Wednesday, October 17, 2018

Interventionists.

This is coolbert:

Sunni versus Shia but much more than that?

The civil war in Yemen continues unabated apparently without any end in sight. As in Syria the presence of foreign military interventionists a major factor in the conflict.

Without regard to only those in the Saudi coalition arrayed against the Houthi rebels and as extracted from the South Front Internet web site:

"SUDANESE FORCES IN YEMENI WAR"

"Let’s count the countries, which have participated in the activities of the Saudi-led coalition, and define their roles."

Nations part and parcel of the Saudi coalition to include:

* Saudi Arabia.
* United Arab Emirates (UAE).
* Bahrein.
* Kuwait.
* Qatar.
* Jordan.
* Morocco.
* Egypt.
* Senegal.
* Sudan.

Understanding full well the contributions of each nation other than Saudi rather limited and sometimes only consisting of promises not kept.


Houthi fighters pose in front of the destroyed armored wheeled vehicle  That vehicle with slat armor but still vulnerable to a lightly-armed but still determined adversary 

"The US, some NATO countries, Turkey and others were involved in secondary roles. Their main goals are logistics, reconnaissance, arms delivery, moral support etc. but, according to some reports, the US Armed Forces have taken and are taking a limited role in clashes at the Saudi-Yemeni border."

"Secondary" roles but I might think much more significant that realized.

WE ARE NOT EVEN COUNTING THOSE FOREIGN INTERVENTIONISTS FRIENDLY TO THE HOUTHI CAUSE. IRANIAN AND HEZBOLLAH COMBATANTS, AID AND ASSISTANCE! NOR EVEN CONSIDERING OR INCLUDING IN THE MIX TERRORISTS OF THE AL QAEDA IN THE ARABIAN PENINSULA [AQAP].

Yemen a regional conflict with potential global geo-political ramifications? Strait of Bab al-Mandeb and all that!

coolbert.





Soldados.

This is coolbert:

One man, many weapons!

The Winged Hussars of the Polish cavalry I was familiar with.

The Leatherjackets [Soldados de Cuero] of New Spain I was not familiar with. [Spanish colonial possessions in North and South America referred to as New Spain]

Cavalry of the period each horseman in both cases carrying a mélange of weaponry.

 "mélange - - n. A mixture"

Poles carrying: * Lance * saber * rapier * musket * pistol * bow and arrow * war hammer.

One man, many weapons!

That Spanish soldado his multiplicity of weaponry to include: * short musket * a pair of pistols * bow and arrows * a short sword * a lance.

Again, one man, many weapons!

Armor also integral to the heavy cavalryman of the time. Poles wearing a metal helmet, metal breast plate and metal gauntlets.

Soldado carrying a small shield [buckler] and wearing a jacket consisting of seven thick layers of leather Leatherjackets!

"though leather was of course well known back into the Spanish colonial days the Southwest....the Soldados de Cuero (leatherjackets) wore these to stop Apache arrows"

Soldado rated as BEST horsemen in the world. Stirrups in the Mongol manner a platform allowing for the horseman to stand up while riding.

Read at this web site the advantage to be gained for the rider using a stirrup of the "Mongol" variety.

Impressive!

coolbert.





Monday, October 15, 2018

Macedonia.

This is coolbert:

Some damn fool thing in the Balkans?

All of this is rather strange. At least to me.

From the Russia Insider Internet web site. Russia Insider I had not heard of before. Some sort of Moscow government controlled media akin to RT and Sputnik?

"NATO Welcomes Another Military Midget"

"Today the transatlantic alliance [NATO] has descended into farce. Earlier this year, NATO invited the small Balkans country of Macedonia to join its ranks. In what now passes for the historic 'Great Game' in Europe, officials anxiously awaited the results of Macedonia’s referendum on a national name change. Approval would allow the Western alliance to augment its collective forces by an astounding 8,000 men and 31 tanks."

Macedonia the nation-state desiring entry into the European Union and eventual membership into the NATO alliance.

All this abhorrent to the Russian? That referendum not even including 50 % of the voting public and is not going to be binding?

See other Internet web sites and articles here and here the topic of which was a variety of outsider machinations. Macedonia as a strategic factor in Balkan and European calculations I think to many the very idea is amusing. But no?

Some damn fool thing in the Balkans must be taken in the context of Sarajevo, the Archduke and his wife, 1914! Hardly that we might never forget.

EVEN IF MACEDONIA IS EVENTUALLY ACCEPTED INTO THE NATO ALLIANCE IN WHATEVER CAPACITY, THEIR MILITARY SO SMALL AS TO BE NO THREAT TO THE RUSSIAN! SO WHY ALL THE FUSS THEN?

coolbert.




Friday, October 12, 2018

Impasse?

This is coolbert:

Australians now at odds with the French? Shortfin now fini? Soryu yes Barracuda no? I thought this was a done deal!

From the story as seen at Freeper.

"Aussies At Impasse With France Over New Sub; Japan May Win"

"You don’t often think about France and Australia, unless you really know your history and know that a French explorer arrived in the Antipodes days after the First Fleet arrived from Britain and that much of the vast continent was surveyed by French sailors. But France and Australia may grow much closer . . .  if they can sign a strategic partnership agreement to clear the path for work on a stealthy attack submarine known as the Shortfin Barracuda. That is beginning to look less likely, with French and Australian politicians and policymakers increasingly questioning the program."

"France and Australia must resolve major differences over the Aussie’ new submarine program before a new Australian government is elected next year, and the most obvious alternative is Japan."

A$50 billion [Australian dollars] contract at stake here? NO chump change as they say.

See previous blog entries the topic of which was the next-generation RAN submarine. Royal Australian Navy having decided first on the French model Shortfin Barracuda but now the impasse?

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/02/shortfin.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/04/steel.html

coolbert.








Allies.

This is coolbert:

To war with insect! Cyborg style!

"Cyborg - - A cyborg short for "cybernetic organism" is a being with both organic and biomechatronic body parts"

"Cyborg insect! Beyond micro-drone. A weapon of war."

Thanks to Freeper and the original story from Live Science.

"The Pentagon Wants to Make an Army of Virus-Spreading Insects. Scientists Are Concerned."

"Pentagon research project called 'Insect Allies.' Funded by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), the project involves using gene-editing techniques like CRISPR to infect insects with modified viruses that could help make America's crops more resilient."

HAS THE POTENTIALITY AS A BIO WEAPON VECTOR [vector an organism, typically a biting insect or tick, that transmits a disease or parasite from one animal or plant to another.]. IF YOU CAN USE THESE CYBORG TO MAKE AMERICAN CROPS MORE "RESILIENT" YOU CAN ALSO USE TO MAKE CROPS OF AN ENEMY LESS RESILIENT!

The future is NOW too! These cyborg insects already commercially available.

coolbert.









DWI Darwin.

This is coolbert:

Another American military man behaving badly. Aussies beware.

"Head of US marine force in Darwin stood down for drink-driving on nightclub strip"

Thanks to the tip from Freeper and the story by Jacqueline Breen courtesy ABC.

"The head of the US marine force stationed in the Top End [Darwin] has been relieved of his command for drink-driving on Darwin's nightclub strip."

"Colonel James Schnelle, 48, appeared in Darwin Local Court this morning, charged with medium-range drink-driving."

Charged and evidently relieved of command. Pending conviction? That is not clear? Nonetheless the man removed from his position.

Be ashamed. Be very ashamed. Setting a poor example for the lower ranking and younger men.

See previous blog entry [with further links] the topic the USMC contingent stationed Darwin:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2017/04/mrf-2017.html

coolbert.


Thursday, October 11, 2018

Unified.

This is coolbert:

C^3 = Command, control. communications.

