Saturday, June 25, 2022

Goldberg.

This is coolbert:

"A Rube Goldberg machine, named after American cartoonist Rube Goldberg, is a chain reaction-type machine or contraption intentionally designed to perform a simple task in an indirect and (impractically) overly complicated way. Usually, these machines consist of a series of simple unrelated devices; the action of each triggers the initiation of the next, eventually resulting in achieving a stated goal."

The performance of the Russian Air force [VKS] during the Ukraine Conflict has been lacking? A development if true most surprising?

As has been speculated the VKS lacking that requisite of precision-guided munitions to make a significant and meaningful contribution to the Russian war effort?

HEY! The Russian NOT needing precision-guided munitions! VKS warplanes as reported when equipped with the SVP-24 specialized computing system able to achieve bombing accuracy and obliteration of targets with amazing preciseness and precision only hitherto associated with precision-guided munitions.

Further from "The Saker":

"The pace and effectiveness of the Russian Air Force [during the Syrian campaign] has the western military experts in shock.  Not only are the number of sorties per day about 3 times as much as a US or NATO country could achieve, but the Russian airstrikes are amazingly accurate even though the Russians are flying at over 5,000 meters [about 15,000 feet] above ground, well out of reach of man portable air defense systems (MANPADS). They are even flying at night and in bad weather . . . So what is the deal here?  How did the Russians achieve these apparently quasi-miraculous results?"

Introducing the SVP-24:

"SVP stands for: 'special computing subsystem'.  What this system does is that it constantly compares the position of the aircraft and the target (using the GLONASS satellite navigation system), it measures the environmental parameters (pressure, humidity, windspeed, speed, angle of attack, etc.).  It can also receive additional information from datalinks from AWACs aircraft, ground stations, and other aircraft.  The SVP-24 then computes an 'envelope' (speed, altitude, course) inside which the dumb bombs are automatically released exactly at the precise moment when their unguided flight will bring them right over the target (with a 3-5 meter  accuracy)."

"In practical terms this means that every 30+ year old Russian 'dumb' bomb can now be delivered by a 30+ year old Russian aircraft with the same precision as a brand new guided bomb delivered by a top of the line modern bomber."

INDEED this "special computing subsystem" does to me have the appearance of a Rube Goldberg type of apparatus and that was my instantaneous thought at the time. SVP-24 was typical Russian "Potemkin Village" type stuff?

But consider further:

"Only Su-24 [Fencer] is fitted with SVP-24 targeting system. This is why Russia uses Soviet era Su-24 in Ukraine and Syria." [courtesy once more the Global Defense Corp.]

Not enough Su-24  to go around and NOW you have the REST of the story!

coolbert.







Irregulars.

This is coolbert:

The Syrian bashi bazooks Ukraine have arrived?

Syrian recruits fighting for the Russian military the Ukraine Conflict!

Click on image to see an enlarged view.

As was the topic of a previous blog entry, the recruitment of Syrian nationals to fight on the Russian side in the Ukraine Conflict duly noted and reported. See: https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/03/guards.htm

Bashi bazook to clarify in the Islamic tradition irregular fighters recruited from persons often imprisoned their release from confinement made with the proviso of military service a must!

Bashi bazook as tacitly understood not being required to follow the normal rules and conduct of land warfare. Even plunder and pillage as a common practice by the bashi bazook encouraged in an unexpressed and unspoken manner as an incentive of recruitment.

My impression is that the Syrian bashi bazook was to function as occupation troops Ukraine primarily but it seems now involved in direct combat?

coolbert.





Friday, June 24, 2022

DISMAL.

This is coolbert:

Assuredly so this aspect of the Ukraine Conflict to be talked about and debated for some time to come!


From www.globaldefensecorp.com | March 7, 2022 and thanks to same.

"Russia invaded Ukraine on 24 February early morning, sending it air force, also known as VKS, to bomb Ukrainian cities and send troops to various Ukrainian cities via Donbass regions, Crimea, and Belarus."

"Ukraine's own  air force is still flying, which is vastly outmatched by Russia's military in terms of raw numbers and firepower. Its air defenses are still deemed viable - a fact that is baffling military experts."

"Accord to RUSI think tank Justin Bronk, The Russian Air force used limited aircraft and precision-guided munitions that visibly lacked coordination and started sporadic bombing in Ukraine."


Russian VKS deficient [surprisingly so?] with regard to:

* Inventory.
* Planning.
* Targeting pod.
* Precision-guided munition.
* Data link.
* Identification Friend or Foe (IFF).
* Airborne Surveillance and EW.
* Logistics.

Read the whole article for yourselves!

coolbert.







Spor HVT.

This is coolbert:

Consider this Mr. Spor to be a very lucky man. Repatriated and without incident.

American high-value-target [HVT] the Ukraine extracted by American civilian group specializing in such rescue operations..


"A team from American nonprofit group Project Dynamo worked with local Ukrainian security to rescue nuclear scientist John Spor, who had been hiding right outside of Mariupol" Thanks additionally to #GMA #Ukraine # and You Tube.


