This is coolbert:
Russian response in measure to the shoot-down of the Il-20 Coot reconnaissance as promised has now been delivered.
From the latest edition of the DEBKAfile newsletter.
Russian all-encompassing electronic warfare [EW] jamming system now has been delivered to Russian [?] forces in Syria. Israel beware!
"Russia's first Krasukha-4 electronic warfare unit lands in Syria. It can jam spy satellites, enemy radar"
25 September.
"The Russian Krasukha-4 mobile electronic warfare system landed in Syria on Tuesday, Sept. 25. It was unloaded at the Russian Khmeimim Air Base near Latakia, one day after Russian Defense Minister Gen. Sergei Shoigu pledged systems for jamming systems of combat aircraft attacking Syria, in punishment for Israel's alleged role in downing the Russian IL-20 spy plane."
"The Krasukha-4 can jam communications systems, disable guided missiles and aircraft, and neutralize Low-Earth Orbit spy satellites and radars (AWACS) at ranges of 150-300km, covering northern and central Israel. The Russian EW system can also damage enemy EW. The IDF has no operational experience of the Krasukha-4, but the Americans have."
Israeli warplanes attacking targets in Syria, NOT EVEN IF INTRUDING SYRIAN AIRSPACE to be subjected to Russian jamming. Jamming to include the denial of GPS guidance systems as to be found on Israeli air-to-ground missiles such as Delilah, Sky Sniper, Rampage.
THIS SITUATION INTENSE, WITHOUT PRECEDENT. DAYS OF GOG AND MAGOG?
coolbert.
Saturday, September 29, 2018
Thursday, September 27, 2018
S-200 Syria.
This is coolbert:
From an Internet web site and the translation from Russian by Al some further info [excerpts] as per the shoot-down of the Russian Il-20 Coot reconnaissance warplane.
A hot topic and finally [?] we have some expert insight. And as copied more or less in entirety the comments [from the translation] by the Russian officer [ex] Yuri Alexeev:
“Since I [Yuri] studied the S-200 system at military school and then served at it for many years, I can state the following: the Arabs could not have confused an F-16 with an IL-20…"
[as to Yuri being a real live person with the purported background I cannot say with any certainty.]
“All the surfaces of a jet plane reflecting the radar beam are immobile. That’s why the reflected signal formed by the plane’s several ‘hot spots’ has roughly the same frequency and looks like three adjacent vertical lines."
“On the other hand, due to the Doppler effect, a turboprop plane (its rotating propellers create various Doppler additions to the signal frequency) produces a signal in the shape of multiple vertical lines that fill practically the whole radar screen."
“Any training of radar operators and other crew members starts from explaining these very differences. I’m sure our instructors who trained the Arab crew did just that…"
“It has to be said that the S-200B system is complex to maintain and operate. All sorts of procedures are involved in launching a rocket…"
“If the crew managed to launch a missile, they were clearly trained and definitely knew the difference in the footprints of a jet and a turboprop plane…"
“There’s a theory that the Syrian crew followed and attacked an F-16 that then performed an evasive maneuver, pushing into the radar coverage our plane that has a much larger reflective surface. The missile re-targeted it automatically and a hit occurred."
“Yes, that’s possible – but only if our plane was ‘lit up’ by the radar. If there had been no reflected signal, the missile would have self-destructed. That means the Arabs had been tracking our plane and therefore saw the reflected signal on the radar screen."
“Moreover, to re- target, the operator had to switch manually to the automatic tracking of the new target…"
“In my [Yuri] opinion, the Arabs knew what they were tracking and launched a missile deliberately. This is a matter of ‘corporate ethics’."
“Losing a target is the worst thing that can happen to an AA [anti-aircraft] officer. When we were on duty, we were issued pistols. Being young, we’d ask our commanders what the guns were for. They’d reply that, if you lose a target, go and shoot yourself, to save the paperwork at the court martial.
“All personnel at AA missile systems knew that still having un-launched rockets after an enemy raid was a guaranteed death sentence for themselves. It’s likely that the Arabs had been imbued with that principle, so they fired at whatever they saw.”
