversary may not be in any position for a variety or reasons to take prisoners. Especially you do not want to try to surrender to an armored vehicle of any type. The crew of the vehicle cannot detail one man to guard you and at the same time cannot just let you go. You might might get shot dead on the spot!!

coolbert.




Contaminated.

This is coolbert:

All items here courtesy the Internet web site interestingengineering.com

1. "This new technology that detects deadly landmines with 92% accuracy could help Ukraine"

Article by Baba Tamim Sep 11, 2022.

"160,000 square kilometers [about 96,000 square miles] of the Ukrainian territory of land may be 'contaminated' by landmines."

We are not even including unexploded tube artillery rounds, a fairly high percentage of which fail to detonate. Demining that eternal threat for which there is NO easy solution and possibly never will be.

2. "Ukraine has allegedly captured one of Russia's most advanced aerial electronic warfare pods"

Article by Ameya Paleja Sep 13, 2022.

"It could be a boon for U.S. intelligence."

This is one pod of the two-pod SAP 518-SM or Regata aviation electronic-warfare system. 

Indeed will be a boon for the intelligence of many nations as possibly might face a future confrontation or war with the Russians. 

3. "Video: Ukraine Air Force retrofits modern anti-radar missiles into analog cockpits"

"The MiG-29s can now fire U.S.-supplied anti-radar missiles."

HARM American anti-radar missiles now in use with Soviet/Russian era combat aviation. Conversion completed successfully in record time!

4. "Watch Ukrainian soldiers use motorcycle sidecars for missile launches"

Article by Ameya Paleja Jul 8, 2022.

"Could they trouble the Russian invaders?"

"German military motorcycle w/sidecar troops a common feature of WW2. Motorcycle units used for screening, patrolling, reconnaissance, scouting, dispatch riders."

Ukrainian motorcycle troops in context of the current conflict equipped with anti-tank guided-missiles [ATGM]. Move fast, fire, move fast again. Repeat the process over and over.

The devoted reader to the blog is encouraged to read all four articles in entirety. Very informative.

coolbert.






Thursday, September 15, 2022

Picnic.

This is coolbert:

Russian ammunition expenditure the Ukraine Conflict 2 1/2 times greater than at Stalingrad!!

From www.businessinsider.com the story by Charles R. Davis Sep 14, 2022.

Recruitment Wagner PMC Russian convicts currently serving extended sentences.

I highly recommend without qualification or reservation the video. See this link for video. Please watch!! I am actually astonished such a video can be seen!!

"Video shows the head of a shadowy mercenary group recruiting at a Russian prison, offering inmates freedom if they fight in Ukraine but death if they run"

* "Wagner is a Russian private military company with close ties to the Kremlin that is now in Ukraine."

* "In a video shared on Telegram, the group's founder can be seen recruiting at a Russian prison."

* "Wagner's Yevgeny Prigozhin claims the men will receive pardons if they agree to fight in Ukraine."

Russian prison code of the Thieves in Law [Russian mafia] precludes any cooperation with the government no matter what. Any Thief returning to prison after doing military duty with Wagner PMC  will perhaps have his life expectancy exceedingly shortened. See previous blog entry "The Bitches War".

coolbert.



 

Shahed-136.

This is coolbert:

The Russian suddenly having to rely on foreign imported weapon systems/munitions the Ukraine Conflict?

"Russia forced to import North Korean military kit, Ministry of Defense [British] says"

From UK News PA Media the story by David Hughes, PA Political Editor | September 14, 2022.

"Vladimir Putin’s forces are being forced to source equipment from North Korea and Iran as the impacts of sanctions and military losses in Ukraine bite, defense experts believe."

Click on image to see an enlarged view.

Comments:

* "...Ukrainian officials reported that their forces had shot down a Shahed-136 UAV near Kupiansk, in the area of Ukraine's success ongoing offensive."

* "The Shahed-136 is a one-way attack UAV kamikaze drone with a claimed range of 2,500 kilometres [Fifteen-hundred miles]. Similar Iranian-manufactured systems have likely been used in attacks in the Middle East, including against the oil tanker MT MERCER STREET in July 2021."

