Friday, July 30, 2021

Niccolo.


This is coolbert:

And what would Niccolo say?

From the Internet web site Small Wars Journal and thanks to same. The article by Chad M. Pillai.

"Machiavelli and our Wars in the Middle East"

"Fundamental principles" as enunciated by Machiavelli hardly should hardly be confined to the wars of the Middle East. Are eternal "fundamental principles" and should be understood fully well as being so.

Several paragraphs as extracted in entirety, verbatim:

"To avoid hubris, senior political and military leaders should have read closely Niccolò Machiavelli book 'The Prince' on what a ruler should expect when conquering foreign land. In chapters four and five, Machiavelli lays out the fundamental principles a ruler needed to understand before embarking on conquest by highlighting the differences between the Kingdom of France and the Ottoman (Turkish) Empire. To briefly paraphrase Machiavelli's advice in chapter four, he wrote that states that are hard to conquer are easy to rule while states that are easy to conquer are hard to rule."  

"In chapter five [The Prince], Machiavelli providers further advice on what to expect when conquering another with the following words:"

"When a state accustomed to live in freedom under its own laws is acquired, there are three ways of keeping it:  the first is to destroy it, the second is to go to live there in person; the third is to let it continue to live under its own laws, taking tribute from it, and setting up a government composed of a few men who will keep it friendly to you.  Such a government, being the creature of the prince, will be aware that it cannot survive without his friendship and support, and it will do everything to maintain his authority.  A city which is used to freedom is more easily controlled by means of its own citizens than by any other, provided one chooses not to destroy it."

EASY TO CONQUER, HARD TO RULE. HARD TO CONQUER, EASY TO RULE?

My instantaneous thought was Japan and German in the post-WW2 era. American success story in both cases?

coolbert.






Thursday, July 29, 2021

Thousands.

This is coolbert:

Alarmist and unjustified??

From Forbes and the article by David Axe.


"To have any chance of conquering Taiwan, China might need to transport as many as two million troops across the rough 100 miles of the Taiwan Strait and land them under fire at the island’s 14 potential invasion beaches or 10 major ports. That’s a lot of people—far, far more than the People’s Liberation Army Navy can haul in its 11 new amphibious ships. To transport the bulk of the invasion force, Beijing almost certainly would take up into naval service thousands of civilian ships. To that end, the Chinese Communist Party has created a legal and bureaucratic framework for taking over control of commercial shipping."

Headline by itself might make readers think the "huge fleet" assembling right now, invasion of Taiwan imminent? 

See previous blog entries several appreciations the difficulties the Chinese would have if the go-ahead given to invade Taiwan:



Within perspective: Husky [invasion of Sicily WW2] about three-thousand ships required. Overlord [invasion of Normandy WW2] about five-thousand ships required.

And don't forget Pluto [undersea pipeline for fuel] or Mulberry [artificial harbor] as was also needed for the Normandy Invasion in the aftermath of troop landings and secure beaches.

Lieutenants think tactics. Generals think logistics.

Normandy was no picnic for the allies and we can easily assume Taiwan will not be a picnic for the Chinese either.

coolbert.




Wednesday, July 28, 2021

Cuber II.

This is coolbert:

As extracted from the A. Boot Internet web site and as germane to the previous blog entry.

Cuban general officers a whole bushel full of them die suddenly from unknown causes. 

And before the Cubans Soviet/Russian and Warsaw Pact military commanders too?

"Russian generals are dying to reveal a secret"

"Before I [A. Boot] tell you about an interesting current discovery, it’s not only Russian generals who tend to die in mysterious ways, defying every conceivable statistical pattern. In the past at least, their Eastern European colleagues used to join the fun."

"For example, the last two months of 1984 saw the demise of the Defense Ministers of five (5) Warsaw Pact countries, including the Soviet Union. The generals all died of cardiac arrest."

Read the whole article for yourselves.

Senior military commanders "fit as fiddle" as they say all expiring in such a short period of time ALL FROM THE SAME CAUSE surely an omen that something much bigger is transpiring of which is being kept a secret.

Hardly can such a perspective be seen as being unreasonable.

coolbert.




Cuber.

This is coolbert:

Nothing to this! Right?

From the Breitbart Internet web site and thanks to same.

1. "Third Cuban General Mysteriously Dies Since Protests Began"

"Reserve Division General Rubén Martínez Puente on Sunday became the third Cuban general on the island to die since the July 11 protests. Like his predecessors, the communist regime did not specify a cause of death."

"Martínez’s death followed that of Reserve Brigade General Marcelo Verdecia last week and the head of the Eastern Army of Cuba, Division General Agustín Peña, a weekend ago. The short time frame in which three high-ranking members of the Cuban military, which controls both the security apparatus and the economy of the island, have passed since nationwide protests erupted in mid-July has raised concerns about the stability of the regime and, potentially, the impact of the nation’s ongoing battle with Chinese coronavirus."

2. "Fifth Cuban General Dead Since Protests Began"

"Cuban Brigade General Armando Choy Rodríguez died on Monday night, the fifth general on the island to do so since ongoing protests began against the communist regime nationwide on July 11. He was the second Cuban general declared dead on Monday."

