This is coolbert:
From the blog of the esteemed and highly regarded Israeli Professor Martin van Creveld and thanks to same.
Cyberwar the Ukraine Conflict up unto this point a NON-ENTITY? Cyberwar as originally envisioned and touted was thought going to be a major factor in future wars but with Ukraine this has not come to pass!
Read the article. The first few paragraphs copied more or less unashamedly so in entirety.
POSTED ON APRIL 28, 2022
Cyberwar. Cyberwar question mark?
Question Mark and the Mysterians. It is a mystery?
"As others beside me have noted, one of the most astonishing things about the war in Ukraine is the fact that cyberwarfare does not seem to be playing a major role in it. To be sure, there has been what one source calls “a steady drumbeat of attacks, including disinformation campaigns, distributed denial-of-service attacks that temporarily knock websites offline, and ‘wiper’ attacks, which infect computer networks and render them inoperable by deleting all files. But no question of malware taking the place of bullets, shells, rockets missiles and bombs, small and large. No talk of countrywide water, gas, electricity, communication and transportation systems being knocked out by all kinds of oddly-named devices used by either side. Instead, old-fashioned kinetic warfare seems to be not only alive but kicking out ferociously in every direction at once. Just take a look at images filled with wrecked Russian tanks, or, on the other side, some photographs of what much of Mariupol now looks like."
"Why the role of cyberwar seems to be so much smaller than expected I do not know. Judging by some articles on the topic that have surfaced on the Net, neither do others. Based on what decades of study have taught me about the relationship between technology and war, though, personally I think there are several possibilities. * First, it may be that the difficulties an attacker faces in effectively penetrating an enemy’s computer network in such a way as to make a difference are greater than many experts had thought. * Second, the defenders on both sides may have prepared much more effectively than anyone expected. * Third, there is the question of secrecy. Meaning that, if there has ever been a field in which holding one’s cards, whether offensive or defensive, close to one’s chest is vital, this is the one."
"Such being the situation, I want to provide a * fourth explanation."
DEVOTED READERS TO THE BLOG WILL HAVE TO READ THE FOURTH EXPLANATION AND THE REST OF THE ARTICLE FOR THEMSELVES.
The threat of cyberwar sounds good on paper but has yet to materialize! With regard to Ukraine big booms and bangs preferred until now!
And thank you Professor. Your observations as usual keen and probably precise.