[readers will recall from the First Gulf War seeing images of the sky over Baghdad during night raids by American combat warplanes. The entire sky filled with rounds AAA rounds being fired and various detonations occurring. Arab AAA crews tend to be quite trigger happy!!]
SYRIAN SURFACE-TO-AIR MISSILE FIRING PERSONNEL MANNING THE S-200 SYSTEM COULD NOT HAVE MISTAKEN THE ISRAELI F-16 FOR THE IL-20 COOT? THIS SHOOT-DOWN COULD NOT HAVE BEEN A CASE OF FRATRICIDE AND MISTAKEN IDENTITY!
As I have said before at least in my mind this all bears a resemblance to the Gulf of Tonkin incident from over fifty years ago now.
RATHER THE COOT INCIDENT IS A FALSE FLAG OPERATION INTENDED TO CREATE A CRISIS TO BE TAKEN ADVANTAGE OF? WHOA BOY!
You the devoted reader to the blog decide for yourself but do so with caution. Once more also thank you Al!
coolbert.
From an Internet web site and the translation from Russian by Al some further info [excerpts] as per the shoot-down of the Russian Il-20 Coot reconnaissance warplane.
A hot topic and finally [?] we have some expert insight. And as copied more or less in entirety the comments [from the translation] by the Russian officer [ex] Yuri Alexeev:
“Since I [Yuri] studied the S-200 system at military school and then served at it for many years, I can state the following: the Arabs could not have confused an F-16 with an IL-20…"
[as to Yuri being a real live person with the purported background I cannot say with any certainty.]
“All the surfaces of a jet plane reflecting the radar beam are immobile. That’s why the reflected signal formed by the plane’s several ‘hot spots’ has roughly the same frequency and looks like three adjacent vertical lines."
“On the other hand, due to the Doppler effect, a turboprop plane (its rotating propellers create various Doppler additions to the signal frequency) produces a signal in the shape of multiple vertical lines that fill practically the whole radar screen."
“Any training of radar operators and other crew members starts from explaining these very differences. I’m sure our instructors who trained the Arab crew did just that…"
“It has to be said that the S-200B system is complex to maintain and operate. All sorts of procedures are involved in launching a rocket…"
“If the crew managed to launch a missile, they were clearly trained and definitely knew the difference in the footprints of a jet and a turboprop plane…"
“There’s a theory that the Syrian crew followed and attacked an F-16 that then performed an evasive maneuver, pushing into the radar coverage our plane that has a much larger reflective surface. The missile re-targeted it automatically and a hit occurred."
“Yes, that’s possible – but only if our plane was ‘lit up’ by the radar. If there had been no reflected signal, the missile would have self-destructed. That means the Arabs had been tracking our plane and therefore saw the reflected signal on the radar screen."
“Moreover, to re- target, the operator had to switch manually to the automatic tracking of the new target…"
“In my [Yuri] opinion, the Arabs knew what they were tracking and launched a missile deliberately. This is a matter of ‘corporate ethics’."
“Losing a target is the worst thing that can happen to an AA [anti-aircraft] officer. When we were on duty, we were issued pistols. Being young, we’d ask our commanders what the guns were for. They’d reply that, if you lose a target, go and shoot yourself, to save the paperwork at the court martial.
“All personnel at AA missile systems knew that still having un-launched rockets after an enemy raid was a guaranteed death sentence for themselves. It’s likely that the Arabs had been imbued with that principle, so they fired at whatever they saw.”
[readers will recall from the First Gulf War seeing images of the sky over Baghdad during night raids by American combat warplanes. The entire sky filled with rounds AAA rounds being fired and various detonations occurring. Arab AAA crews tend to be quite trigger happy!!]
SYRIAN SURFACE-TO-AIR MISSILE FIRING PERSONNEL MANNING THE S-200 SYSTEM COULD NOT HAVE MISTAKEN THE ISRAELI F-16 FOR THE IL-20 COOT? THIS SHOOT-DOWN COULD NOT HAVE BEEN A CASE OF FRATRICIDE AND MISTAKEN IDENTITY!
As I have said before at least in my mind this all bears a resemblance to the Gulf of Tonkin incident from over fifty years ago now.