* See from this Internet web site some specifications of the Shahed-136 drone.

* The Ukrainian already has captured a Shahed-136 that either crashed or was shot down. The UAV intact or mostly so? The intelligence services of a variety of nations are going to want to examine that drone and pronto.

* That range of the Shahed-136 exaggerated? Kamikaze drone well within range of Jerusalem from almost location in Iran or Yemen. Swarm attack from a multitude of drones incoming from all directions simultaneously overwhelming air defenses.

coolbert.





Wednesday, September 14, 2022

1 GTA.


This is coolbert:

Russian BEST tank division in the BEST Russian tank army. Gone!

If true, sounds like a real Russian disaster.

"A Hundred Wrecked Tanks In A Hundred Hours: Ukraine Guts Russia’s Best Tank Army"

From Forbes ^ | 13-SEP-2022 | David Axe tip from Freeper.

"The Ukrainian army’s counteroffensive around the city of Kharkiv in northeastern Ukraine starting on Sept. 6 destroyed half of the best tank division in the best tank army in the Russian armed forces. A hundred wrecked or captured tanks in a hundred furious hours. That’s how much destruction the Ukrainians inflicted on the Russian 4th Guards Tank Division, part of the elite 1st Guards Tank Army, the Russian army’s best armor formation. Now the 1st GTA is retreating north in order to preserve what remains of its front-line divisions"

4th Guards tank division involved in the attempted 1991 Moscow coup.

Soviet and Russian military commander historically always able to accept a defeat with comparative calm. No matter what the losses in men and material resources at the disposal of the senior commanders great enough to make up for what is gone. I can suggest that such an attitude no longer suffices in the modern era. Equipment too expensive and hard to replace. You can fight a war with old "stuff" but results will be less than satisfactory.

coolbert.





Firefighters.

This is coolbert:

Yet one more excellent video from Mark Felton:


British civilian fire fighters as assigned the Normandy invasion, 6 June 1944.

British National Fire Service volunteers the Normandy invasion WW2. Accompanying allied troops into France. Civilians BEST of the BEST for overseas duty in a fire fighting capacity while in a combat zone.

See the You Tube video. Courtesy the tip from Lorenzo.


Comments:

* NFS personnel specially selected already trained and with a whole lot of experience. Yeoman duty as performed by yeoman.

* British civilian NFS contingents only active in the U.S. Army 12th Army Group sector.

* Firefighting even in peacetime just about the closest [if not the closest] you can get to mortal combat without having an adversary trying to kill you. 

* NSF deemed for legal purposes as camp followers. NFS if captured by the German allowed prisoner-of-war status. That designation of camp follower in some circumstances pejorative. Not for NFS however. Yeomen at work and doing it well. 

coolbert.






Trapped.

This is coolbert:

The chickens come home to roost Ukrainian style!

Collaborators beware!

Ukrainian citizens having accepted a Russian passport not being allowed to enter Russia as a refugee. Fallout from that most recent Ukrainian army counter-offensive the Kharkov sector.

From Charter97.org ^ | 9/13/2022 | Staff 9/13/2022 that tip from Freeper.

"Kilometre-long queues have formed at the Ukrainian-Russian border, which is controlled by militants from occupied Donbass and Russians. Huge queues have appeared on the border with Russia of people fleeing because of the Ukrainian Armed Forces' counter-offensive. However, the Russians are simply not letting the collaborators through. Border guards have a clear instruction not to allow people with Russian passports issued in Ukraine's occupied territories to enter Russian territory."

These folks probably predominantly Russian-speaking Ukrainian citizens of the Donbass region. Their loyalties to Russia pronounced but now they are betrayed.

Strange [?] that the Russian authorities are less than accommodating to those persons who had been offered and then adopted Russian citizenship. Abandonment extremely callous and very cold-hearted.

I hope the Ukrainian not too harsh on these individuals.

coolbert.







