Saturday, November 16, 2019

Illiterate.

This is coolbert:

"It is not that I don't believe you, it is that I do not want to believe you!"

Please someone tell me this is not so!! From a Jan 11, 2016 blog entry G2mil courtesy the editor Carlton Meyer and as copied and posted more or less in entirety.

"10 Percent of U.S. Army Majors are Illiterate!"

Staff officers of the USA military not able to read and write? ABC's.

"One problem in our military and government is that poorly educated people are promoted to important positions. Some advance because of good looks and a pleasing personality, while others benefit from nepotism, political connections, or racial advancement quotas. I saw many during my time in military and government service. These people never send out e-mails knowing they can't write proper sentences and misspell common words. The spell checker helps, but they confuse their/there, whose/who's, role/roll etc. We all make such mistakes, but patterns become evident, like spelling truck as 'truk' several times in one message. In meetings it becomes apparent that they cannot grasp certain things. I [editor G2mil] found this recent article of interest"

"'Unlike the other armed services, who only send 25 percent or fewer members of each year group to resident staff college, the Army sends almost 50 percent of each year group. This results in functionally illiterate Army majors coming to [Command and General Staff College] CGSC."

"Think I’m exaggerating? Then you need to see the test scores from the Nelson-Denny Reading Exam. The Nelson-Denny, which has been around since 1929, measures the reading and comprehension ability of students. Approximately five percent of incoming U.S. Army students at CGSC each year score so low on the Nelson-Denny that they could fairly be classified as functionally illiterate."

"'Keep in mind that our Army sends its best majors to CGSC as a prerequisite of promotion. So the overall number of illiterate Majors is probably around 10%."

NOT NECESSARILY ILLITERATE AS BEING TOTALLY UNABLE TO READ. FUNCTIONALLY ILLITERATE IS A BETTER DESCRIPTION.

And I do indeed hope such is not so.

coolbert.


Fivefold.

This is coolbert:

It is not only the Europeans and NATO that must fear the wrath of President Trump of the USA. Beware the Don.

So must the leadership of the Republic of Korea [ROK]. South Korea. Thanks to American and Asian sources.

"If Trump wins in 2020, he will pull US troops out of South Korea"

"Officials in Seoul laughed at his request for $5 billion to keep army [USA] presence"

"According to a report on July 30 from a South Korean newspaper, Washington has requested that the government in Seoul pay $5 billion next year for the continued presence of its armed forces [USA] on South Korean soil. This would be more than a fivefold increase from 2019, when Seoul paid $879 million."

A threat or a negotiating starting point?

See previous blog entry with emphasis on item # 2 the topic NATO alliance pay your fair share:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/11/annegret.html

coolbert.



Friday, November 15, 2019

Abomination II.

This is coolbert:

Continuing and concluding the topic the desecration of war memorials.

Port Angeles, Washington state, USA also this sort of thing occurs. And even controversy beyond vandalism exists.

MEASURES AS TAKEN TO PREVENT VANDALISM TOO EXTREME FOR SOME?

"WA: Port Angeles Mayor receives Pushback over Attempt to alter War Memorial Image"

"WA: Port Angeles Mayor receives Pushback over Attempt to alter War Memorial. The replica Liberty Bell in the Veterans Memorial Park in Port Angeles,  Washington, was installed as a private initiative in the bicentennial year of 1976. For several years, the replica and the park have been subject to vandalism."


Silhouette images of American Revolutionary War soldiers guarding a replica of the Liberty Bell. The memorial [a private concern] enclosed by a fence. Someone takes exception to this? And the fear or offense  is what exactly?

And alteration is suggested? And what alteration would be acceptable? None I suspect. Again, persons objecting to these sort of monuments and beyond even the mere monument itself terribly troubled persons with grave mental issues. Heavy pharmaceuticals required to manage their awful and overwhelming condition.

coolbert.




Abomination I.

This is coolbert:

Even in Canada this sort of thing occurs. Even there!!

Thanks to Freeper.

"Police arrest man over vandalism at Toronto cenotaph"

"Police have arrested a Toronto man for allegedly vandalizing the Old City Hall cenotaph with spray paint hours after it was the site of a downtown Remembrance Day ceremony."

What is called Veterans Day in the USA is called Remembrance Day in Canada!

"The cenotaph, which honours those who died in both World Wars and the Korean War, was vandalized with dark blue spray-painted letters sometime between 10 p.m. Monday and 7 a.m. Tuesday"

"The words 'ye broke faith' could be seen written in capital letters across the bottom of the monument on Tuesday morning, behind wreaths that had been placed at the base for the previous day's service."

