Monday, June 29, 2015

Kobani Massacre.

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The situation as was noted in that prior blog entry more dire than originally reported.

"A large Islamist force disguised in Kurdish uniforms stormed Kobani on the Turkish border and regained parts of the town lost to the Kurds last October."

Gratuitous slaughter and massacre evidently the goal, a primary consideration if not the exclusive consideration.

TERROR FOR THE SAKE OF TERROR!

1. "Islamic State kills at least 145 civilians in Syria's Kobani"

"Islamic State fighters [ISIL] killed at least 145 civilians in an attack on the Syrian town of Kobani and a nearby village, in what a monitoring group described on Friday as one of the worst massacres carried out by the hardline group in Syria."

AND as noted by the English pundit Patrick Cockburn:

2. "Isis in Kobani: Why we ignore the worst of the massacres"

"World View: The Syrian Kurdish town witnessed the deaths of 164 civilians this week"

"The purpose of terror is to terrorize!" - - V. I. Lenin.

coolbert.





Sunday, June 28, 2015

Lynch-mob.

This is coolbert:

Thanks to DEBKAfile everything about the Druze you wanted to know:

1. "Syrian Druze gain non-belligerence commitment from rebels under joint US-Jordanian guarantee"

20 June.

 "Jabal Druze and southern Syrian Druze leaders have reached a mutual non-belligerence understanding with the Syrian rebel militias fighting in the region, including Al Qaeda's arm, the Nusra Front . . . Jordan opened a corridor for military assistance and supplies to Druze mountain villages. The southern Druze promised not to allow the eight Druze militias loyal to Bashar Assad to operate from their territory."

Apparently there ARE Druze militia beholden to the despot Assad and fighting on the side of the ruler in Damascus.

2. "Golan Druze lynch two injured Syrian rebels carried in IDF ambulances to hospital"

22 June.

"In the first attack from the Druze Galilee village of Hurfesh, a mob pelted rocks at the ambulance carrying two Syrian rebels from the Golan border to hospital. In the second, in the Druze Golan village of Majd El Shamis, a mob attacked two injured Syrian rebel troops in an ambulance. One died later in hospital."

3. "Netanyahu appeals to Druze leaders to restore calm"

23 June.

"Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu early Tuesday denounced as 'extremely grave' Druze mob attacks Monday on two IDF ambulances transporting injured Syrian rebel fighters to hospital. He warned that no one would be allowed to take the law into his own hands or interfere with the IDF's duties. The perpetrators would be brought to justice, he said, and called on Druze leaders to act expeditiously to calm tempers." 

4. "Police arrests Druze lynch suspects in Galilee and Golan"

24 June.

"Police arrest 10 suspects in the attacks on two IDF ambulances carrying injured Syrian rebel fighters from the Golan border to hospital. Jordan has quietly informed Druze leaders in Syria and Lebanon that [Jordan] cannot admit any more refugees from Syria."

Those "Five S" of POW control to include: 1. Search. 2. Silence. 3. Segregate. 4. Speed. 5. Safeguard. Get the enemy POW to the rear as quick as possible and do not let the locals to abuse them.

coolbert.

Law-fare.

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Law-fare not war-fare. But getting close. More on the Falklands/Malvinas and what seems to be escalating tensions in the area of the South Atlantic:

Thanks to Martin through Harry:

"An Argentine judge Saturday ordered the seizure of $156 million and other assets from British and US oil companies looking for crude in waters off the disputed Falkland Islands. Judge Lilian Herraez, based in the Tierra del Fuego region of southern Argentina, also ordered the firms to stop their exploration activities. Argentina claims sovereignty over the British-controlled islands in the South Atlantic and the two countries went to war over them in 1982. Animosity between Britain and Argentina over the islands has escalated sharply in recent years with the discovery of significant oil deposits offshore. Herraez said the companies are operating in Argentine territorial waters, but it was not clear how Argentina would enforce the order seeking to seize the money and oil exploration equipment such as ships and a floating dike."

"The companies named in the suit are Rockhopper Exploration plc, Premier Oil plc, Falkland Oil and Gas Limited -- all British -- and the US firms Noble Energy Inc. and Edison International Sp."

See previous blog entries regarding the Falklands/Malvinas:

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2015/06/fifty-peso.html

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2015/06/argentina.html

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2014/12/fencer-fernandez.html

coolbert.

Saturday, June 27, 2015

Counter-Offensives.

This is coolbert:

ISIL fights back! Kobani all over again!

ISIL hardly down and out. As noted by DEBKAfile

"ISIS recovers from Syrian Kurdish assaults, fights to recapture Kobani"

25 June.

"The Islamic State Thursday stalled the Syrian Kurdish YPG's advance 50 km short of the ISIS capital of Raqqa and launched two counter-offensives to reverse a series of Kurdish successes:  A large Islamist force disguised in Kurdish uniforms stormed Kobani on the Turkish border and regained parts of the town lost to the Kurds last October. A second force attacked Syrian and Kurdish forces defending the second largest Kurdish Syrian town of Hasaka"

Efforts to combat ISIL not a cake-walk AND NEVER WILL BE!  ISIL is resilient, resourceful and RUTHLESS!!.

coolbert.


Kurds & Druze.