Again belatedly so from that latest edition of the DEBKAfile news letter:

"Syria's S-300s will be integrated in Russia's national nuclear C^3 command and control system"

3 October.

"When Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said on Oct. 2 that the 'unified' S-300 air defense systems in Syria will be installed in Syria by Oct. 20, he meant its integration in the Russian homeland system. That is the real import of Moscow's response to the downing of its Il-20 spy plane on Sept. 17 . . . Putin seized on the disaster to establish in Syria an advanced air defense weapons system linked not only to the Russian Khmeimim Air Base in Latakia, but integrated in Russia's own C^3 command, control and communications system against nuclear attack."

During the era of the Cold War Soviet air defense referred to as PVO Strany. Air Defense of the Homeland. That combined force of surface-air missiles, manned interceptors, radars and anti-aircraft -artillery.

PVO now gone since the time of having merged with the Russian Air Force.

Syria and Russian air defense now a combined and unified entity with robustness that cannot be denied. A regional threat beyond mere borders!

Unprecedented and ominous and obviously of concern to the Israeli primarily so?

coolbert.







Reach.

This is coolbert:

Dress rehearsal? A show of force? Iranian missiles and drones with an impressive demonstration of regional reach and capability.

Belatedly from that latest edition of the DEBKAfile news letter:

1. "Rev Guards fire 8 missiles from Iran against ISIS in E. Syria"
   
1 October.

"Tehran state media reported that on Monday, Oct. 1 IRGC missiles targeted the 'headquarters of the terrorists' [Islamic State] east of the Euphrates in Syria in reprisal for their attack on a military parade in Ahvaz on Sept. 8, which killed 30 people and injured scores. The missiles were fired from the Iranian Kurdish region of Kermanshah. It was the second time in three weeks that the Revolutionary Guards had fired surface missiles from their base in Kermanshah at a target outside Iran."

2. "Strategic breakthrough for Iran in unimpeded drone-missile attack on E. Syria"
   
2 October.

"Neither Israel nor the US intervened when Iran broke new strategic ground on Monday, Oct. 1 by sending a squadron of 11 stealth UAVs to attack ISIS [Islamic State] in E. Syria . . . The attack drones were greater cause for concern than the 8 surface missiles the Revolutionary Guards launched from their base in Kermanshah in western Iran. Like the missiles, the assault drones cut through Iraqi air space to their targets in Syria without asking Baghdad for permission, but, unlike the missiles, they also returned to home base by the same route unhindered."

THIS IS ALL A WARNING TO THE ISRAELI? THE IRANIAN SENDING A MESSAGE LOUD AND CLEAR?

See also this War is Boring Internet web site article the topic of which is the Iranian UAV program.

coolbert.


Korean War VIII.

This is coolbert:

Conclusion!

Final link to the You Tube video the topic being the Korean War:

"Korean War - PART 31, Who won the war?"

"Some Korean people discuss their feelings about the war..."

As to the Korean War, who lost and who won:

* North Korea definitely lost the war. Too much death and destruction for what was gained.

* South Korea definitely lost the war. Too much death and destruction for what was gained.

* The United States lost the war. Too much death and expenditure of resources for what was gained. Goal of unifying Korea under the flag of the United Nation Command not achieved.

* Communist China lost the war. Too much death and expenditure of resources for what was gained. Goal of unifying Korea under the banner of Red Communism not achieved.

* The Soviet Union lost the war. Intrigues of Stalin thwarted. Kim in the aftermath of the war more independent of Stalin and the Soviet Union and Communist China both I would think much to the chagrin of Moscow and Peking..

* Japan indirectly won the war. American protective posture assurance more or less guaranteed. Long-term American commitment in Asia a result of the war.

* Nationalist China indirectly won the war. American protective posture assurance more or less guaranteed. Long-term American anti-communist commitment in Asia a result of the war.

* America too indirectly WON THE WAR! Cold War adversaries so impressed [and frightened?] with American resolve in Korea further attempts by hostile powers [communist] to provoke an additional and much-wider scale "hot war" [such as in Europe] muted and averted.

* South Korea [ROK] too in the long-run WON the war! It took many decades but the South Korea story of economic development and now democracy robust perhaps one of the most remarkable stories in the entire history of mankind! Can someone suggest or find a historical parallel or equivalent?

The end! Now we know where we have been we have a better idea of how we got here [Korean Crisis] and to an extent where we are going?? I am not sure.

coolbert.


Wednesday, October 10, 2018

Korean War VII.

This is coolbert:

Further links to the You Tube video the topic of which is the Korean War:

"Korean War - PART 26, Koje-do POW Camp"

"The commander of Kojedo Island POW camp, General Dodd, is captured by his own prisoners. He promised to stop forced 'screening' of POWs. He was relieved of command upon release."

* Chinese communist prisoners-of-war took the Koje-do camp over. Captured and held hostage the American general in charge of the camp.

* Chinese Communist Forces [CCF] Red Army commissars voluntarily and with quite deliberate intent surrendering to the American military. Object to gain access to Chinese army troops held captive by the United Nations command. Commissars their goal to organize communist troops for resistance of whatever nature was possible.

* Larry Wu-Tai Chin the Chinese Communist spy one of the most devastating spies in all of history. Larry by the estimate of the CIA a man single-handedly prolonging the Korea War by at least a year!

* Germ warfare allegations continue to this day but are a HOAX. Commie agitation and propaganda [agit-prop] effective even unto this very day!

* American machinations to remove Rhee an operation code-named Ever-Ready. AGAIN RHEE SEEN AS A LOOSE CANNON.

"loose can·non - - noun - - an unpredictable or uncontrolled person who is likely to cause unintentional damage."

"Korean War - PART 27, Denouement"

"denouement - - n. The conclusion or resolution of a plot"

"The war is coming close to an end. Close to 5 million refugees live in the South. Millions of children were abandoned. The vast disparity between the relative wealth of the foreigners in South Korea and the great poverty of the Korean population, in their own country, stands out."

* 5 million refugees [1 million abandoned children] in South Korea. A tremendous strain on the entire society.

* South Korea not a wealthy country BEFORE the war. Conditions during the war exacerbated by millions of refugees for which there was no accommodation. The separation of families between North and South continues almost seventy years later.

"Korean War - PART 28, End of the War"

"President Syngman Rhee releases North Korean POWs to derail the armistice talks (6:25). The Armistice talks go into the final phases. Operation 'Little Switch', the first big exchange of prisoners, takes place. In the meantime, the war goes on."

* Rhee continues with misguided and counter-productive efforts to disrupt armistice talk. Releases North Korean POW on his own initiative.

* Armistice when finally signed done without the participation of Rhee.

* Both sides of the war attempting to gain an upper hand during truce negotiations. Combat continuing while talks in progress. That demilitarized zone [DMZ] the demarcation line as to be set where the fighting had stopped.

* When armistice talks concluded, the adversaries more or less in the same location as when the war started. A stalemate without reasonable amelioration.

"Korean War - PART 29, Two Koreas...again"

"The political regimes of both the DPRK and the ROK consolidate and solidify their control over their respective parts of Korea after the war. Kim Il Sung purges political rivals in the north, while Syngman Rhee plays his own political games in the south."

* Kim purging his own Communist party of Stalinist elements! Those continuing to be loyal to the Soviet. Kim becomes his own man!

* Rhee unfortunately ruling in the manner of the strong-man, an autocrat who brooks no opposition. Protruding nails will be hammered is the expression most applicable..

* Some Chinese POW under UNC control mutilating or tattooing their bodies in defiance, evidence of their refusing repatriation to mainland China.

"Korean War - PART 30, Post-War Korea"

"The war ends with Korea still divided."

* Economic miracle of South Korea in the aftermath of the war undeniable.

* North Korea their rebuilding also remarkable, but at great cost societal-wise.

More to follow!

coolbert.


Korean War VI.

This is coolbert:

Still yet more links to the You Tube video the topic of which is the Korean War:

"Korean War - PART 21, Prisoners of War [1]"

"The Gloucesters of the British 29th Brigade are taken prisoner of war after the battle of the Imjin River in April, 1951. The war stabilizes at around the 38th parallel, and the two sides agree to negotiate in the summer of 1951"

* Korea the last war British Commonwealth Forces fought as part of a single integrated command.

