Tuesday, September 18, 2018

Coot II.

This is coolbert:

Coot gone follow-up number one.

Gulf of Tonkin deja vu all over again? As I feared. So many possible culprits? Even fratricide.

Hold onto your hats everyone. This could get grim fast.

From various sources and the original tip from Al.

1. "Putin Says Israel Didn't Down Russian Aircraft; Netanyahu Offers Condolences"

"Earlier, Russia blamed downed military aircraft on Israel's 'deliberate provocations' striking Syria ■ France denies involvement, U.S. says plane shot down by Syrian air defense systems"

2. "Russia blames Israel after military plane shot down off Syria"

"Russia has said Syria shot down one of its military planes - but laid the blame for the deaths of the 15 personnel on board with Israel."

The Israeli did it. The Israeli did not do it. The Syrian did it. Etc. 

At this juncture cooler heads appear to be prevailing. I would hope so. A misinterpretation of events can lead to misguided and unwanted retaliation the consequences of which are both undesirable and unpredictable.

Nebel des Krieges!  Fog of war!

coolbert.



Coot IL-20.

This is coolbert:

Coot is gone! Fratricide Syria! 

This how a pattern of escalation spiraling rapidly out of control can begin.

Thanks to the tip from Freeper and further info as per the Aviationist.

1. "Syrian regime accidentally shoots down Russian military plane"

"A Russian maritime patrol aircraft with multiple personnel on board was inadvertently shot down by Syrian regime anti-aircraft artillery on Monday after the Syrians came under attack by Israeli missiles, according to a US official with knowledge of the incident"

My instantaneous thought was that this was RUSSIAN air defense shooting down their own aircraft. NOT the Syrians!

2. "Russia has deployed at least one Il-20 Coot spy plane to Syria"

"Along with the 28 combat planes that have arrived at al-Assad International Airport via Iran hiding under Il-76 cargo planes last week, the Russian Air Force has deployed at least one Il-20 Coot surveillance plane to Syria."

"Even though satellite imagery has not yet unveiled its presence on an apron at the airfield near Latakia, an Il-20 Coot spy plane has already arrived in Syria to reinforce the Russian contingent, according to one of our sources."

COOT analogous to the American P-3 Orion. "Spy plane" as referred with international and military markings not a SPY PLANE as that word SPY ordinarily, commonly and generally understood. Coot rather a reconnaissance and surveillance warplane.

Also my instantaneous reaction was GULF OF TONKIN INCIDENT!  The Russian will seek [hope not!!] some sort of misguided vengeance? As described before, there will occur a pattern of retaliation and escalation of hostilities between international players in the Syrian Civil War that will "spiral" out of control.

coolbert.


Monday, September 17, 2018

Warning!

This is coolbert:

BIG RED MOVES WEST! 2018 style with atomics?

Admonitions and warnings from the Russian directed at American Secretary of Defense Mattis.

If and when conflict between NATO and Russia commences, the use of atomic weapons not out of the question.

Move along folks. Nothing new to see here!

"Russia reportedly warned Mattis it could use nuclear weapons in Europe, and it made him see Moscow as an 'existential threat' to the US"

"Russia's warning to Mattis came in regard to the Baltic states, which have warned of Russia's growing interference."

Nothing new here? Think the Soviet battle plan for engaging NATO during the era of the Cold War

"Seven Days to the River Rhine".

SEVEN DAYS TO THE RHINE RIVER THE SOVIET GROUND INVASION OF NATO DEFENDED WEST GERMANY! AN  INVASION WHICH WOULD HAVE MADE WIDESPREAD AND LIBERAL USE OF ATOMIC WEAPONS.

The Baltic States [Lithuania, Estonia, Latvia] once incorporated into the old Soviet Union. Those nations now an integral part of NATO. An attack on the Baltics would be under Article Five of the NATO charter the same as an attack on the United States. An attack to be repelled using all means to do so.

Sounds scary, doesn't it? Well, it sounds scary because it is!

Let me scare you further and remind you that the Russian has brought out-of-mothballs the 240 mm mortar which allegedly has a nuclear weapons capability.

coolbert.



 


Monitors.

This is coolbert:

You are being watched!

From the Russian media outlet Russian Times [RT] and as originally reported by other sources.