Tuesday, September 13, 2022

Magnet.


This is coolbert:

Further on the topic of the magnets used in the jet engines of the American F-35 warplane. Magnets as manufactured with perhaps sub-standard alloy. 

"F-35 Deliveries Halted As Chinese Alloy Was Found In Turbomachine Pumps"

From theaviationist.com thanks to the article by STEFANO D'URSO September 10.

"The alloy is used by a contractor to make magnets for Honeywell’s turbomachine pumps."

Alloy as from a proscribed nation as seen hostile to the USA. An alloy I would like to think was quality-controlled tested and as being within specifications. Alloy and not the magnets themselves only the question.

"The Pentagon has temporally stopped F-35 deliveries after officials discovered that an alloy used in magnets on the jet’s turbomachine pumps was produced in China."

"The F-35 program office 'temporarily paused the acceptance of new F-35 aircraft to ensure the F-35 program’s compliance; with defense regulations 'pertaining to specialty metals,' . . . the pause won’t interfere with operations of F-35s already delivered because 'the magnet does not transmit information or harm the integrity of the aircraft and there are no performance, quality, safety or security risks associated with this issue.'”

I might think that "quality, safety, security" would ALL be an issue. What reassurance is there those alloys were of the proper specification? Only the government knows for sure?

My original thought also was that all the engines of the every last F-35 currently in the inventory would have to ripped apart and the magnets replaced by an alloy according to specs. These magnets were tested for specs I hope. It might be that all of the magnets are in specs but it was just that buying from China the alloy alone there was a risk and should not have been done in the first place.

See my previous blog entry on topic:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/09/metallic.html

coolbert.





SHE.

This is coolbert:

Follow up to the original blog entry the USS Texas museum ship in drydock for substantial repairs to the hull.

"First Walk Around The Dry Dock | Battleship Texas"

Thanks to Travis and You Tube Sep 10, 2022.


"Hey y'all, we're back with our first video walking around the dock floor. Here Travis is going to explain some of the work that's been going on as well as what's to come. Of course, if you have any questions, feel free to ask! One thing we would like to say is that due the huge amount of support y'all have been showing us, we are completely inundated with orders from our shop! We are shipping them out as fast as we can but please note that orders from our store will take a moment to get to you! Thank you so much for y'all's support, we cannot thank y'all enough!"

USS Texas the museum ship while docked was SINKING. Too much water leaking into the ship from openings in the hull. Some drastic measures had to be taken and are. None of the repairs going to be accomplished fast or cheaply.

Why shoot! There should be a whole bunch of those Texas oil billionaires that are willing to fork over a million here and there [tax deductible of course] for the reconstruction work.

coolbert.






Monday, September 12, 2022

F-29.


This is coolbert:

Romanian navy enters the fray the Ukrainian Conflict? Romanians? Yes Romanians.

NATO naval contingent the Black Sea active in mine clearing operations now a casualty of war.

Minesweeper struck a mine? Russians say the Ukrainian is to blame. Ukrainians say the Russian did it?

"Military ship hits mine in Black Sea"

From www.rt.com | 9 Sep, 2022.

"Russia had warned earlier that drifting Ukrainian sea mines pose a threat to maritime navigation in the region"

"A Romanian military vessel designed to remove sea mines has hit one during a mission in the Black Sea, the country’s Navy has revealed."

"According to a statement, the incident involving the . . . minesweeper happened on Thursday. The ship is said to have arrived in the area to eliminate a mine that had been located by another vessel. However, when the FNR 'Lieutenant Dimitrie Nicolescu' approached the freely drifting mine, the wind picked up, preventing the crew from accomplishing the task."

Shipments of Ukrainian grain via Black Sea ports vital to the world economy and food security. A route of SAFE PASSAGE commercial vessels must be maintained. Need I add more?

coolbert.





Darkness.

This is coolbert:

"The center of Ukraine’s second city Kharkiv was plunged into darkness on Sunday evening by an electricity blackout," -Reuters.