* Communist treatment of UNC POW must be thought of as beyond mere incarceration. Also an educational process.

* The last two years of the war the status of prisoners of war [POW] and repatriation of POW a central issue of negotiations between the warring parties. The Korean War basically a single year of movement followed by several years of wrangling over an armistice and POW repatriation.

* See prior blog entry the experience of Sir Michael Caine the actor during his service in Korea.

"Korean War - PART 22, Bombing of North Korea"

"This episode details the UN bombing campaign over North Korea and the results for the people on the ground. The majority of civilians killed in the Korean War were killed in North Korea by air attack. (This segment on the bombing of North Korea was censored from the US version of this documentary.)."

* That American strategic bombing effort the target North Korean cities far greater than what I had thought.

* Tactical air campaign Operation Strangle the results of which were inconclusive.

* Strategic bombing did not work in Korea. 600,000 tons of bombs. 2 million civilians dead in North Korea but the adversary still not capitulating.

"Korean War - PART 23, Prisoners of War [2]"

"Truce talks continue as the war goes on. The Battle of Heartbreak Ridge (known to the North Koreans as 'The Battle of Height 1211') in October 1951 was Verdun-style trench warfare, albeit with perhaps more fire-and-maneuver than the Great War battle. The North Koreans believe that this was the toughest battle of the war"

* United Nations forces thought to be more prepared and adept at trench style warfare in the manner of combat ala' World War I.

* American air force prepared for use of atomic weapons. This was Hudson Harbor. Repeated demonstrations to intimidate the communist leadership. Use of atomic weapons was indeed a possible.

* Chinese Communist treatment of UNC POW more correct and humane.

"Korean War - PART 24 Geojedo POW camp [3]"

"The Western prisoners' Chinese captors attempt to 're-educate' them, and try to get the POWs to question their countries' involvement in the war"

* American military promulgates the Code of Conduct in the aftermath of the Korean War. The behavior of some American military personnel while in communist captivity found to be wanting and remedial measures taken.

* American POW nearly a thousand of them sent to the Soviet Union for Nuclear/Chemical/Biological warfare experimentation.

* North Korean/Chinese/Soviet efforts at re-education of UNC POW yielding scant results it would appear for the amount of effort as expended.

* American soldiers found to be deficient in their knowledge of chain-of-command.Again, performance of some American troops in communist captivity found to be lacking.

* Behavior of communist POW under control of UNC "an example how POW should behave to create maximum nuisance value". A military best.

"Korean War - PART 25, Germ Warfare"

"The North Koreans and Chinese alleged that the USA dropped disease-infected insects on North Korea and China in 1952."

* Insects used as biological warfare vectors during winter not a do-able?

* Those North Korean propaganda films showing personnel testing for germ agents those lab technicians not taking precautionary protective measures .

* Accusation of germ warfare when made difficult if not impossible to disprove.

More to follow!

coolbert.


Tuesday, October 9, 2018

Korean War V.

This is coolbert:

Yet still more links to the You Tube video the topic of which is the Korean War:

"Korean War - PART 16, The Low Point"

"200,000 PLA troops roll back the UN army from North Korea. 10 PLA divisions slam into the 8th Army in the west, sending them back to the south. The war is going very badly for the UN forces, as a major Chinese intervention was not foreseen"

* Communist Chinese Forces [CCF] known even in the fall of 1950 to number more like 300,000 troops the immediate area of the Manchurian/Korean border.

* The Chinese offensive consisting of Phase One [early November] and Phase Two [late November].

* CCF units at that exact moment probably the BEST light infantry in the world.  Experienced, motivated, hardened, resolute. As was the North Korean soldier in June 1950 so was the CCF soldier in November 1950. American troops far outclassed in some instances?

* Chinese soldiers fully well understand not impervious to extreme cold. Probably suffering worse than UNC personnel.

"Korean War - PART 17, Winter of 1950 / Atrocities"

"The US Marines of the 10th Corps fight their way out of the Chinese envelopment, helped by uncontested control of the air. The retreat was orderly, unlike the 'bug-out' in the west."

* Bug-out as to leave quickly. In the Korean context American troops in some instances retiring from the battlefield in a less than orderly and planned manner.

* U.S. Army RCT [Regimental Combat Team] 31 more or less obliterated east of the Chosin reservoir. Twenty-four hundred men at the start of the battle [28 November], four days later only four-hundred men left standing!!

* UNC forces betrayed by treachery of the worst possible sort. The spy ring of Philby/Burgess/MacLean passing secrets of inestimable value to the communist during this period.

"Korean War - PART 18, Retreat from the North"

"General Walton Walker is killed in a jeep accident in North Korea. The 10th Corps leaves North Korea. Humiliated, the UN forces destroy as much as they can in their retreat out of North Korea"

* Only two nations in the history of warfare [U.S. and Great Britain] have demonstrated a capacity to execute a reverse amphibious operation while under pressure and done so in an organized manner, not a disastrous pell mell retreat. The evacuation of X Corps from Wonsan such an instance.

"Korean War - PART 19, Hard fighting"

"The combined Chinese/North Korean forces try to defeat the UN in South Korea. Ridgeway's [sic] change of strategy meant that the UN forces would hold ground, relinquish it, then counterattack with superior air and artillery support"

* Matt Ridgway the only senior American combat commander in Korea who seems to have emerged from the conflict with his reputation more or less intact.

* Measures as implemented by Ridgway to counter the massed human-wave attacks of the Chinese called "Meatgrinder".

"Korean War - PART 20, MacArthur is Fired"

"MacArthur is fired due to his criticism of US president, Truman"

* MacArthur wanting to widen the war into Manchuria. MacArthur wanting to use the atomic bomb. MacArthur also wanting to "lay down" a radioactive cobalt layer on the border between Manchuria and Korea. MacArthur also wanting to commit Nationalist Chinese troops to the fray.

* Douglas MacArthur unfortunately having a big mouth and openly critical of American military policy in Korea. A big mouth and openly critical and expressing himself too frequently. His dismissal a sad ending to an illustrious career.

More to follow!

coolbert.

Korean War IV.

This is coolbert:

Continuing yet further with more links from a You Tube video the topic of which is the Korean War:

"Korean War - PART 11, I Landings (August 1950)Incheon"

"The Incheon landings of Operation Chromite effectively turns around the disaster for the UN forces."

* Japanese personnel [in a civilian capacity] participating in the Incheon landings. Those Japanese having an intimate knowledge of the tidal conditions present Incheon. [second most extreme tidal conditions in the world!]

* Naval assets and merchant vessels as devoted to Chromite their world-wide movement to vicinity of Incheon apparently not detected by communist intelligence?

"Korean War - PART 12, Breakout: Sept. 1950-"

"The 8th US Army and the 10th US Corps link up on September 22nd, and are successful in capturing Seoul. North Korean atrocities are discovered upon the recapture of South Korean territory." .

* Seoul changing hands four times during the war. A capital city of a nation [ROK] more or less obliterated by constant and unremitting combat.

"Korean War - PART 13, To the 38th Parallel and beyond-"

"The South Korean army crosses the 38th parallel, and MacArthur soon follows, without much thought to the consequences with China."

* Pursue your enemy, allowing the foe no let or surcease. Do not allow the adversary to reconstitute as an organized fighting units. Sound military doctrine.

"Korean War - PART 14, China enters-"

"Here (at 3:52), the French journalist, Philippe Daudy, addresses the Americans' use of the term, 'gook' in the Korean War. Also in this episode: Secretary of the Army [State] George C. Marshall is concerned that the US public will not understand that ideas of 'winning' and 'losing' are not exactly applicable to a limited war, like Korea."

* Gook that word derogatory in nature a derivation of the Korean words for American person [Mi-guk] and Korean person [Han-guk]

* Indeed, the American public having thought such a conflict as Korea with the ground combat would never occur again. NOR was victory as understood within the context of the Second World War possible.

