From You Tube and highly recommended without reservation or qualification.
"Colonel Markus Reisner [Austrian military] gives an update on the situation in Eastern Ukraine. And he describes what might come next." Jul 8, 2022. котёл = Kettle = Cauldron.
Without further ado to the video:
Comments:
Comments:
* Cauldron = "Soviet military doctrine distinguishes several sizes of encirclement:
Cauldron or kettle . . . a very large, strategic-level concentration of trapped enemy forces."
* This briefing is the real stuff. Not some reporter or so called military expert.
* Russians with all the firepower advantage still moving very slowly. Glacially so as they say.
* 100 % of Luhansk Russian liberated as they say but only 54 % of Donbass Russian liberated. Again, glacially slow.
* Russians pig headed trying to storm cities instead of bypassing. Heavy casualties
* Russian BTG their main advantage the overwhelming artillery firepower. Embedded artillery a Russian BTG far beyond normal as might be found in American battalion task force.
* Strategic bombardment they show the image of the Tu-22 Blinder no longer in the inventory. They maybe meant Tu-22M3.
* No mention of the grand strategic level consideration other than grain production or shipment. Ukraine their military munitions manufacturing capacity mostly destroyed? Not able to replace equipment most needed.
* Already planning for the winter are we. The fall they have the rasputitsa. No off-road movement possible.
* Ukrainian withdrawal is it a disorganized or organized movement? That is key too.
* Miracle on the Dneiper needed but not looking so good.
Colonel Reisner an outstanding briefer and an outstanding human being. One would hope a career officer of his caliber would rise to the rank of the highest order of command.
coolbert.
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