Beans.

This is coolbert:

From the Internet web site turcopolier.com as was posted two months ago.

American Defense Intelligence Agency [DIA] their estimation the Ukraine Conflict far wrong. Ability of the Ukrainian underestimated and gotten wrong to a degree no one ever anticipated!

"How did we miss that? – TTG"

Posted on May 11, 2022 by TTG

"A heated exchange between Senator [Angus - IN Maine] King and DIA Director General Berrier on whether the intel community failed to predict/understand Ukraine’s will to fight." 

* Berrier: “there was never an intelligence community assessment that said the Ukrainians lack the will to fight.”

* King: “The assessment was Ukraine would be overrun in a matter of weeks. That was grossly wrong.”

* Berrier: “Grossly wrong, but not a question of will to fight. We assessed their capacity to face the size of the Russian forces that were massed on their border was going to be very difficult for them.”

. . . . 

"The crux of the argument here seems to be that Berrier, while conceding the US intel community overestimated the strength and performance of Russia’s military, what the IC [intelligence community] understood about the capabilities and sizes of both militaries pointed to a likely Russian victory. This question of why the US IC didn’t better understand the Russian military’s internal weaknesses – lack of leadership, poor training – is something Berrier said earlier that officials will need to review."

I THINK THE CONSENSUS IS THAT AMERICAN INTELLIGENCE AGENCIES DURING THE ERA OF THE COLD WAR VERY GOOD AT BEAN COUNTING. HOW MANY TANKS, PLANES, MISSILES, WARSHIPS YOUR POTENTIAL ADVERSARY HAS. DETERMINING THE INTENTIONS OF YOUR POTENTIAL ADVERSARY AS TO HOW AND WHEN THOSE WEAPONS OF WAR MIGHT BE USED THE AMERICAN IC THEIR PERFORMANCE RATHER LACKLUSTER!

Consider within context some quotations:

* "God always favors the big battalions."

* "In war, three-quarters turns on personal character and relations; the balance of manpower and materials counts only for the remaining quarter."

* "Ви пишете мені, що це неможливо; слово не [українське]."

coolbert.