Sunday, April 18, 2021

Embargo.


This coolbert:

"TSMC is just so dominant. It no longer really has much competition at all on the high end."

Embargo Japan 1940! Embargo China 2021?  Oil 1940. Semi-conductor chips 2021?

From Freeper and various sources. | 04/14/2021.

"Taiwan Says Its Chip Firms Will Adhere to New US Rules Blacklisting China Supercomputing Entities"

"TAIPEI—Taiwan said on Wednesday its chip companies will adhere to U.S. rules after Washington added seven Chinese supercomputing entities last week to an economic blacklist and after a Taipei-based chipmaker halted orders from one of the entities named"

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co  in particular absolutely essential to the HIGH-END [as deemed] semi-conductor fabrication process. HIGH-END integrated circuits of the type you find in super-computers.

War between China and Taiwan [involving the USA] would be a disaster for the world economy without question. NO semi-conductors and NO high-technology development beyond what already is. A company such as TSMC hard to replace even in the long run. My understanding is that nations such as Taiwan and South Korea not only manufacture the HIGH-END chips but also manufacture the machines that make the chips.

My instantaneous and intuitive response upon reading this embargo headline is that if and when conflict occurs between China and Taiwan [and the USA], the "blacklisting" will be seen as analogous to the 1940 Japanese oil embargo.

ACTION AS A PRELUDE TO WAR!

In essence you are depriving the Chinese of an essential element vital for the functioning of modern society. The Chinese will feel COMPELLED to take action. 

Let us hope not!

coolbert.





Enigma.


This is coolbert:

Consider this as a joke? A joke? Right? A joke?

From Harry at Sharkhunters and the most recent KTB.

The much storied and fabled Enigma cryptographic machine as first developed one-hundred years ago now is going to be placed back into service?

A general solution to the Enigma cryptograph worked out seventy years ago and well understood. Enigma newly manufactured again will find wide usage? This just cannot be so!!

"The Enigma is about to make a comeback. The German Federal Office for Communications Security (BSK) is currently having 10,000 copies manufactured, which are to be used in all federal agencies under secret protection from May [2021] onwards. The Second World War also brought an end to the use of the well-known Enigma encryption machine in Germany. There was a switch to other machines, and later electronic encryption devices prevailed. According to a press release from the German Federal Office for Communications Security (BSK), however, the Enigma will soon make a comeback. All 122 federal authorities in Germany that are subject to secrecy protection are to use Enigma for encryption from May 2021. This applies in particular to data classified as “EU Districted” and “NATO  Districted.” 10,000 new Enigmas are currently being produced for this purpose. Comeback comes as no surprise. The BSK’s decision does not come as a surprise. In recent years, German authorities have had to contend with numerous IT security attacks,  which have also repeatedly undermined encryption programs."

"According to BSK President Erna Schonböhm, this problem has long been known. 'However, experience shows that cyber attacks on encryption software pose a much greater threat than insecure encryption methods,' Schonböhm said, 'so we accept possible vulnerabilities in Enigma encryption and are also planning some additional precautionary measures.'”

IF YOU LISTEN CLOSELY YOU WILL TURING AND ARTHUR SCHERBIUS ARE LAUGHING!

And you the devoted reader to the blog should be laughing also. See the German Internet web site CIPHERBRAIN and see why this is so.

coolbert.




Saturday, April 17, 2021

Findlater.

This is coolbert:

The problem with Scotland is that the place is full of Scots!" - - Edward I.

NOT in 1897 it was!

From Commander Salamander and Fullbore Friday


"You have no idea."

"In the summer of 1897 tribesmen of the North-western frontier of India (now a part of Pakistan) began attacking and intimidating British forces in the area. The Indian Government decided that the unprovoked attacks by the Afridis and the Orakzais tribesmen could not go unpunished and decided that a show of force in Tirah, the tribe’s summer home, was appropriate."


Read the whole Commander Salamander blog entry. And thanks for the music too! Something very primeval about the pipes.

coolbert.




ISCAP.

This is coolbert:

As extracted from a Strategy Page Internet web site article the Mozambique situation in the nutshell [more than a nutshell if you read the entire article]. Thankis to Strategy Page and Andrew Mulholland

"Counter-Terrorism: Mozambique Matters"

"April 16, 2021: The Islamic terrorism problem has gotten worse, and is happening in a country where Moslems are a minority." 

20 % of the population Mozambique Muslim!

"Since the natural gas discoveries over a decade ago, Mozambique’s northernmost region, the Cabo Delgado area came to be called the Cinderella province because of the expected oil and natural gas bonanza." 

"The local anger at the new natural resource bonanza is a common phenomenon in Africa, where most nations with oil or natural gas or any valuable exportable raw material see most of the export income stolen by corrupt politicians."