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From Strategy Page an article and extract, clarification of some previous topics:

A. The Kurds move south in pursuit of ISIL and the ramifications thereof.

B. That Israeli/Druze relationship.

"Syria: The Devilishly Clever Kurds March South"

Further as extracted from the Strategy Page:

"Israel has sent more troops to their Syrian border. Al Nusra rebels control most of the border adjacent to Israel. This creates problems with the Israeli Druze who fear for the safely of the 500,000 Syrian Druze. Al Qaeda affiliate al Nusra is temporarily allied with ISIL and both these groups, especially ISIL, are very hostile to Druze . . . Over a hundred Druze have already been murdered by Islamic terrorists in Syria and there is a sense of desperation. Al Nusra apologized for the twenty Druze their men killed recently but ISIL is unapologetic. The 130,000 Israeli Druze have been pressuring Israel for over a year to rescue or help protect Druze living across the border in Syria. Israel has agreed to help but the details have not been made public. The solution could be either allowing Syrian Druze into Israel and provide refuge or moving into the border areas where the Syrian Druze live and establishing a 'safe zone.' This would preserve the lands of Syrian Druze and not turn them into refugees, but would also be more expensive (in cash and lives) for Israel by establishing a new border."

"Israel (from senior leaders down to the average soldier) is willing to do something for the Syrian Druze because the Israeli Druze are the only Arab Israeli s subject to conscription and most of those serving in the Israeli military agree that Israel should help the Syrian Druze living near the Israeli border. Despite their small numbers (less than two percent of the population) Druze serve as career military and in elite combat units more frequently than Jewish Israelis. Thus the Druze are considered 'blood brothers' because of their military service (and casualties in combat) and that means Israel feels obliged to help."

That special affinity and relationship between the Israeli Jew and the Druze does exist and is being honored. Obligation being kept.

coolbert.




leFH & StG 44.

This is coolbert:

Surprisingly so, we have instances of German World War Two weaponry being put to good use by those Syrian rebels as opposed to the dictator Assad. Thanks to YouTube in all cases.

Blasts from the past indeed!!

1. "German World War II Era Wehrmacht Howitzer Used By Syrian Rebels On The Battlefield In Idlib"

"Blast from the past. Video footage surfaced showing Syrian rebels using a German World War II - Era Wehrmacht Howitzer on the battlefield in Idlib. The howitzer appears to be a 10.5 cm leFH 18, a 105 mm light howitzer that entered service with Nazi Germany's armed forces in 1935. The Syrian Army was known to operate limited numbers of the 10,5 cm leFH 18M howitzer, as well as the 7,5cm PaK 40 anti-tank gun. It is likely that the howitzer shown was captured from a Syrian Army base or museum."

2. "Syrian Civil War - German World War 2 Era STG 44 Rifle Used By Syrian Rebels In Firefight"

Video footage resurfaced showing Syrian rebels using the German Made STG 44 (Sturmgewehr 44) or also called MP 44 in fighting and firefights on the battlefield in Syria.

3. "5,000 StG44's Captured By Syrian Rebels In The City Of Aleppo"

5,000 StG44's Captured By Syrian Rebels In The City Of Aleppo

In August 2012, the Syrian Al-Tawhid Brigade posted a video clip on their YouTube channel showing a cache of Sturmgewehrs in their possession, which they claim to have captured amongst 5,000 rifles and various ammunition.

NOT only individual weapons but apparently an entire arsenal captured intact. The StG themselves, ammunition, the total package.

That StG 44 generally thought to be the first assault weapon as term generally, commonly, and ordinarily understood. Pistol grip stock, selective fire [semi-automatic or full automatic], high capacity magazine, firing an  intermediate round.

coolbert.

Friday, June 26, 2015

Q & A.

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Some questions and answers regarding prior blog entries. 

1. From that blog entry regarding Gallipoli:

"WHAT EXACT CAMPAIGN OF THE GREAT WAR WITH FEW EXCEPTIONS WENT ACCORDING TO PLAN! Most of the time events degenerated into the proverbial "senseless carve-up" without amelioration.

Those exceptions to include:

* Riga.
* Caparetto.
* Romania.

Riga and Caparetto decisive battlefield victories [a campaign consisting of series of battles as defined] but not resulting in a climactic end to hostilities against Russia and Italy respectively.

That Romanian campaign the only instance during the Great War where the calculations and plans of a General Staff [German] went as expected and hoped for. Those military forces of Romania thoroughly routed and annihilated.

2. As stated in the blog entry Waterloo QJM:

"It is reasonable to ask if the QJM method of calculation and analysis for combat as fought during the black powder warfare Napoleonic Era is a valid technique. In the opinion of Dupuy QJM legitimate at least from the time of the American Civil War onward!"

And here we have the answer. From "Lost Battles" by Philip Sabin.

"Dupuy has pushed his own quantitative analysis [QJM deriving from that analysis of the  data] of historical combat even further back to include data from the Napoleonic and American Civil"

During that period of the Napoleonic Era and the American Civil War NO use of indirect fire or automatic weapons. The two biggest killers during both World Wars being artillery [indirect fire primarily] and automatic weapons.

To the extent that QJM established from data of combat during both World Wars questioning QJM as is applicable to prior generations of warfare not out of the question?

As to Trevor Dupuy himself we have this interesting tidbit:

"Dupuy----the descendant of a French Huguenot who emigrated to Prussia after Louis XIV revoked the Edict of Nantes in 1685. The grandson of this emigre accompanied von Steuben to America during the revolution and stayed here when the war was over."

There are questions to be asked and now we have the answers. And are the better for it too.

coolbert.