* Once more [twice in a period of less than six months] MacArthur and Far East Command caught with their pants down, surprised by the Chinese onslaught. Very experienced and competent commander and staff again flummoxed and made to look very bad!

* See the previously highly classified American CIA document item # 1 the numbers of CCF troops as close to the Manchurian/Korean border and their intention as made manifest.

"Korean War- PART 15, The Rout of the UN"

"MacArthur asks the US Air Force to make good on its promise to obliterate the Chinese forces now routing the UN armies out of North Korea. President Truman is afraid of widening the war, and asks that bombing be restricted to Korea to avoid a wider war."

* That number of North Koreans killed by American saturation bombing prodigious. Estimated to be as many as two million?

 * MacArthur his his pronouncement that the war might be over by Christmas neither a boast or a declaration. "If all goes according to plan some of the boys might be home for Christmas." If! Some! Might! Devoted readers to the blog make your own determination.

More to follow!

coolbert.


Friday, October 5, 2018

Korean War III.

This is coolbert:

Continuing with links to the You Tube video the topic the Korean War:

"Korean War - PART 6, The First Weeks (June, July 1950"

"In the first few weeks of the North Korean attack of June 1950, the USA changes its defense policy in East Asia to include defending South Korea and Taiwan from attack."

* The American Seventh Fleet interposing in the Formosa [Taiwan] Strait between Red China and Taiwan. [protection of the Nationalist government on Formosa guaranteed with conditions].

* South Korean army units [more of a constabulary force as that term understood] understandably not able to withstand massed formations of advancing T-34 tanks. Retreat and regroup the only option and this done repeatedly. Often retreat in a routed and disorganized manner. This again somewhat understandably so.

* The Soviet delegation as part and parcel of the United Nations Security Council boycotting all proceedings totally absent from UN deliberations to send a UN combat force to Korea in response to the North Korean invasion.

"Korean War - PART 7, The First Weeks (June, July 1950"

"In this episode is a detailed description of the USA's first land battle involving Task Force [TF]  Smith, and the ill-preparedness of US soldiers who thought they were in Korea to just make a show of force."

* Task Force Smith [as commanded by Lt. Colonel Smith] an under strength and ill-prepared unit. A task force as designated normally consisting of a full-strength infantry battalion reinforced. Smith having under his command two companies of infantry not even fully manned and a single battery of artillery [six guns].

* Strange that the effectiveness of the Soviet T-34 tank not anticipated. T-34 more or less impervious to American anti-tank weaponry.

* None of the military planners in Washington working under emergency conditions actually thought TF Smith would have to do battle with the North Koreans. TF Smith merely would set up a blocking-position beyond the North Korean would not dare move further south. This of course was not to be!

* The North Korean army a mix of regular conventional ground units and guerrilla combatants. Teams [four-man] in civilian dress infiltrating south with columns of refugees. Each man of the team armed with dagger, pistol, hand grenades concealed on their person. Fight during hours of darkness, taking advantage of a situation to attack American units when possible.

"Korean War - PART 8, Summer of 1950"

"This episode outlines the great expansion of the US defense budget in response to a new US policy outlined in NSC-68; an expansion that made defense expenditures amount to about 20% of US GDP"

* Conscription for military service becoming an aspect of American life for over two decades as a result of Korea.

* American defense spending as a percentage of the federal budget increases markedly.

"Korean War - PART 9, July, August 1950"

"This episode details the fighting around the Naktong River, west of Taegu and the Pusan perimeter."

* Read here of the spontaneous and ad hoc codebreaker unit able to provide extremely vital real-time intelligence to UNC forces as besieged during the fighting in and around the Pusan Perimeter.

"Korean War - PART 10, Pre-Incheon (August 1950"

"UN forces enjoy almost complete air superiority, and the bombing campaign begins. The Naktong River battles continue, with the NKPA pushing UN forces further into a tighter perimeter east of the Naktong and south of Pohang."

* Air superiority continuing until the arrival of Soviet piloted MiG-15. Relentless B-29 saturation bombing of North Korea continuing until early 1951 and the events that became known as "Black Thursday". Soviet MiG-15 jet fighter proven to be superior to the American counter-part at that stage of the war.

* Contingency plans were drawn for a Dunkirk-type reverse amphibious operation if the situation in the Pusan perimeter became too acute.

More to follow!

coolbert.










Thursday, October 4, 2018

Korean War II.

This is coolbert:

Beginning here with links to the You Tube video the topic of which is the Korean War:

"Korean War - PART 1, Prelude to war (1945)"

"An explanation of the first year(s) of the Occupation of Korea (1945-1949), and some of the key Koreans and Foreign authorities involved."

* Korea since 1905 until American and Soviet liberation as controlled and ruled by Japan.

* North Korea [DPRK] relatively strong and prosperous as opposed to to South Korea [ROK] in those immediate years in the aftermath of the Second World War. The North having industrial development [courtesy of the Japanese] of a fairly substantial sort.

* North Korea their military very well organized and equipped. Possessing heavy weapons such as tanks [T-34] and artillery.

* South Korea [ROK] relatively poor and almost exclusively agrarian when compared to North Korea [DPRK]. Very little if any industrial capacity.

* South Korea their military more along the lines of a constabulary force [conventionally armed police] rather than an army. NOT possessing heavy weapons as understood, tanks, artillery, etc. Personnel quite often hold-overs from the period of Japanese rule, a constabulary cadre of which having a reputation for knocking and breaking open heads on command.

To be more precise for the edification of the reader a constabulary:

"A military or paramilitary type force [constabulary] consisting of soldiers trained for police duties . . .

"Korean War - PART 2, Prelude to war (1946-1947)"

"A further explanation of the Korean factional powers that took over the Russian"'s and USA's respective occupation zones of Korea during the 1945-1947 period."

* Kim Il Sung his curriculum vitae [CV] not well understood. According to some Kim was [?] a Soviet citizen of ethnic Korean background, a captain in the Red Army and had fought at Stalingrad. A puppet figurehead as installed by Stalin. Loyal, obedient, reliable in all measures to create a Stalinist totalitarian regime.

* Syngman Rhee American educated and a Christian [with Austrian-born wife] but with an autocratic style and apparent messianic complex whose policies often were at odds with an American sense of fair play, free elections, etc. RHEE A LOOSE CANNON!

* North Korean a dictatorial system using draconian methods of population control no opposition present or allowed. South Korea the populace more politically fractured, a situation contentious and discordant. South Korean political situation CHAOTIC.

"Korean War - PART 3, Yeosu - Sunchon Rebellion (1948-1949"

"An explanation of the Yeosu-Suncheon Rebellion, Jeju Island Uprising, withdrawal of the occupation forces, and the willingness of both the northern AND southern regimes to begin a war to unify Korea."

 * "Ferment existed in the South, pro and con Rhee. Revolutionary violence and reprisal surprisingly [?] more common than generally thought.

"Korean War - PART 4, Beginning of 'The War' (1949-1950"

"This episode deals with the January 12, 1950 Press Club speech by US Secretary of State Dean Acheson which left Korea out of the United States' 'defense perimeter'. Also is an explanation of the North Korean preparations for war."

* The Dean Acheson speech controversial. Often it is suggested that  Korea not being included in the from that American "defense perimeter" as stated sending a go-ahead signal [even if unintentional] to the North Korean.

* To have a complete and 100 % full understanding as to the origins of the Korean War see the You Tube video:  "Messengers from Moscow - Part 2 of 4 (BBC 1995)".  Seventeen minutes into the video as shown and elaborated upon documents from Soviet archives without question [?] verifying the go-ahead signal from Stalin, North Korea and Kim merely executing prepared plans for the invasion south. Stalin having his well-thought-out reasons for war, to gain long-term advantage over Communist China, Soviet unquestioned dominance in the Far East the goal.

* Tensions obvious to all. Incursions by both sides more common [?] than realized.

"Korean War - PART 5, Beginning of the Attack (June 1950)"

"The Korean Civil War enters into a major phase: The South Korean military attempts to deal with the initial attack from the North in June 1950. The North Koreans blame the South Korean army on the Ongjin Peninsula of attacking first."