Ukrainian counter-offensive the Kharkov sector unabated. Russian flees in disarray? It does sound all too good to be true. I guess only time will tell.

1. "From Advanced Orlan-10 UAV to T-80 tanks, Russian Army leaves “valuable gifts” for Ukraine in Kharkiv"

From www.defenceview.in September 11, 2022 | the tip from Freeper.

"The Russians are 'regrouping' so rapidly in the Kharkiv region that Ukrainian troops barely have time to captured all the weapons and equipment during the offensive in Kharkiv region but they manage to captured so many weapons abandon by Russian Army."

An entire arms depot captured intact. Plus Russian command vehicles as abandoned by commander and command staff?

Troops retiring from the battlefield in a disorderly manner bad. Troops retiring from the battlefield in a planned and orderly manner not so bad!

The brutal Russian however strikes back with vengeance. Target the city of Kharkov the electrical grid.

2. "Kharkiv, Ukraine's 2nd Largest City Plunged Into Total Darkness As Russia Strikes Key Infrastructure"

From Nation and State ^ | 09/11/2022 | Tyler Durden tip again from Freeper.

"Kharkiv, which is Ukraine's second largest city and is the biggest population center closest to Russia's border, has been plunged into total darkness Sunday night amid alleged Russian attacks on key infrastructure sites, including large power stations . . . It's further being reported that some city districts are also without water, creating a severe crisis for residents."

Russian prior to the Ukrainian counter-offensive skittish about attacking valuable infrastructure. Want to capture as much as possible, intact and still service-able. Less of burden for end-of-war reconstruction.

coolbert.





Surge.


This is coolbert:

From Big Serge Sep 9 [2022] an analysis of the Ukrainian counter-offensive vicinity Kharkov. Serge [Sergei] his assessment generally favorable for the Russian.

"Ukraine Counterattacks!"

"Please Remain Calm"

"Ukraine plays to its audience"

"In the last 72 hours or so, the pro-Russian side of the internet has been sent into an [sic] tailspin of panic over a new Ukrainian counteroffensive which is currently being launched in the Kharkov region, with the intention of compromising the Russian army grouping at Izyum. The panic was triggered by claims that Ukraine was advancing unopposed, encircling - or perhaps even capturing - the city of Balakliya - and on the verge of cutting off supply lines to Izyum."

"If you will indulge me, I would like to revive a bit of optimism."

[....]

"My view is fairly simple: Ukraine cannot and will not reach meaningful objectives - what we call 'operational depth' - and has in fact thrown much of its carefully crafted premium reserves into a dangerous position. I believe it’s highly likely that these top rate Ukrainian formations are about to be savaged - but this is still an important learning moment for Russia."

Devoted readers to the blog are encouraged to read the entire article.

And as to what operational depth is:

"Operational Depth refers to the level of advance wherein the attacking force is no longer attacking the enemy’s frontline elements, but is instead directly assailing the enemy’s ability to sustain itself in combat."

Further with playing to the audience:

"play to the crowd: To act, behave, or perform in such a way as to receive as much approval from an audience or group of spectators as one can get, especially the lowest common denominator therein."

coolbert.





Suomi.


This is coolbert:

NATO si, sisu no!

Hell, the shooting hasn't even started!

"Record Numbers Have Quit Finland Army Reserves Since Russia Invasion"

From www.breitbart.com the story by CHRIS TOMLINSON 10 Sep 2022.

"A record number of people in Finland’s army reserve have switched to civilian service this year following the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Officials claim the trend does not pose difficulties for the country’s national defense."

"The number of requests to be transferred from the army reserve to civilian service has surged this year, from just 460 applications in 2021 to over 3,300 so far this year. The trend started at the beginning of the year but surged in March following the Russian invasion of Ukraine in late February."

Sir John Keegan rating the Finnish soldier as the BEST during the Second World War.

Sisu the Finnish national characteristic of courage and determination in the face of adversity.

"Sisu' in Finnish means strength, perseverance in a task that for some may seem crazy to undertake, almost hopeless"

The modern Finn lacking? I think not.

coolbert.