POOR GOVERNANCE, AN INEPT AND INSUFFICIENT MILITARY VERSUS MOTIVATED JIHADISTS AND YOU THE RECIPE FOR DISASTER.

Devoted readers to the blog are encouraged to read the entire whole Strategy Page article. Mozambique not going away as a news item I fear both in the short and long term.

coolbert.





Friday, April 16, 2021

ADF.

This is coolbert:

“I call on all Muslims in the world to join us in Congo,” . . . “I swear by God this is the abode of [the] Islamic State.”

AND if it isn't now, it will be so shortly?

From the Wall Street Journal and the article by Benoit Faucon, Nicholas Bariyo and Joe Parkinson.

"Islamic State Seeks Revival in Christian Countries"

"Central African affiliates launch deadly assaults in Congo and Mozambique, as terror group latches onto local insurgencies"

"KAMPALA, Uganda—Islamic State was collapsing in Iraq and Syria, but from the jungles of Eastern Congo a jihadist appeared on YouTube to declare that the Caliphate was regrouping in Central Africa."

According to the precepts of Mao guerrilla warfare/insurrection central Africa the demographics not favoring the Caliphate II, Islamic State!

CAR = Central African Republic. DRC = Democratic Republic of the Congo. 
ROC = Republic of the Congo.

Percentages of the national population Muslim for central African nations as found at the CIA World Factbook:

* CAR  10 % Muslim  * DRC Congo  1.3 %  Muslim  * ROC Congo 1.6 % Muslim  * Gabon  10 % Muslim  * Cameroon  25 % Muslim  * Tanzania   35 %  * Kenya   11 % Muslim  * Zambia   < 3 %  Muslim  * Angola. 20 % Muslim  * Malawi  13 % Muslim  * Rwanda   2 % Muslim  * Uganda  14 % Muslim  * Mozambique 20 % Muslim.

And the thought of the Islamic insurgent central Africa with regard to demographics is what?

coolbert.





Thursday, April 15, 2021

Crane.


This is coolbert:

"Like no other". "How do you think he does it? What makes him so good?"

"STEPHEN CRANE CONVEYED WAR’S HORROR, EXISTENTIAL ANGST LIKE NO OTHER"

From the Internet webzine "Coffee or Die": OPINION & ESSAY By J.E. McCollough | 

"Stephen Crane wrote about war long before he ever saw combat as a journalist. Crane was born after the Civil War, and despite never having pulled a trigger in that conflict, he wrote vivid prose in The Red Badge of Courage about combat he hadn’t seen. The novella was a plotless narrative of a single soldier’s [Henry Fleming] humiliating cowardice and eventual redemption in the Civil War. It made Crane internationally famous in 1895 because he wrote so viscerally readers thought he must be a combat veteran."

Indeed! While a schoolboy in grammar school [primary education] I very well remember reading the "Red Badge of Courage" and absolutely thinking that events as described in the novella the more or less personal experience and account of Crane himself. Crane was Fleming and Fleming was Crane. But this was just not so!

Also indeed the cinematic version of "Red Badge" having in the lead role Audie Murphy. The most decorated [?] American war hero of World War Two. See the movie trailer at the IMDB web site.

coolbert.






Stripes.

This is coolbert:

NOT in over fifty years?

Ominous? Or just scare tactics? Devoted reader to the blog decide for yourself.

"Russian military vehicles descend on Ukrainian border, don 'invasion stripes'"

"The military exercise could be seen as a challenge to the US"

From Fox News through Freeper and the article by Jesse O'Neill | New York Post

WHITE STRIPES AS PAINTED ON RUSSIAN ARMORED VEHICLES. IN CASE OF A SHOOTING WAR PREVENTING FRATRICIDE. RUSSIAN ARMOR POISED ON THE BORDER AND READY TO ROLL?

The painting of such stripes as was last done [?] in 1968. The Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia.

"During the Soviet-led invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968, the Soviet Union used a series of white stripes on the armoured vehicles of its invasion forces because they used predominantly the same types of combat vehicles as the armed forces of Czechoslovakia (both were Warsaw Pact allies). The markings consisted of one long white strip in the middle of the vehicle from the front and across the roof all the way to the back with two additional strips in the middle of both sides. This is similar to the markings applied on most Soviet tanks and armoured fighting vehicles fighting in Berlin in 1945 during the Second World War to prevent friendly fire from Western Allied (British or American) aircraft"

Marking of such vehicles in the manner as which done a wartime measure only? That is why I say ominous!

See previous blog entry the Russian military activity on the side of the disputed border with the Ukraine of great concern

coolbert.