* North Korean [DPRK units at that exact moment probably the BEST light infantry in the world. Troops having combat experience in World War Two [WW2] and the Chinese Civil War. Soldiers experience, hardened, resolute.

* Surprisingly so [?] the U.S. government does not seem to had an apparatus in place to deal with crisis. Ad hoc response only possible and then subjected to continuous dynamic change for which only very imprecise information was available.

* Also surprisingly so [?] MacArthur and his Far East Command caught flat-footed and flummoxed by the North Korean attack! MacArthur and his staff veterans of the Second World War and highly experienced. but caught off-guard, bewildered and baffled by events as transpired.

More to follow!

coolbert.

Korean War I.

This is coolbert:

Here begins a series of blog entries, links to a You Tube video the subject of which is the Korean War.

I MUST WARN THE DEVOTED READER TO THE BLOG THE QUALITY OF THESE VIDEO POOR BUT STILL VIEW-ABLE!

As originally produced almost thirty years ago but so much more significant as it pertains to the present day Korean Nuclear Crisis.

My comments as usual starred! * 

You cannot know where you are and where you might be going unless you know where you have been?

"Korea: The Unknown War (1988– )

By —Mark Lovmo. And all thanks to Mark.

"A documentary about the Korean War by Thames Television that aired in the Summer of 1988 and in the US in August 1990 through WGBH Boston. Including interviews with participants from both the United Nations (USA, UK), South Korea and North Korea,he war."

PORTIONS OF THE VIDEO REGARDING AMERICAN SATURATION BOMBING OF NORTH KOREA AND ALSO AMERICAN USE OF NAPALM DURING THE CONFLICT EDITED FOR BROADCAST ON AMERICAN TV.

coolbert.



Wednesday, October 3, 2018

Sarmat.

This is coolbert:

"First Sarmat ICBM flight tests to begin in early 2019 — source"

Sarmat. Son of Satan. Satan-2. But has yet to be born? Hey! I thought this was a done deal!

From the Russian media outlet TASS and thanks to the tip from Jeff.

"Sarmat is a promising silo-based missile complex with the heavy liquid-propellant ICBM capable of carrying nuclear charges"

"MOSCOW, October 2. /TASS/. The first flight tests of the promising Sarmat intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) are expected to be conducted in the beginning of next year, a source in the Russian defense industry sector told TASS on Tuesday."

Yet one more Russian super-weapon as touted. One of these liquid-fueled ICBM with a multiplicity of nuclear warheads of prodigious size as carried and as boasted could wipe out all of Texas!

SO HAS THE THREAT BEEN SPECIFIED!

But the missile has yet to even be tested once!

As in the Cold War. We Soviets/Russians have these enormous and unstoppable super-weapons for which there is no defense and for which you American capitalist running dogs have no equivalent counterpart and never will! Etc.

But the missile has even yet to fly?

Devoted readers to the blog draw your own conclusions!! Don't count your chickens before they hatch.

coolbert.




Tuesday, October 2, 2018

Sumatra.

This is coolbert:

The Burma Railway I had heard of. The Sumatra Railway I had not heard of. Both often referred to as the Railway of Death. As it was in Burma so was it too in Sumatra.

From that era of the Second World War. Allied prisoner of war [POW] and Asian impressed labor [Javanese] forced to build a railway to expedite cross-island [Sumatra] Japanese military movement.

That loss of life during construction of the railway horrific in the extreme. Allied POW and impressed labor basically succumbing to harsh working conditions, cruel and barbaric treatment, disease, malnutrition, etc. What else you might ask!

Thanks to the tip from the BBC History magazine and the original article by Dr Lizzie Oliver.

"The Sumatra Railway, also referred to as the Pekanbaru Death Railway, was a railway project of the Imperial Japanese army in Sumatra during the Second World War. It was designed to connect Pekanbaru to Muaro in an effort to strengthen the military and logistical infrastructure for coal and troop shipments . . . They used forced labour and prisoners of war. 6,500 Dutch, mostly Indo-Europeans, 1000 British prisoners of war along with 300 POWs from America, Australia and New Zealand. This number of POWs was dwarfed however by the over 120,000 Indonesian, mostly Javanese, forced workers called Romusha which were put to work by the Japanese army. By the time the work was completed in August 1945 almost a third of the European POWs had died and only around 16,000 of the 120,000 Indonesian Romusha had survived."

"The railway was completed on VJ Day, 15 August 1945. It was only USED ONCE and then quickly became overgrown by the jungle."

SURVIVORS ALLIED POW AND JAVANESE IMPRESSED LABOR BOTH FORTUNATE THE WAR ENDED ABRUPTLY AND IN THE MANNER AS WHICH IT DID. LAST-LEGGERS [A person who is . . . very tired or near to death] THEIR LIFE EXPECTANCY TO BE MEASURED IN WEEKS IF NOT DAYS! ASSISTANCE AND REMEDIAL CARE ARRIVING FORTUNATELY AND ABLE TO AVERT FURTHER CATASTROPHE!

Being a captive of the Japanese during WW2 not a pleasant experience fully understood and for which no further elaboration required!!

coolbert.


Monday, October 1, 2018

Arrow.

This is coolbert:

More scare tactics from the Russian? Yet one more hypersonic missile designed to put the fear of GOD into the Americans and NATO? Arrow [NATO codename]! R-37M.

From Freeper and Deagel:

"Putin's latest weapon: Hypersonic air-to-air missile fired from Russian stealth jets"

"...Russia is set to add a hypersonic missile to its arsenal which can hit targets almost 200 miles away, Moscow's official media outlet has reported. The R-37M missile, which is designed to target enemy aircraft and can travel at Mach 6 - more than 4,500mph - is an upgrade on a Soviet-era weapon first launched in 1985"

Arrow not a new weapon. R-37 has been around for at least thirty years. A long-range air to air missile originally as conceived to be employed strictly [?] by Soviet Air Defense [PVO Strany].

Missile in the configuration R-37M hypersonic and an improved version of the original missile but NOT a whole lot more than that? Formidable YES but not a brand-new system. Hypersonic YES but that is all the rage isn't it? Advertise everything as hypersonic for the purpose of hype. A play on words not unintended!

Nothing to worry about or see folks, move along?

coolbert.








Saturday, September 29, 2018

Krashukha-4.

This is coolbert:

Russian response in measure to the shoot-down of the Il-20 Coot reconnaissance as promised has now been delivered.

From the latest edition of the DEBKAfile newsletter.

Russian all-encompassing electronic warfare [EW] jamming system now has been delivered to Russian [?] forces in Syria. Israel beware!

"Russia's first Krasukha-4 electronic warfare unit lands in Syria. It can jam spy satellites, enemy radar"

25 September.
   
"The Russian Krasukha-4 mobile electronic warfare system landed in Syria on Tuesday, Sept. 25. It was unloaded at the Russian Khmeimim Air Base near Latakia, one day after Russian Defense Minister Gen. Sergei Shoigu pledged systems for jamming systems of combat aircraft attacking Syria, in punishment for Israel's alleged role in downing the Russian IL-20 spy plane."

"The Krasukha-4 can jam communications systems, disable guided missiles and aircraft, and neutralize Low-Earth Orbit spy satellites and radars (AWACS) at ranges of 150-300km, covering northern and central Israel. The Russian EW system can also damage enemy EW. The IDF has no operational experience of the Krasukha-4, but the Americans have."

Israeli warplanes attacking targets in Syria, NOT EVEN IF INTRUDING SYRIAN AIRSPACE to be subjected to Russian jamming. Jamming to include the denial of GPS guidance systems as to be found on Israeli air-to-ground missiles such as Delilah, Sky Sniper, Rampage.

THIS SITUATION INTENSE, WITHOUT PRECEDENT. DAYS OF GOG AND MAGOG?

coolbert.


Thursday, September 27, 2018

S-200 Syria.