Sunday, September 11, 2022

Torpedo.


This is coolbert:

Torpedo los. The Ukraine Conflict could have been ended in April?

"torpedo: verb - 2: to destroy or nullify altogether : WRECK"

"Why Did US Torpedo The April Ukraine War Negotiated Settlement?"

From TFP Editor ^ | September 10, 2022 | TFP Editor that tip from Freeper.

"Most Americans are unaware how close Russia and Ukraine came to ending the current war in April. Last March 27, Ukraine president Zelensky told his people 'Our goal is obvious – peace and the restoration of normal life in our native state as soon as possible.' He was hinting at what went unsaid: Ukraine and Russia, brokered by NATO member Turkey, reached a tentative fifteen-point peace plan to end the month old war."

Consider among those fifteen-points: [thanks to the Internet web site Red State here]

* "Russia withdraws its troops from Ukraine."

* "The Ukrainian armed forces will remain intact."

* "Ukraine agrees not to join NATO."

* " Ukraine is allowed to join the EU."

* "Ukraine can enter into bilateral 'security guarantees' with other countries; there are no limits on the countries or number of countries Ukraine can deal with."

* "Foreign troops cannot be stationed in Ukraine."

* "Foreign weapons systems cannot be deployed in Ukraine."

* "The Russian language is given official status within Ukraine."

Territorial concessions Donbass too on the agenda? Perhaps a binding plebiscite would have been warranted. Sounds rather fair and rational to me.

coolbert.





Push.

This is coolbert:

Not so fast NATO, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan. Etc.

USA weapons military stockpile reduced to an alarmingly low level. Not even adequate to fight one regional war for an extended period?

It is going to take some while for the USA military to replenish depleted war munitions.

Just to get the assembly lines up to full or increased full capacity going to be an expensive and time-consuming business. 

"Allies push for US weaponry after seeing impact in Ukraine"

From Associated Press ^ | September 9, 2022 | LOLITA C. BALDOR the tip from Freeper.

"As other nations see the impact of U.S. weapons in the Ukraine war, the Pentagon is getting more requests for them, including the high-tech, multiple-launch rocket system that Ukrainian forces have successfully used against Russian ammunition depots and other supplies, Defense officials said Friday."

HIMARS in particular a highly sought weapons system. ATACMS rocket artillery fired from HIMARS even much more desirable I might think.

But in all cases, USA military first, then export sales. None of it going to be cheap. None of it done tomorrow.

coolbert.





Avalanche.

This is coolbert:

We have here the real deal it seems. Not misleading and exaggerated headlines from the Ukraine Conflict. A pause in the combat action followed by an escalation of hostilities much to the detriment of the Russian.

1. "Ukrainian Counter-Offensive: Zelensky Claims 3,000 Square Km Recaptured from Russia"

From Breitbart ^ | 09/11/2022 | Peter Caddle that tip from Freeper.

"Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky has claimed his forces have taken back over 3,000 square kilometres [eighteen-hundred square miles] from Russia within the last two weeks."

"Ukrainian forces have reportedly recaptured 3,000 square kilometres . . . of lost territory from Russia since the start of September, President Volodymyr Zelensky has claimed, in what appears to be the latest momentum shift in the conflict between the warring states."

2. "Russia's Disaster in Kharkiv Turns Into an Avalanche of Failure as Ukraine's Army Advances Without Opposition"

From Red State ^ | 09/10/2022 | Streiff the tip from Freeper.

"The Russian situation in the Kharkiv area of Ukraine is growing more desperate by the hour. A couple of days ago, the Ukrainian Army launched an ambitious offensive designed to force Russian forces from a large part of Kharkiv Oblast, which they’ve illegally occupied since February. I posted on the initial stage of the offensive yesterday in Putin’s War, Week 28. The Sitzkrieg Goes Blitzkrieg as Ukraine’s Army Moves 50 Kilometers [thirty miles] in Two Days. Since that post, things have changed radically."