"Ye broke faith". Hard to say within context what that means. Those persons doing such mischief are very misguided and soulless human beings, having enormous mental issues and should be imprisoned with heavy pharmaceuticals applied. Only under such circumstances can this terribly troubled individual manage his awful condition.

See previous blog entries the topic desecration of war memorials:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2017/11/plovdiv.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/08/desecration.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/11/prank.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/01/outrage-raf.html

coolbert.



Thursday, November 14, 2019

Potatoes.

This is coolbert:

Within context of the previous blog entry consider that the Battle of the Little Big Horn [1876] small potatoes in comparison with Frenchtown and St. Clair's Defeat.

"The Battle of the Little Bighorn . . . was an armed engagement between combined forces of the Lakota, Northern Cheyenne, and Arapaho tribes and the 7th Cavalry Regiment of the United States Army."

Casualties among the American military present at Little Big Horn:

* 268 killed, 55 wounded (6 of whom later died of wounds). Number of U.S. troopers killed at the Little Bighorn in totality, including but not limited to those with G. A. Custer.

Additionally and thanks to a CIC entry by Professor Al Nofi as seen at the Internet web site Strategy Page:

"Little Turtle [American Indian commander with Blue Jacket during the battle know as St. Clair's Defeat] inflicted more casualties on the United States Army than any other Indian war chief. In just two battles, traditionally known as 'Harmer’s Defeat' and 'St. Clair’s Defeat,' he [Little Turtle] slew some 820 American soldiers. In contrast, the best that all the great warrior peoples – the Apache, the Sioux, the Cheyenne, the Nez Perce, and all the rest – west of the Mississippi could do in some 940 fights with the army between 1866 and 1892 was to kill about 920 boys in blue, only about 12-percent more than Little Turtle had accounted for."

My comment:

I might very well suspect that more troops killed during a thirty year [1862-1892] period on the American frontier by a kick to the head from a horse or fell off their horse and broke their neck than killed-in-action during combat with the American Indian.

coolbert.


Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Frenchtown.

This is coolbert:

Worst American military defeat of the War of 1812.

This was a new one on me. Thanks to the tip from Lee.

1. Battle of Frenchtown.

Decisive engagement, an American military force of about 1,000 Kentucky mounted riflemen their casualties almost 100 %.

"The Battles of Frenchtown, also known as the Battle of the River Raisin and the River Raisin Massacre, was a series of conflicts in Michigan Territory that took place from January 18–23, 1813, during the War of 1812. It was fought between the United States and a British and Native American alliance near the River Raisin in Frenchtown"

* 410 killed, 94+ wounded, 547 captured.

FRENCHTOWN ONLY POSSIBLY SURPASSED AS AN AMERICAN DEFEAT IN TOTALITY BY "BATTLE OF A THOUSAND SLAIN" FROM THE NORTHWEST INDIAN WAR. ALSO KNOWN AS ST. CLAIR'S DEFEAT.

2. St. Clair's defeat.

"St. Clair's defeat, also known as the Battle of the Wabash, the Battle of Wabash River or the Battle of a Thousand Slain, was a battle fought on November 4, 1791, in the Northwest Territory of the United States of America. The U.S. Army faced the Western Confederacy of Native Americans, as part of the Northwest Indian War. It was 'the most decisive defeat in the history of the American military,' and the largest victory ever won by Native Americans"

Again and prior to Frenchtown another American military force of approximately 1,000 troops annihilated almost to the last man. Washer-women as accompanying the troops also counted.

* 632 soldiers killed or captured, 264 soldiers wounded, 24 workers killed, 13 workers wounded, total: 933.

FOR THOSE CAPTURED THE EXECUTION FIRES BURNED FOR TWO DAYS!!

Two-star general St. Clair his force almost totally destroyed. 

Hey, nobody said any of this was going to be easy, did they?

coolbert.



Monday, November 11, 2019

Volatile.

This is coolbert:

From the Sheldon Adelson Internet web site Israel Hayom and the article by Maj. Gen. (res.) Gershon Hacohen.

And in keeping with the tenor of the previous blog entry. Armageddon and conflagration at hand?

"New threats require new defense concepts"

"The accumulation of threats Israel faces and the fact that they can now emerge on multiple fronts simultaneously require both the IDF and the home front to brace for the unexpected."

"Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Aviv Kochavi have recently made it clear that addressing the threats Israel faces requires an urgent response. Some castigated them for sparking unnecessary anxiety, and while it is true that none of the current threats are new, they are all directed by Iran, making for a particularly volatile mix."