This is coolbert:

From an Internet web site and the translation from Russian by Al some further info [excerpts] as per the shoot-down of the Russian Il-20 Coot reconnaissance warplane.

A hot topic and finally [?] we have some expert insight. And as copied  more or less in entirety the comments [from the translation] by the Russian officer [ex] Yuri Alexeev:

“Since I [Yuri] studied the S-200 system at military school and then served at it for many years, I can state the following: the Arabs could not have confused an F-16 with an IL-20…"

[as to Yuri being a real live person with the purported background I cannot say with any certainty.]

“All the surfaces of a jet plane reflecting the radar beam are immobile. That’s why the reflected signal formed by the plane’s several ‘hot spots’ has roughly the same frequency and looks like three adjacent vertical lines."

“On the other hand, due to the Doppler effect, a turboprop plane (its rotating propellers create various Doppler additions to the signal frequency) produces a signal in the shape of multiple vertical lines that fill practically the whole radar screen."

“Any training of radar operators and other crew members starts from explaining these very differences. I’m sure our instructors who trained the Arab crew did just that…"

“It has to be said that the S-200B system is complex to maintain and operate. All sorts of procedures are involved in launching a rocket…"

“If the crew managed to launch a missile, they were clearly trained and definitely knew the difference in the footprints of a jet and a turboprop plane…"

“There’s a theory that the Syrian crew followed and attacked an F-16 that then performed an evasive maneuver, pushing into the radar coverage our plane that has a much larger reflective surface. The missile re-targeted it automatically and a hit occurred."

“Yes, that’s possible – but only if our plane was ‘lit up’ by the radar. If there had been no reflected signal, the missile would have self-destructed. That means the Arabs had been tracking our plane and therefore saw the reflected signal on the radar screen."

“Moreover, to re- target, the operator had to switch manually to the automatic tracking of the new target…"

“In my [Yuri] opinion, the Arabs knew what they were tracking and launched a missile deliberately. This is a matter of ‘corporate ethics’."

“Losing a target is the worst thing that can happen to an AA [anti-aircraft] officer. When we were on duty, we were issued pistols. Being young, we’d ask our commanders what the guns were for. They’d reply that, if you lose a target, go and shoot yourself, to save the paperwork at the court martial.

“All personnel at AA missile systems knew that still having un-launched rockets after an enemy raid was a guaranteed death sentence for themselves. It’s likely that the Arabs had been imbued with that principle, so they fired at whatever they saw.”

[readers will recall from the First Gulf War seeing images of the sky over Baghdad during night raids by American combat warplanes. The entire sky filled with rounds AAA rounds being fired and various detonations occurring. Arab AAA crews tend to be quite trigger happy!!]

SYRIAN SURFACE-TO-AIR MISSILE FIRING PERSONNEL MANNING THE S-200 SYSTEM COULD NOT HAVE MISTAKEN THE ISRAELI F-16 FOR THE IL-20 COOT? THIS SHOOT-DOWN COULD NOT HAVE BEEN A CASE OF FRATRICIDE AND MISTAKEN IDENTITY!

As I have said before at least in my mind this all bears a resemblance to the Gulf of Tonkin incident from over fifty years ago now.

RATHER THE COOT INCIDENT IS A FALSE FLAG OPERATION INTENDED TO CREATE A CRISIS TO BE TAKEN ADVANTAGE OF? WHOA BOY!

You the devoted reader to the blog decide for yourself but do so with caution. Once more also thank you Al!

coolbert.


Wednesday, September 26, 2018

Rampage II.

This is coolbert:

The missiles of September, Middle East style!

Consider and read the whole article courtesy of Yoav Limor and the Sheldon Adelson Internet web site Israel Hayom. The Israeli perspective the shoot-down of the Russian reconnaissance warplane and what is transpiring in the aftermath thereof. AS DEEMED A STRATEGICAL CRISIS FOR THE ISRAELI!

 "A tactical incident turned strategic crisis"

"A week after Syrian air defenses accidentally downed ‎a Russian reconnaissance plane over Latakia, this ‎tactical incident has evolved into a serious ‎strategic problem."

"Russia's insistence that Israel was to blame for the ‎incident and the harsh messages coming out of the ‎Kremlin leave little doubt, even among the most ‎optimistic pundits, that reality in Syria is about ‎to change." ‎

SYRIAN TARGETS AS SUBJECT TO ISRAELI ATTACK  MORE LIKELY IRANIAN WEAPONS STORAGE FACILITIES.

Attack also I reasonably infer by Israeli warplanes using stand-off missile systems. Syrian airspace not actually intruded by F-16, F-15, F-35. Aircraft not even needing to violate Syrian airspace as deemed to successfully destroy a target within Syrian territory.

Stand-off missiles to include: * Delilah * Rampage * Sky Sniper or even * EXTRA. [the latter ground-launched]

THAT ISRAELI STRATEGIC CRISIS WITHIN THE CONTEXT OF A MOST RECENT RUSSIAN TWEET EASILY UNDERSTOOD!

    #Shoigu: "#Russia will jam satellite navigation [GPS], on-board radars and communication systems of combat aircraft that attack targets on #Syria/n territory, in the regions over the waters of the #Mediterranean Sea bordering #Syria"

"REGIONS OVER THE WATERS OF THE MEDITERRANEAN BORDERING SYRIA!"

Israeli warplanes even over the Mediterranean and beyond traditional Syrian airspace might now be subject to Russian attack, both direct and indirect!!

Consequences as well might be feared to be most terrible!

coolbert.


S-300.

This is coolbert:

Russian response to the downing of the Il-20 reconnaissance warplane retaliation as previously hinted at least to this extent indirect. Thanks to the Investment Watch blog for the heads-up.

"Russia Retaliates to Downed Airplane: Israel Will No Longer Be Capable of Bombing Syria With Impunity"

The Russian two-step in action to consist of:

1. Provide Syrian air defense with an upgraded and more capable S-300 surface-to-air missile system.

2. Jamming of all weapons systems [electronic guidance] used by aggressor warplanes [Israeli] firing at targets located within Syrian territory.

See the Maxim Suchkov tweet regarding item # 2.

    #Shoigu: "#Russia will jam satellite navigation [GPS], on-board radars and communication systems of combat aircraft that attack targets on #Syria/n territory, in the regions over the waters of the #Mediterranean Sea bordering #Syria"


The Syrian will be ready and able in an instance to deploy and use in an effective manner the S-300? Russians will be embedded with the Syrian operators? A push-the-button-now sort of familiarity will be needed?

coolbert.

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Prinz.

This is coolbert:

A legacy of Able and Baker. American nuclear detonations in the aftermath of World War Two.

"How the U.S. Is Recovering Oil from a Nuked Warship"

"Prinz Eugen, once the pride of the German Navy, is sitting upside down in the Pacific and threatening to leak."

"The U.S. military is trying to recover the oil form a ship that's been underwater for 72 years. In an interesting twist, it's not even an American warship."

"The United States captured the German heavy cruiser Prinz Eugen as a war prize after the end of World War II. The Prinz Eugen capsized in 1946 after being nuked—twice—during the atomic bomb tests at Bikini Atoll. For decades, experts have feared that the radioactive ship's oil might leak into the Pacific. Now the Pentagon is trying to do something about it."


See this video of Baker. Warships subjected to the nuclear blast clearly visible.

Radioactive oil. There it is in the nutshell. That "fleet" moored and subjected to Able and Baker damaged to a much lesser extent than was anticipated. Warships surviving relatively intact even without a crew to do damage control.

AND NO ONE EVER THOUGHT TO REMOVE THE OIL FROM THE PRINZ EUGEN PRIOR TO ABLE AND BAKER? EVIDENTLY NOT! OTHER WARSHIPS PRESENT ALSO THE SAME PROBLEM.?

Radioactive oil recovered you now have barrels full of the stuff that must be stored in a safe location in perpetuity as they say.

Pay me now or pay me later! Later in this case!

coolbert.