RATHER THE COOT INCIDENT IS A FALSE FLAG OPERATION INTENDED TO CREATE A CRISIS TO BE TAKEN ADVANTAGE OF? WHOA BOY!
You the devoted reader to the blog decide for yourself but do so with caution. Once more also thank you Al!
coolbert.
Wednesday, September 26, 2018
Rampage II.
The missiles of September, Middle East style!
Consider and read the whole article courtesy of Yoav Limor and the Sheldon Adelson Internet web site Israel Hayom. The Israeli perspective the shoot-down of the Russian reconnaissance warplane and what is transpiring in the aftermath thereof. AS DEEMED A STRATEGICAL CRISIS FOR THE ISRAELI!
"A tactical incident turned strategic crisis"
"A week after Syrian air defenses accidentally downed a Russian reconnaissance plane over Latakia, this tactical incident has evolved into a serious strategic problem."
"Russia's insistence that Israel was to blame for the incident and the harsh messages coming out of the Kremlin leave little doubt, even among the most optimistic pundits, that reality in Syria is about to change."
SYRIAN TARGETS AS SUBJECT TO ISRAELI ATTACK MORE LIKELY IRANIAN WEAPONS STORAGE FACILITIES.
Attack also I reasonably infer by Israeli warplanes using stand-off missile systems. Syrian airspace not actually intruded by F-16, F-15, F-35. Aircraft not even needing to violate Syrian airspace as deemed to successfully destroy a target within Syrian territory.
Stand-off missiles to include: * Delilah * Rampage * Sky Sniper or even * EXTRA. [the latter ground-launched]
THAT ISRAELI STRATEGIC CRISIS WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF A MOST RECENT RUSSIAN TWEET EASILY UNDERSTOOD!
#Shoigu: "#Russia will jam satellite navigation [GPS], on-board radars and communication systems of combat aircraft that attack targets on #Syria/n territory, in the regions over the waters of the #Mediterranean Sea bordering #Syria"
"REGIONS OVER THE WATERS OF THE MEDITERRANEAN BORDERING SYRIA!"
Israeli warplanes even over the Mediterranean and beyond traditional Syrian airspace might now be subject to Russian attack, both direct and indirect!!
Consequences as well might be feared to be most terrible!
coolbert.
S-300.
This is coolbert:
Russian response to the downing of the Il-20 reconnaissance warplane retaliation as previously hinted at least to this extent indirect. Thanks to the Investment Watch blog for the heads-up.
"Russia Retaliates to Downed Airplane: Israel Will No Longer Be Capable of Bombing Syria With Impunity"
The Russian two-step in action to consist of:
1. Provide Syrian air defense with an upgraded and more capable S-300 surface-to-air missile system.
2. Jamming of all weapons systems [electronic guidance] used by aggressor warplanes [Israeli] firing at targets located within Syrian territory.
See the Maxim Suchkov tweet regarding item # 2.
#Shoigu: "#Russia will jam satellite navigation [GPS], on-board radars and communication systems of combat aircraft that attack targets on #Syria/n territory, in the regions over the waters of the #Mediterranean Sea bordering #Syria"
The Syrian will be ready and able in an instance to deploy and use in an effective manner the S-300? Russians will be embedded with the Syrian operators? A push-the-button-now sort of familiarity will be needed?
coolbert.
Russian response to the downing of the Il-20 reconnaissance warplane retaliation as previously hinted at least to this extent indirect. Thanks to the Investment Watch blog for the heads-up.
"Russia Retaliates to Downed Airplane: Israel Will No Longer Be Capable of Bombing Syria With Impunity"
The Russian two-step in action to consist of:
1. Provide Syrian air defense with an upgraded and more capable S-300 surface-to-air missile system.
2. Jamming of all weapons systems [electronic guidance] used by aggressor warplanes [Israeli] firing at targets located within Syrian territory.
See the Maxim Suchkov tweet regarding item # 2.
#Shoigu: "#Russia will jam satellite navigation [GPS], on-board radars and communication systems of combat aircraft that attack targets on #Syria/n territory, in the regions over the waters of the #Mediterranean Sea bordering #Syria"
The Syrian will be ready and able in an instance to deploy and use in an effective manner the S-300? Russians will be embedded with the Syrian operators? A push-the-button-now sort of familiarity will be needed?
coolbert.