Threats to include:

* The two-front war. Hezbollah and Hamas.
* Iranian precision-guided cruise missiles and drones.

Devoted followers to the blog go read the entire article for yourself. Expect the unexpected! Always in the long recorded history of warfare.

P.S. Within context see my previous blog entry https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/06/95.html that amount of firepower the Iranian and Hezbollah has amassed in case of conflict with Israel. And is prepared to use. Not merely a hollow threat.

coolbert.


Sunday, November 10, 2019

Destiny.

This is coolbert:

"The recent attack on Saudi oil facilities achieved an astonishing precision of less than one meter [three feet] despite the fact that it was launched from 650 miles away and delivered with it a clear message to Israel. Iran can attack any target in Israel from Western Iraq with precision and without being detected. It proved that Iranian technology is decades ahead of anything offered by Israel, America or the west."

CONFLAGRATION MIDDLE EAST! BLOW YOUR HORN AND THE WALLS COME TUMBLING DOWN?

Thanks to several Israeli authors and The Atlantic.

1. "The Coming Middle East Conflagration"

"Israel is bracing itself for war with Iranian proxies, as Tehran escalates its provocations. But what will the United States do if conflict comes?"

"The senior ministers of the Israeli government met twice last week to discuss the possibility of open war with Iran. They were mindful of the Iranian plan for a drone attack from Syria in August, aborted at the last minute by an Israeli air strike, as well as Iran’s need to deflect attention from the mass protests against Hezbollah’s rule in Lebanon. The ministers also reviewed the recent attack by Iranian drones and cruise missiles on two Saudi oil installations, reportedly concluding that a similar assault could be mounted against Israel from Iraq."

2. "Iran, Israel and Destiny"

"Although Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu struggles to form a new government and tries valiantly to stay out of jail but he has managed to find the time to pledge to spend many more shekels. Finally, it dawned on Netanyahu that Israel lags Iran in an arms race. Yesterday, Netanyahu announced that Israel must increase its defense spending by 'many billions immediately and then many billions every year' to counter the threat from Iran that 'has intensified in recent weeks.'”

WE ARE TALKING HERE ONLY CONVENTIONAL MUNITIONS BEING EMPLOYED AND NO ATOMIC WEAPONS. AT LEAST NOT YET!

ARE YOU READY FOR A RUMBLE? APOCALYPTIC VISIONS OF WAR THAT CANNOT BE DENIED?

P.S. Within context see my previous blog entry https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/06/95.html that amount of firepower the Iranian and Hezbollah has amassed in case of conflict with Israel. And is prepared to use. Not merely a hollow threat.

coolbert.


Negotiate.

This is coolbert:

It is with much trepidation that I make this post. But here goes.

As extracted from: "A Jewish Editorial" a portion of which entitled: "Negotiating with NATO" by Rabbi Dov Fischer and without any commentary on my part.

"NATO is our friend." 

"They also rip off America. They have been ripping us off forever. We saved their butts — before there even was a NATO — in World War I. They messed up, and 116,456 Americans had to die to save their butts. Then they messed up again for the next two decades because West Europeans are effete and so obsessed with their class manners and their rules of savoir faire and their socialist welfare states and their early retirements that they did not have the character to stand up to Hitler in the 1930s. Peace in our time. So they messed up, and we had to save their butts again. And another 405,399 Americans died for them during World War II. And then we had to rebuild them! And we had to station our boys in Germany and all over their blood-stained continent. So, hey, we love those guys. We love NATO. And yet they still rip us off. We pay 4% of our gigantic gross domestic product to protect them, and they will not pay a lousy 2% of their GDP towards their own defense. Is there a culture more penny-pinching-cheap-and-stingy than the fine constituents of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization? These cheap baseborn prigs will not pay their fare. They are too cheap. They expect America to send boys to die for them in one world war, then another — hundreds of thousands — and then to pay for their NATO defense even a century later. And then they have the temerity to cheat us further in trade. Long before Trump, they set up tariffs against us for so many things If the average American knew how badly Europe has been ripping us off for decades with their tariffs, no one in this country would buy anything European again. We would say, as a matter of self-respect and personal pride, 'I no longer will buy anything but American, no matter what it costs.'”