Thursday, September 20, 2018

DMZ Syria.

This is coolbert:

World War Three has been averted? Thank President Erdogan of Turkey if this is so!!

From Freeper and thanks to same.

"US military welcomes Russian-Turkish DMZ agreement in Syria....."

"The U.S. military Tuesday said it supported a plan to establish a demilitarized zone in northern Syria that would separate rebels in their last stronghold from advancing government forces. The agreement to create a buffer zone was worked out Monday in a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan held in Sochi, Russia. Russia’s defense minister said that under the agreement, Syria would refrain from launching an offensive on Idlib Province, the last major rebel stronghold."

Erdogan having in mind primarily the Uighur? Ethnic Turkish people who have established themselves in that area of Syria in/around Idlib.

A massive and overwhelming attack on Idlib by a combined Russian/Syrian/Hezbollah/Iranian force has been averted? A negotiated settlement can be amicably arrived at? Hard to see that the case but let us hope for the best.

See previous blog entries the topic of which was Idlib.

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/09/china-idlib.html

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/09/atw.html

Cooler heads are now going to prevail?

coolbert.



Wednesday, September 19, 2018

GoT.

This is coolbert:

Coot gone. Follow-up number two. From Freeper.

We now have a more cogent and reasonable explanation of what occurred with the Russian Il-20 Coot surveillance warplane shoot-down.

ISRAEL IS INVOLVED BUT ONLY INDIRECTLY SO?

THIS DOES SOUND AS GULF OF TONKIN [GoT] DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN! INDEED!!

1. "BREAKING NEWS: Russian Aircraft Downed.. Israelis Set Plane Up..Right To 'Adequate Response'"

"Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu has expressed his outrage to Israel's Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman after 15 Russian servicemen died when their plane was shot down by Syrian air defenses during a sudden Israeli air attack. Russia's Defense Ministry says 4 Israeli F-16's used the larger Russian IL-20 plane as a decoy for their attack on the northern Syria city of Latakia."

2. "Syria Shoots Down a Russian Military Plane, and Moscow Blames Israel"

"Syrian antiaircraft missiles shot down a Russian military aircraft carrying 15 service members off the Syrian coast Monday night, the Russian Defense Ministry said. Moscow angrily blamed the Israeli military for what appeared to be a case of friendly fire, saying the Israelis were conducting air raids in the area and had given only a minute’s warning, too little for the Il-20 surveillance plane to fly out of harm’s way."

COOT USED AS A SHIELD BY ATTACKING ISRAELI WARPLANES?  IF THE ISRAELI DID SO IN A DELIBERATE MANNER THIS IS GOING TO BE CONTENTIOUS.

An "adequate response" I infer to some sort of mean retaliation in kind. Most worrisome!

coolbert.


Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Coot II.

This is coolbert:

Coot gone follow-up number one.

Gulf of Tonkin deja vu all over again? As I feared. So many possible culprits? Even fratricide.

Hold onto your hats everyone. This could get grim fast.

From various sources and the original tip from Al.

1. "Putin Says Israel Didn't Down Russian Aircraft; Netanyahu Offers Condolences"

"Earlier, Russia blamed downed military aircraft on Israel's 'deliberate provocations' striking Syria ■ France denies involvement, U.S. says plane shot down by Syrian air defense systems"

2. "Russia blames Israel after military plane shot down off Syria"

"Russia has said Syria shot down one of its military planes - but laid the blame for the deaths of the 15 personnel on board with Israel."

The Israeli did it. The Israeli did not do it. The Syrian did it. Etc. 

At this juncture cooler heads appear to be prevailing. I would hope so. A misinterpretation of events can lead to misguided and unwanted retaliation the consequences of which are both undesirable and unpredictable.

Nebel des Krieges!  Fog of war!

coolbert.



Coot IL-20.

This is coolbert:

Coot is gone! Fratricide Syria! 

This how a pattern of escalation spiraling rapidly out of control can begin.

Thanks to the tip from Freeper and further info as per the Aviationist.

1. "Syrian regime accidentally shoots down Russian military plane"

"A Russian maritime patrol aircraft with multiple personnel on board was inadvertently shot down by Syrian regime anti-aircraft artillery on Monday after the Syrians came under attack by Israeli missiles, according to a US official with knowledge of the incident"

My instantaneous thought was that this was RUSSIAN air defense shooting down their own aircraft. NOT the Syrians!

2. "Russia has deployed at least one Il-20 Coot spy plane to Syria"

"Along with the 28 combat planes that have arrived at al-Assad International Airport via Iran hiding under Il-76 cargo planes last week, the Russian Air Force has deployed at least one Il-20 Coot surveillance plane to Syria."

"Even though satellite imagery has not yet unveiled its presence on an apron at the airfield near Latakia, an Il-20 Coot spy plane has already arrived in Syria to reinforce the Russian contingent, according to one of our sources."

COOT analogous to the American P-3 Orion. "Spy plane" as referred with international and military markings not a SPY PLANE as that word SPY ordinarily, commonly and generally understood. Coot rather a reconnaissance and surveillance warplane.

Also my instantaneous reaction was GULF OF TONKIN INCIDENT!  The Russian will seek [hope not!!] some sort of misguided vengeance? As described before, there will occur a pattern of retaliation and escalation of hostilities between international players in the Syrian Civil War that will "spiral" out of control.

coolbert.


Monday, September 17, 2018

Warning!

This is coolbert:

BIG RED MOVES WEST! 2018 style with atomics?

Admonitions and warnings from the Russian directed at American Secretary of Defense Mattis.

If and when conflict between NATO and Russia commences, the use of atomic weapons not out of the question.

Move along folks. Nothing new to see here!

"Russia reportedly warned Mattis it could use nuclear weapons in Europe, and it made him see Moscow as an 'existential threat' to the US"

"Russia's warning to Mattis came in regard to the Baltic states, which have warned of Russia's growing interference."

Nothing new here? Think the Soviet battle plan for engaging NATO during the era of the Cold War

"Seven Days to the River Rhine".

SEVEN DAYS TO THE RHINE RIVER THE SOVIET GROUND INVASION OF NATO DEFENDED WEST GERMANY! AN  INVASION WHICH WOULD HAVE MADE WIDESPREAD AND LIBERAL USE OF ATOMIC WEAPONS.

The Baltic States [Lithuania, Estonia, Latvia] once incorporated into the old Soviet Union. Those nations now an integral part of NATO. An attack on the Baltics would be under Article Five of the NATO charter the same as an attack on the United States. An attack to be repelled using all means to do so.

Sounds scary, doesn't it? Well, it sounds scary because it is!

Let me scare you further and remind you that the Russian has brought out-of-mothballs the 240 mm mortar which allegedly has a nuclear weapons capability.

coolbert.



 


Monitors.

This is coolbert:

You are being watched!

From the Russian media outlet Russian Times [RT] and as originally reported by other sources.

More on the combined effort to track ship movements vicinity North Korea. Observe and report actual and possible embargo violations.

"US sets up coalition to track foreign ships delivering fuel to North Korea – report"


"A US Navy ship will reportedly host military personnel from the Five Eyes countries plus Japan and South Korea to monitor foreign vessels delivering fuel to the North in violation of UN sanctions.:

"The coalition will include the US, the UK, Australia, New Zealand and Canada – America’s partners within the Five Eyes intelligence-sharing alliance – as well as Japan and South Korea, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing an American military official. This is apparently the first US-led effort to track fuel deliveries to North Korea."

See previous blog entries as germane:

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/09/ran-korea.html

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/09/kayforce-ii.html

Ships! Planes! Personnel! All this a demonstration of solidarity and resolve. Kim take note!

coolbert.


Sunday, September 16, 2018

Tank Italia.

This is coolbert:

GRU = Soviet military intelligence.

"There may be some people who underestimate Italy as a country of great thinker, but not the GRU. The GRU know that the Italians have very good brains, the brains of great inventors. Few people realize that before the Second World War Italy's technology was at an incredibly high level. The Italians were not especially brilliant in battle, and that obscured the extent of Italian achievement in military technology."

