AFTER.

 

This is coolbert

The day AFTER in wartime usually referring to plans formulated and to be implemented with a cessation of hostilities. Grand strategy as normally understood.

Combat action Gaza once again hot-and-heavy. Area of the northern part of the Gaza Strip as previously declared "secure" by the Israel army seemingly not so!

"As defense chiefs confront Netanyahu over Gaza's 'day after,' three IDF divisions back in Gaza"

"The IDF said it had attacked over 150 targets on Saturday-Sunday, including using a wide range of air and artillery power, a heavy increase in the use of more destructive Israeli war machines."

From https://www.jpost.com | By YONAH JEREMY BOB, JERUSALEM POST STAFF | MAY 12, 2024.

[. . . . ]

"While the high point of the invasion in October-November had five divisions in Gaza, there was only one division, the 162nd, still there by April 7, and even that division was no longer at full strength."

"Total strength at this exact juncture three DIVISIONAL sized elements FULL strength."

"This means that the IDF is about halfway back to its full strength point in Gaza earlier in the war and signals the failure to prevent Hamas from quickly returning to power after seven months of war"

ETERNAL insurgency! The insurgent wins by outlasting the opponent. I imagine those Hamas personnel surviving deep underground in the tunnels and hardened bunkers waiting for that moment to emerge and create a lot of aggravation of the IDF. And ARE doing so.

From a comment to the article:

xx9100

"I don't understand this war. Israel takes land, clear it out and leaves. Hamas moves back in. Israel returns and clears again. Rinse and repeat. 

Normally when the army takes land they stay there until the war is completely over. What game is at play"

From my perspective that as experience of the American army during the Second Indo-China War.

coolbert.

Sergei.

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The new man the Ukraine Conflict. Russian. How many times has this occurred? 

Russian Defense Minister replaced but not banished!

"The man leading Russia's war in Ukraine is out in a surprise shake-up hinting at Putin’s true focus"

"Coming in to replace Shoigu is a figure established in Kremlin circles but largely unfamiliar to wider audiences, especially in the West."

https://www.nbcnews.com | By Yuliya Talmazan, Keir Simmons and Natasha Lebedeva | May 13, 2024.

"Russian President Vladimir Putin has proposed removing Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu from his post. Putin nominated First Deputy Prime Minister Andrey Belousov for the role."

"The man [Shoigu] leading Vladimir Putin‘s war in Ukraine was looking relaxed just last week as he appeared in uniform at the Russian leader’s fifth inauguration ceremony and then at Moscow’s annual Victory Day parade."

"But on Sunday he was removed as defense minister, the post he had held on to for more than a decade despite a rebel mutiny, a corruption scandal and a calamitous start to the full-scale invasion of Russia’s neighbor."

Consider this to be a significant development? Sergei a long-time friend and personal confidant of President Vlad Putin. That Sergei was replaced [again not banished or exiled] says something of importance and consequence.

Much [?] has been made that Sergei was a man WITHOUT real military experience. The NEW man likewise.

Vlad at this point in most concerned not so much with strategy/operations/tactics but grand strategy? Harness the economic structure of Russia totally to the Conflict and perhaps even things to follow?

coolbert.

Lingerie.

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“'These pictures enter a different realm,' . . . 'where one’s most intimate relations and private thoughts, feelings, and desires have been penetrated, looted, picked apart, and turned into jokes.'” - Nina Berman.

"‘The most moral army in the world’ is posing with Palestinian women’s underwear in Gaza"

"How should we understand a proliferation of photos of IDF soldiers mocking Palestinian women’s lingerie?"

From https://forward.com |  Nora Berman | March 29, 2024.

Here with an opinion by photo journalist Berman as seen at the Forward.

"There are many parallel battles being fought simultaneously in the Israel-Hamas war: a war of narratives, a war of regional actors and a war of history."

"Perhaps the most insidious and disturbing area of conflict, however, is the war of sex."

"Both Palestinians and Israelis have made allegations of sexual violence against the other during the course of war: Israelis on Oct. 7 and as hostages in captivity, and Palestinians during the Israeli invasion of Gaza." 

Sexual violence in the literal term as perpetrated on Israeli women by Hamas personnel. Figurative sexual violence as perpetrated by Israeli troops on female refugees of Gaza.

Israeli looting of homes Gaza also occurring on a rather widespread basis? Homes as abandoned by Gazan refugees systematically [?] searched for valuables.

Again all this an instance of Israeli triumphalism! We shit on you but you cannot shit on us. We [Israeli]are the master and you the Palestinian are the dog!

See previous blog entries viral video of Israeli troops behaving badly 
Gaza:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2024/02/viral.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2024/01/levi-i.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2024/01/levi-ii.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2024/02/triumphalism_19.html

coolbert.

Mulberry II.

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The JLOTS Gaza now ready to begin operation?

JLOT = Joint Logistics Over-the-Shore (JLOTS).

"US Prepares to Move Aid Over The Shore Into Gaza | Soldiers, Sailors, Mariners & Ships Offshore"

See the You Tube video an expert analysis of the JLOT:

Keypoints and takeaway:

* Inefficient way of delivering food aid in a famine crisis.

* Danger of the JLOTS being subjected to storm damage.

* Capacity of the entire delivering mechanism food aid to Gaza at the most able to provide one meal per day per person Gaza. Inadequate!