"Every American President has complained about the cheating and imbalance — the NATO penny-pinching-cheapness, the tariff and trade imbalances. In more recent years, the various Bushes complained about it. Even Obama complained about it. But they all did it so gently, so diplomatically. They would deliver the sermon, just as the pastor predictably tells the church-goers on Sunday morning that he is against sin, and the Europeans would sit quietly and nod their heads — nodding from sleeping, not from agreeing — and then they would go back out and sin some more. Another four years of America being suckered and snookered. All they had to do was give Obama a Nobel Peace Prize his ninth month in office and let Kerry ride his bike around Paris. So Trump did what any effective negotiator would do: he took note of past approaches to NATO and their failures, and correctly determined that the only way to get these penny-pinching- cheap baseborn prigs to pay their freight would be to bulldoze right into their faces, stare them right in their glazed eyes with cameras rolling, and tell them point-blank the equivalent of: 'You are the cheapest penny-pinching, miserly, stingy, tight wadded skinflints ever. And it is going to stop on my watch. Whatever it takes from my end, you selfish, curmudgeonly cheap prigs, you are going to pay your fair share. I am not being diplomatic. I am being All-Business: either you start to pay or, wow, are you in for some surprises! And you know what you read in the Fake News: I am crazy! I am out of control! So, lemme see. I know: We will go to trade war! How do you like that? Maybe we even will pull all our troops out of Europe. Hmmm. Yeah, maybe. Why not? Sounds good. Well, let’s see.' So Trump stuffed it into their quiche-and-schnitzel ingesting faces. And he convinced them — thanks to America’s Seedier Media who are the real secret to the 'Legend That is Trump' — that he just might be crazy enough to go to trade war and to pull American boys home. They knew that Clinton and Bush x 2 and Kerry and Hillary and Nobel Laureate Obama never would do it. But they also know that Trump just might. And if they think they are going to find comfort and moderating in his new advisers, John Bolton and Mike Pompeo, alongside him…. Nuh-uh. So CNN and the Washington Post and all the Seedier Media attacked Trump for days: He is destroying the alliance! He attacks our friends! Baloney. Obama was the one whom the Left Echo Chamber… never called out for attacking our friends — Israel, Britain, so many others — while cozying up to Hugo Chavez, bowing to dictators, and dancing the tango for Raul Castro. Trump is just the opposite: He knows who the friends are, and he wants to maintain and strengthen those friendships. It is no different from a parent telling a 35-year old son: 'I have been supporting you for thirty-five years. I put you through college by signing four years and $100,000 PLUS in Loans. You graduated college fifteen years ago. For fifteen years I have been asking you nicely to look for a job and to start contributing. Instead, you sit home all day playing video games, texting your friends on a smartphone I pay for, and picking little fuzz balls out of your navel. So, look, I love you. You are my flesh and blood. But if you are not employed and earning a paycheck — and contributing to the cost of this household — in six months, we are throwing you out of the house.' That boy is NATO. Trump is Dad. And all of us have been signing for the PLUS Loans."

The editorial opinion piece of Rabbi Dov actually quite longer. I  have only extracted and posted that portion relevant to NATO. Comments of Rabbi Dov quite germane within the context of the previous blog entry and item # 2 as applies to NATO spending.

coolbert.



Saturday, November 9, 2019

Annegret.

This is coolbert:

Brain death as meaning no leadership at the top? Devoted readers to the blog will have to decide for themselves. From a variety of sources.

1. "France’s Macron says NATO is experiencing ‘brain death’"

"French President Emmanuel Macron said he believed NATO was undergoing 'brain death,' lamenting a lack of coordination between Europe and the United States and unilateral action in Syria by key member Turkey"

FRENCH TROOP DEPLOYMENTS IN NE SYRIA OF MAJOR CONCERN TO THE FRENCH. ONE NATO PARTNER LEAVES [USA], THE FRENCH LEFT HIGH AND DRY ALSO AT THE MERCY OF ANOTHER NATO PARTNER [TURKEY].

2. "Germany commits to NATO spending goal by 2031 for first time"

"BERLIN (Reuters) - Germany will reach a NATO defense spending target by 2031, its defense minister said, missing a 2024 deadline agreed by the allies who are under heavy U.S. pressure to beef up their military budgets."

"Defense Minister Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer said Germany would spend 2% of its economic output on defense by 2031, belatedly reaching the goal set by NATO leaders at a 2014 summit"

Goal as I understand the meaning of the word something to be worked toward but not an absolute MUST achieve. So we wait with bated breath as they say. 2031 here we come.

coolbert.


Friday, November 8, 2019

Base.

This is coolbert:

"The plan is the base from which all change is made."

How many times do I have to say it?

Northeast Syria a dynamic situation necessitating a dynamic change.