More on the combined effort to track ship movements vicinity North Korea. Observe and report actual and possible embargo violations.

"US sets up coalition to track foreign ships delivering fuel to North Korea – report"


"A US Navy ship will reportedly host military personnel from the Five Eyes countries plus Japan and South Korea to monitor foreign vessels delivering fuel to the North in violation of UN sanctions.:

"The coalition will include the US, the UK, Australia, New Zealand and Canada – America’s partners within the Five Eyes intelligence-sharing alliance – as well as Japan and South Korea, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing an American military official. This is apparently the first US-led effort to track fuel deliveries to North Korea."

See previous blog entries as germane:

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/09/ran-korea.html

http://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/09/kayforce-ii.html

Ships! Planes! Personnel! All this a demonstration of solidarity and resolve. Kim take note!

coolbert.


Sunday, September 16, 2018

Tank Italia.

This is coolbert:

GRU = Soviet military intelligence.

"There may be some people who underestimate Italy as a country of great thinker, but not the GRU. The GRU know that the Italians have very good brains, the brains of great inventors. Few people realize that before the Second World War Italy's technology was at an incredibly high level. The Italians were not especially brilliant in battle, and that obscured the extent of Italian achievement in military technology."

ARMOR ITALIAN STYLE! AS IT WAS IN THE ERA PRIOR TO WW2.


To be honest this You Tube video rather disappointing. Italian armor development from the era of the Great War through the Second World not of the innovative nature as I might have assumed. Italian tank designs based primarily on reverse engineering of already existing foreign models, the Italians incorporating small incremental changes and not a whole lot revolutionary concepts. Italian armor technology in all cases constrained by budget considerations. Italian genius as regards tank design not so terribly outstanding.

See my previous blog entry also the topic of which was Italian tanks as used in combat during the Second World War.

coolbert.





Sir Michael.

This is coolbert:

 "Whenever I [Caine] killed someone there was no guilt, no remorse - it didn't feel real. It was during the Korean War and I was just trying to stay alive. It was self-defense. It was always done at night and we never had any idea who we had killed. I didn't even think about it - we had machine guns and we just did it. I never did anything close up or hand-to-hand. It didn't give me nightmares, because the Army brutalizes you. It was like the World War I trenches - half a mile apart - and we were just firing backwards and forwards, so we never knew who any of our victims were as individuals. You never saw the whites of a man's eyes when you killed him."

BEFORE THERE WAS THE MOVIE "ZULU" MICHAEL CAINE LIVED IT!!


See this outstanding video courtesy You Tube. The war experience of Sir Michael. The man fought in a war he did not understand for a people he did not know. But did his bit and is obviously proud of his service. 

See also this Internet web site, the comportment of the Royal Fusiliers in Korea most commendable. Exemplary even. "THE 1ST.BATTALION ROYAL FUSILIERS(THE CITY OF LONDON REGIMENT)".

"Honi soit qui mal y pense".

coolbert.


Saturday, September 15, 2018

F-35 ME.

This is coolbert:

ME = Middle East.

Continuing and concluding from the latest edition of the DEBKAfile as pertains to the Idlib situation and potentially beyond..

F-35 enters the fray. Poised and ready. Presumably warplanes part and parcel of the U.S. Marine strike force vicinity Yemen.

"First US F-35 planes deployed to Gulf  and Red Sea. Marines drill unblocking Hormuz and Mandeb"

13 September.

"US naval, air and Marine forces have launched a war game off the Horn of Africa coast opposite the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea - their first drill for practicing a potential regional clash with Iran, whether full-scale or limited. They are focusing on the simulated Iranian blockage of the region's two vital choke points, the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf and the Red Sea's Straits of Bab al-Mandeb . . . It is the first time that the US has introduced the F-35 for combat duty in these regions."

FIRST COMBAT TEST OF THE F-35. IF AND WHEN NEEDED F-35 WILL PROVIDE AIR SUPPORT TO THE U.S. MARINE AMPHIBIOUS FORCE THE MISSION TO MAINTAIN A FREE-FLOW OF MERCHANT MARINE SHIPPING THROUGH THE CHOKE POINTS OF STRAIT OF HORMUZ AND BAB AL-MANDEB.

coolbert.