Comments:

* What was John Spor doing in Ukraine in the first place? A man with his background I would think the Ukraine would the last place he would want to be.

* Spor was a wanted and hunted man. The Russians apparently had Spor on a list of HVT. They knew of him and his various expertise vital to the development of advanced precision munitions. Spor if captured would have undoubtedly been whisked away and interrogated in a most vigorous and hostile manner by Russian authorities. Indeed, his fate might have been very grim. 

* This Dynamo group also taking great risk. If they had been unmasked I can well imagine their fate ultimately would be also very harsh and unremitting.

coolbert.







 

Thursday, June 23, 2022

Refinery.

This is coolbert:

Ukrainian kamikaze drones in action. Russian oil refinery blown sky high. All thanks to the Chinese commercial firm Alibaba?

1. "'Kamikaze’ Drones Strike Russian Oil Refinery, Looks Like Model Sold On Alibaba"

From MSN ^ | June 22, 2022 | Thomas Newdick the tip from Freeper.

"Video has emerged showing a twin-boom tail configured drone crashing into a Russian oil refinery in Novoshakhtinsk, in the Rostov region, on the border with Ukraine, this morning. There is already much speculation that the incident was some kind of ‘kamikaze’ drone strike conducted by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. While the identity of the mysterious drone is yet to be established, initial analysis suggests it may have been an adapted, commercially available product that is available on the Chinese marketplace website Alibaba"

2. "Dramatic moment Ukrainian kamikaze drone ploughs in to major oil refinery inside Russian territory sparking huge fireball explosion"

From the English tabloid Internet edition "Daily Mail" ^ | 6/22/2022 | Will Stewart again the tip from Freeper.

"A Ukrainian kamikaze drone today ploughed in to a major oil refinery inside Russian territory, sparking a huge fireball explosion. Footage shows the unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) flying at a low-level height towards the Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery in the Rostov region, which borders Ukraine. Video then shows the drone striking the oil refinery, causing a massive explosion which was heard ten miles away."

This refinery almost exactly on the internationally recognized border between the Russian Federation and Ukraine. NONETHELESS an attack on Russian infrastructure of some importance. An event that will not be taken lightly by Moscow or Vlad.

coolbert.




Cheget.

This is coolbert:

An item inconsequential [?] at best but still worthy of a blog entry.

"Putin colonel Vadim Zimin who carried Russian president’s nuclear codes found dead at home"

From FOX3NOW ^ | 22-JUN-2022 the tip from Freeper.

"A SECRETIVE colonel Vadim Zimin who carried the Russian president’s nuclear codes has been found shot at his home, it was reported. After leaving his position as an officer in the security services, the mysterious Vadim Zimin, who is 53 years old, is being investigated for allegedly accepting bribes in his new job in the customs service. Zimin is a former colonel from the Federal Security Service. During his time in the FSS, he was in charge of the briefcase that carries the Russian nuclear controls and that is always carried by the head of the Kremlin."

Zimin his duties the possession of the Russian nuclear "briefcase" hardly ordinary duty. His murder undoubtedly to be thoroughly investigated. A person specially screened and entrusted with extraordinary responsibility his death I would imagine not taken lightly by the authorities.  

Read additionally from the wiki the Russian nuclear "briefcase": https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cheget.

coolbert.





Unfortunately.

This is coolbert:

 “Unfortunately, I agree that there was a lack of training ammunition from the start. It is a logistical problem that was not solved in time. It should have been there, and it did not come, so it's a mistake. There is no good explanation for this. That shouldn't have happened,” - Lønborg.

NATO troops their funding for training sorely lacking. After many decades of denial and an almost lack of funding through budget cuts the chickens come home to roost. No good explanation other than cheapness.

"Danish Soldiers Sent to Latvia 'Lack Everything From Ammunition to Underpants'"

From the Russian controlled [?] Internet media outlet and thanks to same. 

SHORTAGES ABOUT! DANISH MILITARY MEN SHORT-CHANGED!

"Analyst Alexander Høgsberg Tetzlaff attributed the dramatic shortages to several years of cuts in military spending, calling it a 'huge problem'. Previously, Denmark has received criticism from NATO for not having stockpiled enough ammunition.

More likely several decades of "cuts" in military spending. 

"At the beginning of May [2022], 350 Danish soldiers were sent to Latvia with a few days' notice – ostensibly in a bid to 'deter' Russia. Subsequently it has transpired, however, that they are ill-prepared and unable to maintain a high level of combat."

Soup to nuts type of stuff it seems. Ammunition, tents, clothing. The bare essentials almost literally so!

Agreed amount of spending at a minimum and pledged never achieved. Even when acknowledged as a problem for NATO remedy never implemented. The changing geo-political situation in Europe now has the attention of everyone. Damage consider done a long time ago. Lots of catching-up-to-do and going to take some time and the resolve of various governments everyone doing their pledged share.

See previous relevant blog entries:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/06/appalling.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/05/outsource.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/06/sloth.html

coolbert.