Ukrainian counter-offensive to a large extent has succeeded. Russian troops demoralized, Vlad going to find it hard to continue his special military action. A truce or another pause in combat activity will now ensure. Stalemated and static warfare followed by some sort of negotiations?

coolbert.




Saturday, September 10, 2022

F & F.

This is coolbert:

MiG-29 = NATO code name Fulcrum. Su-27 = NATO code name Flanker.

Confirmation. American anti-radar missiles in use Ukraine.

From theaviationist.com the story by STEFANO D'URSO August 21, 2022. 

1. "Ukrainian MiG-29s [Fulcrum] Are Hunting Russian Radars With AGM-88 HARM Missiles"

"US officials confirmed that the AGM-88 has been integrated on the Fulcrum to enhance its SEAD capabilities."

"The United States announced another security assistance package to support Ukraine, worth $775 million. During the briefing with the press on August 19, 2022, to discuss the contents of the package . . . the officials confirmed that the U.S. delivered AGM-88 [High Speed Anti Radiation missiles] to Ukraine and that these are being employed by the MiG-29 Fulcrum."

SEAD = Suppression Enemy Air Defense. 

But not only Fulcrum. Flanker too.

2. "Ukrainian Su-27s [Flanker] Are Now Using AGM-88 HARM Missiles Too"

By STEFANO D'URSO September 9.

"After the video of the MiG-29 Fulcrum shooting HARMs, photos now show also the Flankers flying with the American anti-radiation missiles.

"Last week we got the visual confirmation of the Ukrainian Air Force MiG-29 Fulcrum fighter jets employing US-made AGM-88 High-speed Anti-Radiation Missiles. Now we have photographic evidence of the missile being employed also by the Ukrainian Sukhoi Su-27 Flanker heavy fighters."

Missiles HARM to be used against Russian air defense radars. Also can be used [?] against counter-battery radars as associated with Russian artillery targeting?

coolbert.






Underestimating.

This is coolbert:

"'By not doing so in time or by underestimating the seriousness of the matter, we risk witnessing again a situation similar to that currently unfolding in some other part of our continent,' . . . 'This is something none of us would really wish to see.'" - Greek Foreign Minister Nikos Dendias.

Troubling. Very troubling!

"Greece Informs Allies Of Ukraine-Style War Looming With Turkey"

From www.zerohedge.com the story by TYLER DURDEN SEP 09, 2022.

"With the Queen of England's death as well as the EU energy crisis topping headlines, followed by the enduring Ukraine war, too few in the West seem to realize that a major crisis has been brewing in the Mediterranean which could see two NATO members enter a shooting war."

"Greece has taken the unprecedented step of informing NATO HQ, the EU, and UN that a Ukraine-style war is looming with Turkey. The two have long been locked in disputes over maritime rights, the status of Greece's Aegean islands, and airspace violations."

[....]

"For years, Turkey, Greece and Cyprus have been at odds over expanding Turkish oil and gas drilling rights in the eastern Mediterranean. Turkey is using its occupation of northern Cyprus to say that all waters encircling the island are fair game for its research and drilling vessels. Over the last half-century there's been at least a couple of occasions where tensions where so high there were fears of a military conflict breaking out."

Maritime rights more correctly understood as Economic Exclusion Zone [EEZ] rights? Drilling for oil and natural gas deposits the eastern Mediterranean at question here. 

Even NATO partners as Greece and Turkey at odds and have been for a period of hundred years or more. Disputes never settled, historical grievances quite extreme. And when it comes to OIL and NATURAL GAS watch out everyone. Money is to be had.

coolbert.






Seliverstov.

This is coolbert:

Captured, the most dangerous beast of them all? Russian general officer the Ukraine Conflict?

"Did Ukraine capture a Russian Lt. General during its counteroffensive?"

From hotair.com the story by JOHN SEXTON Sep 09 2022.

"This falls under the category of too good to check. As Ed pointed out this morning, the Ukrainian counteroffensive in the east seems to be shaping up as a genuine disaster for Russia. I came across this animation which shows the territory Ukraine has retaken in the past few days."