Think in context the Mulberry Harbors, the Normandy invasion, D-Day, WW2.

"Mulberry harbors were two temporary portable harbors developed by the British Admiralty and War Office during the Second World War to facilitate the rapid offloading of cargo onto beaches during the Allied invasion of Normandy in June 1944"

Mulberry always seen as an expedient means of delivering men and material to the invasion force subsequent to 6 June 1944. The seizure of the French port facility Cherbourg with all due speed a must requirement.

The Mulberry apparatus only in service for less than two full weeks before severe storm damage rendered the Normandy temporary port facility inoperable.

See all previous blog entries JLOTS:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2024/03/jlots.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2024/04/jlots-ii.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2024/05/jlots-iii.html

coolbert.

Humble.

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"This is a pretty humiliating way. You need to contact those to whom you sold this, offer money that can be more than the same parties paid Russia, and promise some other things. All in order to urgently get what is needed. All this, to put it mildly, testifies to the problems of " 

The normally proud Russian humbled with loss-of-face?

"In two years of the war, the manufacturer [Irkut] Su-30 returned military equipment from abroad to almost $ USD 500 million"

From https://www.moscowtimes.ru | 05/07/2024.

All this began before the SMO of 2022. Russians surely aware something drastic was going to occur.

"Aircraft manufacturer « Irkut » in 2022 – 2023 acquired from their foreign partners previously delivered military equipment for almost half a billion dollars, found out The Moscow Times, analyzing the data of Russian customs statistics. Similar transactions began back in 2021, and over the past three years their total amount has exceeded $ 900 million."

"Irkut, which was renamed Yakovlev last summer, is part of the United Aircraft Corporation Rosteha  and produces multi-purpose fighters Su-30 and Yak-130 combat training aircraft, as well as civilian liners SSJ-100, MS-21, Tu-214, Il-96, Il-114."

We have to be 100 % clear of what is occurring here. The manufacture of new Su-30 war planes  [Flanker-C/G/H)] apparently impeded by a lack of parts. The Russian [again the normally proud Russian] having to buy aviation parts [either aircraft in whole or sub-assemblies thereof as needed] from foreign militaries to alleviate shortages for which there appears to be no reasonable remedy.

Off-hand I think of one instance where the USA had to do something similar. M-14 rifles as had been sold to the armies of foreign nations. The M-14 back into the USA inventory to be converted as an expedient squad-level DMR [Dedicated Marksmanship Rifle]. 

coolbert.

Released.

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The Russians do it. The Ukrainian does it too?

Convicts as soldiers? Convicts?

 "Ukraine Raids Prisons for Recruits to Keep Army Numbers Up, But Bans Mass Murderers From Service"

The image courtesy Getty.

From https://www.breitbart.com | OLIVER JJ LANE10 May 2024.

"Ukraine is legislating to join Russia in sending recruiters into the nation’s prisons to bolster its military, as Moscow’s invasion grinds on and the casualty list grows ever longer."

"Ukraine’s Parliament has passed a draft law allowing certain classes of convicts to get out of jail early in return for military service. As noted, Ukraine’s ability to field enough soldiers to sustain the war against Russia is one of the nation’s greatest longer-term challenges of the war, its population considerably smaller than Russia’s and already disturbed and scattered by the conflict."

No mass murderers allowed! OH I am glad no mass murderers allowed!

Very bad idea to recruit criminal elements for soldiering period. Person undisciplined having poor character not making for good basic material. Convicts often see their conditional release from confinement as an opportunity to take advantage of a situation and do a lot of aggravation.

See a number of prior blog entries the recruiting of convicts for the Ukraine Conflict:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2024/04/rabble.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2024/02/inmates.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/12/recruitment-i.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/10/marker.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/07/bitches.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/04/convicts-ukr.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2016/09/convicts.html

coolbert.

Sardinia.

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Sardinia the Crimean War? Sardinia? Never heard of such a thing.

Thanks to the Internet web site VT and their article "The 'New' Crimean War"

From https://www.vtforeignpolicy.com | By Claudio Resta | March 29, 2024.

"Crimean War was a conflict fought between 1853 and 1856, which pitted Russia against a coalition of states formed by Great Britain, France, the Ottoman Empire and the Kingdom of Sardinia; The trigger for the war was control of the Balkan peninsula, the eastern Mediterranean and the Black Sea."

Strangely enough Sardinia indeed part and parcel of the Crimean War. See from the wiki entry what is deemed "Piedmontese involvement" in the conflict:

"Camillo di Cavour, under orders of Victor Emmanuel II of Piedmont-Sardinia, sent an expeditionary corps of 15,000 soldiers, commanded by General Alfonso La Marmora, to side with French and British forces during the war. This was an attempt at gaining the favor of the French, especially when the issue of uniting Italy would become an important matter. The deployment of Italian troops to Crimea, and the gallantry shown by them in the Battle of the Chernaya (16 August 1855) and in the Siege of Sevastopol, allowed the Kingdom of Sardinia to be among the participants at the peace conference at the end of the war, where it could address the issue of the Risorgimento to other European powers."

Those Sardinian units of Bersaglieri [sharpshooters] comporting themselves with honor during the conflict. The Italian Military Enigma as generally understood surely did not apply to the Sardinian troops during the Crimean War 

coolbert.