ARMOR ITALIAN STYLE! AS IT WAS IN THE ERA PRIOR TO WW2.


To be honest this You Tube video rather disappointing. Italian armor development from the era of the Great War through the Second World not of the innovative nature as I might have assumed. Italian tank designs based primarily on reverse engineering of already existing foreign models, the Italians incorporating small incremental changes and not a whole lot revolutionary concepts. Italian armor technology in all cases constrained by budget considerations. Italian genius as regards tank design not so terribly outstanding.

See my previous blog entry also the topic of which was Italian tanks as used in combat during the Second World War.

coolbert.





Sir Michael.

This is coolbert:

 "Whenever I [Caine] killed someone there was no guilt, no remorse - it didn't feel real. It was during the Korean War and I was just trying to stay alive. It was self-defense. It was always done at night and we never had any idea who we had killed. I didn't even think about it - we had machine guns and we just did it. I never did anything close up or hand-to-hand. It didn't give me nightmares, because the Army brutalizes you. It was like the World War I trenches - half a mile apart - and we were just firing backwards and forwards, so we never knew who any of our victims were as individuals. You never saw the whites of a man's eyes when you killed him."

BEFORE THERE WAS THE MOVIE "ZULU" MICHAEL CAINE LIVED IT!!


See this outstanding video courtesy You Tube. The war experience of Sir Michael. The man fought in a war he did not understand for a people he did not know. But did his bit and is obviously proud of his service. 

See also this Internet web site, the comportment of the Royal Fusiliers in Korea most commendable. Exemplary even. "THE 1ST.BATTALION ROYAL FUSILIERS(THE CITY OF LONDON REGIMENT)".

"Honi soit qui mal y pense".

coolbert.


Saturday, September 15, 2018

F-35 ME.

This is coolbert:

ME = Middle East.

Continuing and concluding from the latest edition of the DEBKAfile as pertains to the Idlib situation and potentially beyond..

F-35 enters the fray. Poised and ready. Presumably warplanes part and parcel of the U.S. Marine strike force vicinity Yemen.

"First US F-35 planes deployed to Gulf  and Red Sea. Marines drill unblocking Hormuz and Mandeb"

13 September.

"US naval, air and Marine forces have launched a war game off the Horn of Africa coast opposite the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea - their first drill for practicing a potential regional clash with Iran, whether full-scale or limited. They are focusing on the simulated Iranian blockage of the region's two vital choke points, the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea's Straits of Bab al-Mandeb . . . It is the first time that the US has introduced the F-35 for combat duty in these regions."

FIRST COMBAT TEST OF THE F-35. IF AND WHEN NEEDED F-35 WILL PROVIDE AIR SUPPORT TO THE U.S. MARINE AMPHIBIOUS FORCE THE MISSION TO MAINTAIN A FREE-FLOW OF MERCHANT MARINE SHIPPING THROUGH THE CHOKE POINTS OF STRAIT OF HORMUZ AND BAB AL-MANDEB.

coolbert.


China Idlib.

This is coolbert:

NOT in almost six hundred years has such a thing occurred!

Chinese marines poised and ready? The assault on Idlib if and when it occurs to include Communist Chinese military contingents?

Continuing from the latest edition of the DEBKAfile newsletter.

"China to join Idlib offensive, took part in Russian Mediterranean drill"
   
10 September.

"Chinese warships, fighter jets and bombers took part in the big week-long Russian naval exercise in the eastern Mediterranean that ended on Saturday, Sept. 8 . . .  It was Beijing's first military participation in the seven-year Syrian war and it has been kept under close wraps by Moscow, Washington and Jerusalem. Our military sources report that 3,500 Chinese marines are on standby for flights to Syria to join the Russian-Iranian-Syrian campaign for retaking Idlib province from rebel hands . . . Beijing has a special interest in this campaign in view of the strong presence among the jihadist groups holed up in Idlib of several thousand Uighur Islamists . . . members of the banned Turkistan Islamic Party . . . Al Qaeda's branch in China."

NOT SINCE THE FIFTEENTH CENTURY HAVE CHINESE MARINES GONE INTO COMBAT SO FAR FROM HOME! IDLIB OF CONCERN  TO BEIJING THOSE UIGHUR COMBATANTS NOMINALLY CHINESE NATIONALS.

coolbert.


ATW.

This is coolbert:

To the end!

Here begins a series of blog entries items of interests as extracted from the latest edition of the DEBKAfile newsletter.

"Putin is ready go all the way against the US in Syria. Where does this place Israel?"
   
10 September.

"After a series of aerial bombardments, the Russian-Syrian-Iranian offensive to gain control of Idlib, the last rebel stronghold in Syria, is ready to go, having meanwhile gained a valuable increment of Hizballah fighters, who were redirected to Syria after returning home . . . The stakes in Idlib is so high that the US and Russia have massed large-scale naval and aerial might in the region and British and French forces are on high alert, especially after Moscow's warning that Russia would hit back at pro-American targets in eastern and northern Syria for an Western attack on Iranian/Syrian forces taking part in the Idlib offensive."

Russians and their allied elements poised and ready. Idlib in the cross-hairs. Syrian Arab Army [SAA] having made preparations[?]  to use poison gas during  the assault.

THIS HAS THE MAKINGS OF BECOMING A MUCH WIDER REGIONAL WAR WITH A MULTIPLICITY OF INTERNATIONAL PLAYERS. THAT RED LINE OF POISON GAS ATTACK INVITES RETALIATION WITH THE PROSPECT OF ESCALATION NO ONE WANTS!

coolbert.



Friday, September 14, 2018

Glide.

This is coolbert:

Conceptual designs. On paper. Drawing board only. Money has been allocated?

The American counter to the much ballyhooed Russian [and Chinese for that matter] hypersonic weapons systems.

"bal·ly·hoo - - 1. extravagant publicity or fuss."

Thanks to The Drive/Zero Hedge/Jeff for the tip and the article at Zero by Tyler Durden.

"DARPA Designs ‘Glide Breaker’ Interceptor To Hit Enemy Hypersonic Missiles"

"As Russia and China jump ahead of the United States with superior hypersonic weapons, one of the Pentagon’s top research and development arms is playing defense with a new, secret project to guard the nation against Mach 5 missile attacks."


Russian and Chinese unstoppable hypersonic missile and reentry vehicle systems not so impervious as thought? There is a counter? From this You tube video not a whole lot of details given. A Hard-hit weapon as deemed? The bullet hitting a bullet? Again, not a whole lot of details other than is drawing board stuff, conceptual.

The USA having tested some time ago [with not a lot of success?] the X-51 Waverider hypersonic missile. Do not think the American military so far behind the eight-ball [In a bad situation, in a losing position.] with regard to this sort of technology!

coolbert.




Media.

This is coolbert:

Who knows? The Russian knows! I'm watching you!

Still more from the Russian media outlet Russian Times [RT] and thanks to same.

"Russian military servicemen banned from sharing any info on Internet in government bill"

"The Russian government has drafted a new bill which, if passed by parliament, would ban military servicemen from disclosing on the web any information about themselves, their units and other military staff."

"The bill specifies that members of the military of any rank should not post information on the Internet about themselves or other servicemen, including pictures and videos, as well as geolocation data. The rule applies equally to foreign citizens who serve in the Russian forces. Retired servicemen, however, are exempt from all restrictions imposed by the motion."

THAT ENEMY SMART PHONES AND SOCIAL MEDIA. MALWARE AS INADVERTENTLY DOWNLOADED CAN PROVIDE A HOSTILE POWER WITH A MEANS OF MONITORING A RUSSIAN SERVICE MEMBER SURREPTITIOUSLY.

Malware often downloaded as software embedded within an image of a risque and racy nature!!

See previous applicable blog entries, a whole host of them:

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/04/honey.html

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/02/ban.html

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/01/fitbit.html

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2017/03/iphone-marines.html

coolbert.