Tuesday, September 25, 2018
Prinz.
This is coolbert:
A legacy of Able and Baker. American nuclear detonations in the aftermath of World War Two.
"How the U.S. Is Recovering Oil from a Nuked Warship"
"Prinz Eugen, once the pride of the German Navy, is sitting upside down in the Pacific and threatening to leak."
"The U.S. military is trying to recover the oil form a ship that's been underwater for 72 years. In an interesting twist, it's not even an American warship."
"The United States captured the German heavy cruiser Prinz Eugen as a war prize after the end of World War II. The Prinz Eugen capsized in 1946 after being nuked—twice—during the atomic bomb tests at Bikini Atoll. For decades, experts have feared that the radioactive ship's oil might leak into the Pacific. Now the Pentagon is trying to do something about it."
Radioactive oil. There it is in the nutshell. That "fleet" moored and subjected to Able and Baker damaged to a much lesser extent than was anticipated. Warships surviving relatively intact even without a crew to do damage control.
AND NO ONE EVER THOUGHT TO REMOVE THE OIL FROM THE PRINZ EUGEN PRIOR TO ABLE AND BAKER? EVIDENTLY NOT! OTHER WARSHIPS PRESENT ALSO THE SAME PROBLEM.?
Radioactive oil recovered you now have barrels full of the stuff that must be stored in a safe location in perpetuity as they say.
Pay me now or pay me later! Later in this case!
coolbert.
A legacy of Able and Baker. American nuclear detonations in the aftermath of World War Two.
"How the U.S. Is Recovering Oil from a Nuked Warship"
"Prinz Eugen, once the pride of the German Navy, is sitting upside down in the Pacific and threatening to leak."
"The U.S. military is trying to recover the oil form a ship that's been underwater for 72 years. In an interesting twist, it's not even an American warship."
"The United States captured the German heavy cruiser Prinz Eugen as a war prize after the end of World War II. The Prinz Eugen capsized in 1946 after being nuked—twice—during the atomic bomb tests at Bikini Atoll. For decades, experts have feared that the radioactive ship's oil might leak into the Pacific. Now the Pentagon is trying to do something about it."
See this video of Baker. Warships subjected to the nuclear blast clearly visible.
Radioactive oil. There it is in the nutshell. That "fleet" moored and subjected to Able and Baker damaged to a much lesser extent than was anticipated. Warships surviving relatively intact even without a crew to do damage control.
AND NO ONE EVER THOUGHT TO REMOVE THE OIL FROM THE PRINZ EUGEN PRIOR TO ABLE AND BAKER? EVIDENTLY NOT! OTHER WARSHIPS PRESENT ALSO THE SAME PROBLEM.?
Radioactive oil recovered you now have barrels full of the stuff that must be stored in a safe location in perpetuity as they say.
Pay me now or pay me later! Later in this case!
coolbert.
Thursday, September 20, 2018
DMZ Syria.
This is coolbert:
World War Three has been averted? Thank President Erdogan of Turkey if this is so!!
From Freeper and thanks to same.
"US military welcomes Russian-Turkish DMZ agreement in Syria....."
"The U.S. military Tuesday said it supported a plan to establish a demilitarized zone in northern Syria that would separate rebels in their last stronghold from advancing government forces. The agreement to create a buffer zone was worked out Monday in a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan held in Sochi, Russia. Russia’s defense minister said that under the agreement, Syria would refrain from launching an offensive on Idlib Province, the last major rebel stronghold."
Erdogan having in mind primarily the Uighur? Ethnic Turkish people who have established themselves in that area of Syria in/around Idlib.
A massive and overwhelming attack on Idlib by a combined Russian/Syrian/Hezbollah/Iranian force has been averted? A negotiated settlement can be amicably arrived at? Hard to see that the case but let us hope for the best.
See previous blog entries the topic of which was Idlib.
http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/09/china-idlib.html
http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/09/atw.html
Cooler heads are now going to prevail?
coolbert.
World War Three has been averted? Thank President Erdogan of Turkey if this is so!!