"Wednesday there were reports of an even bigger loss for Russia. This has not been confirmed yet but it’s possible that Ukrainian forces have captured a Russian Lieutenant General."

Not so fast everybody. The individual captured is a field grade officer of the Luhansk People's Republic militia. LPR militia now part and parcel of the Russian effort the Ukraine Conflict. A smaller fish to fry but still a fish howbeit of medium stature.

Nonetheless it does make for intriguing headlines and a lot of gist for Internet articles.

coolbert.






Friday, September 9, 2022

Canisters.

This is coolbert:

Ejection seat issues F-35 Lightning. Concerns the F-35 combat status and readiness continue and perhaps always will be. 

"Air Force grounds F-35As as ejection seat issue threatens fighter jets worldwide"

From www.airforcetimes.com By Rachel S. Cohen Friday, Jul 29.

"The Air Force’s F-35A Lightning II fleet is the latest to stand down amid concerns about defective ejection seat parts on a wide range of military aircraft at home and abroad.

"Air Combat Command grounded the advanced fighters Friday in order to speed up inspections of ejection seat cartridges, the part that explodes to propel an aviator out of the cockpit and prompts their parachute to open."

"Inspections began July 19, nearly a week before the Navy said it began shipping replacement parts to its own maintenance centers with planes affected by the problem. It’s unclear when the military first learned of the defective cartridges."

Replacement parts on the way. Defect solved and none too soon. Next those F-35 jet engines containing Chinese rare earth element magnets must be disassembled for quality control inspections? One thing. Two thing. A whole bunch of things. 

Weal and woe F-35. That is the nature of the beast?

coolbert.




Zeppo.

This is coolbert:

Ukrainian counter-offensive action Kherson proceeding at a measured pace? Ukrainian surprise counter-offensive Kharkov now underway too. 

COLLABORATORS beware!

"UKRAINE WAR: Moscow, We Have a Problem"

From pjmedia.com the story BY STEPHEN GREEN SEP 09, 2022 source Russian Defense Ministry Press Service via AP.

"I’ve [S. Green] been following Russian milblogger accounts for my Ukraine War updates, and over the last 48 hours there has been a serious change of tone."

"Ukraine’s unexpected and rapid advances in the north — as documented by these Russian sources — have engendered a palpable frustration from writers usually known for their pro-Moscow drumbeating."

Devoted readers to the blog read the entire Stephen Green article, paying particular attention to the tweets.

When the Russian milbloggers began to express concern then Vlad does have a problem. Even that the Ukrainian seems to have the ability to counter-attack in two directions at once must create apprehensions in the minds of a lot of Russians, military and civilian both.

coolbert:





Thursday, September 8, 2022

IAEA.

This is coolbert:

IAEA to the rescue the Ukraine Conflict? Could be so. And might be critically necessary?

IAEA = International Atomic Energy Agency.

Potential disastrous event the nuclear power plant Zaporizhzhia can be averted by declaring the facility a neutral zone patrolled by United Nations military forces?

NOT really a bad idea. Has merit. Consequences any sort of radioactive release the power plants [six working reactors] or the storage facility and you have DISASTER for both the Ukrainian and the Russian.

"Ukraine calls for deployment of UN troops around Russian-occupied nuclear power plant"

From Fox News ^ | September 7, 2022 | Anders Hagstrom the tip Freeper.

"Ukrainian officials voiced support for deploying United Nations peacekeeper troops to establish a demilitarized zone around the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant Wednesday. Ukraine's support for the move comes one day after the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) warned of a potentially 'catastrophic' disaster at the plant."

Any nations willing to contribute military force to such a UN operation in a very hot war zone? I doubt it.

Is it the Russian endangering ZNPP? Is it Ukrainian endangering ZNPP? The jury is out I guess. My estimate is that a combination of both militaries to some degree!

See previous blog entries the ZNPP power plant:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/03/znpp.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/07/znpp-ii.html

coolbert.