Tuesday, May 1, 2012
This is coolbert:
Here from the Voice of America thanks to the tip from DEC this somewhat misleading headline. The latest update and info on the hunt for Joseph Kony and the Lord's Resistance Army [LRA]:
"US Uses Advanced Intelligence to Hunt LRA in Central Africa"
"Where is Kony?"
NOT "advanced" as in the use of high-technology intelligence gear. Advanced in the manner of the collection, processing and analysis of low-technology data and tidbits of info those tidbits the type of material as would have been understood immediately by a person such as Sun Tzu [500B.C.]!
Data and tidbits of intelligence as primarily from military patrols, reconnaissance, and info from agents in the field [spies] as gathered by case officers [agent runners]! LOTS AND LOTS of case officers each with LOTS AND LOTS of agents in the field [local spies].
Those normal methods of communication intercepts and photographic images as used by American military forces negated and not useful due to the conditions as found in central Africa.
1. Joseph and his minions too smart, not to using radio and cellphone communications, to the extent that they possess such equipment.
"Tracking the rebel leader is a major challenge. LRA fighters have all but abandoned using mobile or satellite phones to communicate with one another, making them very difficult to trace."
2. Photographic images and real-time television from drones and such deemed as difficult at best due to the inclement weather, cloud and ground jungle cover as found in the area [central Africa]. Joseph giving the order to disperse into small bands, wear civilian dress, do not carry your weapons openly, establish camps for hiding, camouflaged and concealed.
"Dispersed across an area the size of California, the LRA moves in small groups, only occasionally meeting up at pre-determined rendezvous points."
As described, JOSEPH AND THE LRA ARE IN A SURVIVAL MODE, BUT THAT IS ALL THEY NEED! THEY WIN IF THEY SURVIVE TO FIGHT ANOTHER DAY!
That American special forces unit operating as a collection point for the data as received, almost exclusively low-level tidbits of data from persons having knowledge as to the whereabouts of the LRA and hopefully Joseph. "Locals", "hunters" and "nomads" who have seen "something and are able to report in a manner that constitutes use-ability
"members of the local communities, as well as hunters and nomadic herdsmen who may have information to share about the LRA's whereabouts"
This is warfare almost in the ancient manner? Those five varieties of spies as would be have been instantly recognized by Sun Tzu and having a modern applicability to include:
* Local spies.
* Returned spies.
* Converted spies.
* Doomed spies.
* Inward spies.
DO NOT also preclude the possibility that Joseph is also engaging in an extensive [?] and quite deliberate campaign of disinformation intended to fool and trick the American special forces operatives. Feed facts and tidbits that are misleading and create "noise" that deceives. DECEPTION!
I just don't have a good feeling about any of this. Joseph has been at this business for over two decades now and would not have survived and thrived as he has without having an innate "street smarts" and uncanny ability to elude all the while deceiving those in pursuit. It will be the same now?