From Freeper and thanks to same.
"US military welcomes Russian-Turkish DMZ agreement in Syria....."
"The U.S. military Tuesday said it supported a plan to establish a demilitarized zone in northern Syria that would separate rebels in their last stronghold from advancing government forces. The agreement to create a buffer zone was worked out Monday in a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan held in Sochi, Russia. Russia’s defense minister said that under the agreement, Syria would refrain from launching an offensive on Idlib Province, the last major rebel stronghold."
Erdogan having in mind primarily the Uighur? Ethnic Turkish people who have established themselves in that area of Syria in/around Idlib.
A massive and overwhelming attack on Idlib by a combined Russian/Syrian/Hezbollah/Iranian force has been averted? A negotiated settlement can be amicably arrived at? Hard to see that the case but let us hope for the best.
See previous blog entries the topic of which was Idlib.
http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/09/china-idlib.html
http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/09/atw.html
Cooler heads are now going to prevail?
coolbert.
Wednesday, September 19, 2018
GoT.
This is coolbert:
Coot gone. Follow-up number two. From Freeper.
We now have a more cogent and reasonable explanation of what occurred with the Russian Il-20 Coot surveillance warplane shoot-down.
ISRAEL IS INVOLVED BUT ONLY INDIRECTLY SO?
THIS DOES SOUND AS GULF OF TONKIN [GoT] DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN! INDEED!!
1. "BREAKING NEWS: Russian Aircraft Downed.. Israelis Set Plane Up..Right To 'Adequate Response'"
"Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has expressed his outrage to Israel's Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman after 15 Russian servicemen died when their plane was shot down by Syrian air defenses during a sudden Israeli air attack. Russia's Defense Ministry says 4 Israeli F-16's used the larger Russian IL-20 plane as a decoy for their attack on the northern Syria city of Latakia."
2. "Syria Shoots Down a Russian Military Plane, and Moscow Blames Israel"
"Syrian antiaircraft missiles shot down a Russian military aircraft carrying 15 service members off the Syrian coast Monday night, the Russian Defense Ministry said. Moscow angrily blamed the Israeli military for what appeared to be a case of friendly fire, saying the Israelis were conducting air raids in the area and had given only a minute’s warning, too little for the Il-20 surveillance plane to fly out of harm’s way."
COOT USED AS A SHIELD BY ATTACKING ISRAELI WARPLANES? IF THE ISRAELI DID SO IN A DELIBERATE MANNER THIS IS GOING TO BE CONTENTIOUS.
An "adequate response" I infer to some sort of mean retaliation in kind. Most worrisome!
coolbert.
Coot gone. Follow-up number two. From Freeper.
We now have a more cogent and reasonable explanation of what occurred with the Russian Il-20 Coot surveillance warplane shoot-down.
ISRAEL IS INVOLVED BUT ONLY INDIRECTLY SO?
THIS DOES SOUND AS GULF OF TONKIN [GoT] DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN! INDEED!!
1. "BREAKING NEWS: Russian Aircraft Downed.. Israelis Set Plane Up..Right To 'Adequate Response'"
"Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has expressed his outrage to Israel's Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman after 15 Russian servicemen died when their plane was shot down by Syrian air defenses during a sudden Israeli air attack. Russia's Defense Ministry says 4 Israeli F-16's used the larger Russian IL-20 plane as a decoy for their attack on the northern Syria city of Latakia."
2. "Syria Shoots Down a Russian Military Plane, and Moscow Blames Israel"
"Syrian antiaircraft missiles shot down a Russian military aircraft carrying 15 service members off the Syrian coast Monday night, the Russian Defense Ministry said. Moscow angrily blamed the Israeli military for what appeared to be a case of friendly fire, saying the Israelis were conducting air raids in the area and had given only a minute’s warning, too little for the Il-20 surveillance plane to fly out of harm’s way."
COOT USED AS A SHIELD BY ATTACKING ISRAELI WARPLANES? IF THE ISRAELI DID SO IN A DELIBERATE MANNER THIS IS GOING TO BE CONTENTIOUS.
An "adequate response" I infer to some sort of mean retaliation in kind. Most worrisome!
coolbert.
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