"The advanced age of the dying generals may suggest pandemic woes, as the elderly are one of the highest-risk demographics for coronavirus infections. Prior to Choy’s death, communist state media announced the death of Reserve Brigade General Manuel Eduardo Lastres Pacheco, another veteran of the 1950s Revolution, on Monday. Reserve Division General Rubén Martínez Puente, 79, reportedly died on Sunday. Last Tuesday, official media reported the death of Reserve Brigade General Marcelo Verdecia, believed to be about 80 years old. The weekend before that, Cuban outlets confirmed the death of the head of the Eastern Army of Cuba, Division General Agustín Peña."

Elderly military commanders their deaths the cause of which not announced. Must be the Covid virus and nothing else! Right? Mere coincidence? But so many, all at once? Hmmmmm!

coolbert.







Tuesday, July 27, 2021

Defender.


This is coolbert:

AND TO ALL THIS HORATIO NELSON WOULD SAY?

Courtesy the Internet web site "Anti-War".

"Great Britain Has a Total of 6 Destroyers. 5 Are Out of Action."

"The 'mighty' naval power that is currently sending China a 'message' off the Chinese coast"

"When HMS Defender sailed into Russian territorial waters last month that was 50 percent of Britain’s operational destroyer strength (now 100 percent)"

"Five of the Royal Navy’s [RN] Type 45 destroyers are unavailable for deployment, leaving just one warship in the class capable of operations, defense procurement minister Jeremy Quin acknowledged this week."

"Four of the Type 45s currently unavailable are in various stages of maintenance or upgrade. The remaining warship out of action, HMS Diamond, ran into technical problems earlier this month while escorting a Royal Navy–led carrier strike group on a deployment to the Indo-Pacific region."

OF SIX DESTROYERS IN THE RN, ONLY ONE CURRENTLY AVAILABLE FOR DUTY AT THIS EXACT INSTANT!

Admiral Nelson and the Chinese both I fear are hardly going to be impressed by the current RN show of force in the Pacific region.

coolbert.



BLOCKER.

This is coolbert:

Finland has them! Estonia does also?

Naval sea mines the cost effectiveness of this naval warfare weapon cannot be exaggerated.

From CORPORAL FRISK and than thanks to same.

"My Mines and those of My Brother"

"Naval mines have a tendency to stay largely out of sight, until they suddenly pop up to remind everyone about their existence. This goes both for the weapons themselves, as for their role in the grand scheme of things. The Baltic Sea, always a favorable battlefield for mines, has seen a number of interesting development during the last few weeks"

From 1917 and the era of the Great War as planned naval mines a rather insignificant number able to control the entrance/exit to the Gulf of Finland or the Gulf or Riga. Baltic Sea.

Same area Gulf or Finland and Gulf of Riga showing geographic context.

These Finnish sea mines evidently of the BLOCKER variety:

"BLOCKER

A MODERN COST-EFFECTIVE INFLUENCE MINE

'influence mine [′in‚flü·əns ‚mīn]

(ordnance)

A mine that is detonated by methods that are different than target contact.'

Modern Influence Mine with devastating performance. Cost-effective system with long shelf life and minimal maintenance during the life cycle. Acoustic-, pressure- and magnetic sensors. Optional underwater electrical potential sensors. NEQ equivalent to over 1000 kg [2,000 pounds] of TNT."

See the various prior blog entries the efficacy of naval sea mines unquestioned:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2021/04/dolphin.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2020/04/port-arthur.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2020/03/barrage.html

coolbert.




Monday, July 26, 2021

Sikorsky.


This is coolbert:

Courtesy here the Ron Unz Internet web site and the article by ANATOLY KARLIN •

"Bolshevik Aristocide: the Fate of Sikorsky's Engineers"

Bolshevik purging/liquidation [killing or imprisoning] entire categories of persons in the aftermath of the Russian Revolution and the imposition of communism destructive of the intelligentsia and those most fruitful and skilled in technological advancement. Even to include the field of military aeronautical engineering!

THE DESIGN BUREUA OF IGOR SIKORSKY INCLUDED.

Consider these major achievements of the Sikorsky design bureau during World War One and beyond:

"Igor Sikorsky was a giant of aviation history. He designed the world’s first heavy bomber (Ilya Muromets), the world’s first mass produced helicopter (Vought-Sikorsky VS-300), and founded a multi-billion worth aviation company that continues making helicopters to this day."

Aftermath of the Russian Revolution the Bolshevik secret services however liquidating all those by criteria who posed a potential threat to the new regime. To include engineers and intellectuals of any sort.

"75 leading Russian aviation specialists who worked with Sikorsky, including at the Russo-Baltic Wagon Factory which manufactured the Ilya Muromets*. Here are the shocking statistics – out of Sikorsky’s 75 engineers:

* 1 died during World War I before 1917.

* 25 died between 1917 and 1924.

* 32 emigrated

* Of the 17 who remained in the USSR, a further 8 were subsequently repressed."

DIED AS LIQUIDATED! KILLED.

Soviet secret services their listing of potential enemies of the state the intelligentsia figuring rather high:

"5) The technical intelligentsia, and the intelligentsia in general"

Consider the Russian [Soviet] loss to be American gain. For over one hundred years now and ongoing.

coolbert.