From the latest edition of the DEBKAfile newsletter:

1. "US races Russia for military positions in NE Syria, including new air bases"

6 November.

"A large influx of US troops is entering northeastern Syria this month as new Russian plans keep pace. The Trump administration was widely condemned for abandoning the US allied Kurds, the core of the Syrian Democratic Forces which defeated ISIS and opening the door for Iran to surge across the Iraqi-Syrian border. However, a DEBKAfile investigation uncovers a totally different reality. While US contingents were indeed withdrawn from their Syrian bases to Iraq, US troop replacements have been pouring in and continue to arrive in northeastern Syria. While retaining existing bases, new positions are being set up, including two or more new US air bases, and taking over Syria’s oil and gas fields."

2. "Russian lawmaker: US to build two military bases near Syrian oilfields"

6 November.

"Senior Russian lawmaker accuses the US of planning to build two military bases near Syria’s oilfield, a violation of its sovereignty, in an attempt to recoup the costs of US military operations in the country. The charge was leveled by Konstantin Kosachev, a member of Russia’s upper house of parliament and chairman of the foreign affairs [committee]."

Comment:

IN MY ESTIMATION THE "SEIZURE" OF THE OILFIELDS THOSE INSTALLATIONS NOT FOR THE ENRICHMENT OF THE USA BUT TO BE USED AS BARGAINING CHIPS IF AND WHEN NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN ASSAD AND THE SDF/YPG BEGIN. AN AMICABLE SOLUTION ARRIVED AT IN AN AMICABLE MANNER.

See my previous blog entry from over a year ago the withdrawal of American military force from NE Syria as was described at the time to be planned, phased, gradual and with consideration given to modification as the situation might warrant.

coolbert.



Tuesday, November 5, 2019

Abominable.

This is coolbert:

Nine-dash line! Chinese territorial claims in the South China Sea again the source of controversy. Here we go again.

The moment I saw this as reported on television I knew this was good material for a blog entry.

"Abominable: anger grows over controversial map in Chinese children's film"

"Three countries object to animated movie scene showing Chinese territorial claims in South China Sea"

"The film 'Abominable' has sparked tensions in the region over a map that shows China’s nine-dash line"


AN ANIMATED FILM FOR CHILDREN AND SUCH A FUSS? THIS IS WHAT MAKES FOR INTERNATIONAL INTRIGUE.

See previous blog entries as germane:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/03/india-pakistan.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2012/11/stamps-maps.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2014/06/insets.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2012/11/passport.html

"All men are brothers, like the seas throughout the world; So why do winds and waves clash so fiercely everywhere?" - - Hirohito.

Seas to include the South China Sea? It is just an animated movie for children, isn't it?

coolbert.



Burn.

This is coolbert:

The future is now? At least to an extent! 6th generation jet fighter! 

Thanks to the tip from Jay:

"F-35 stealth fighter jets on fast track to receive laser-based offensive and defensive capabilities"

"The Air Force Research Lab and Office of Naval Research are currently developing fast and precise laser weapons that can 'burn holes' through enemy targets at the speed of light. Concurrently, the U.S. Navy is developing a laser-application for its Marine Corps F-35B, intended to effectively maintain the stealth fighter for future decades of war"

See previous blog entries the subject the Sixth Generation fighter plane and directed energy weaponry:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/07/dew.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/06/sixth-i.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/07/growth.html

coolbert.



Monday, November 4, 2019

NES II.

This is coolbert:

NES = Northeast Syria.

Conclusion!

From the blog of the acerbic and iconoclastic Carlton Meyer his comments regarding the American withdrawal from Syria and the alleged abandonment of the Syrian Kurd YPG.

"Oct 14, 2019 - The Results of Stupidity in Syria"

"The fake news about Syria in the American media is based on three lies."

* "First, the Kurds [YPG] are not American allies."

* "Second, the fleeing Kurdish terrorist army [YPG] will not leave a gap that ISIS will fill".

* "Third, Trump didn’t green light anything."

Devoted readers to the blog need to read the whole entry for themselves.

AND WITH SPECIAL EMPHASIS ON AN ASPECT OF LIE # 3 AS IDENTIFIED BY CARLTON MEYER!

* "The Turks have more air power in the region and resistance was futile."

See prior blog entries. Turkish air force their combat capability severely diminished in the aftermath of the 2016 purge. Front-line combat aviators, staff and command personnel all gone. Personnel crucial and now the ranks of such persons decimated.

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/03/f-16-turkey.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/05/purge.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2018/06/doomed.html

coolbert.


NES I.

This is coolbert:

NES = Northeast Syria.

Appreciations and scenarios as to how the endgame may play out. Syria, Kurds, Turk, Russian.

Thanks to the Russian Internet media outlet Sputnik.

"Three Scenarios of How Kurds, Turkey and Damascus Could Solve Northeast Syria Crisis"

"According to various reports, Kurdish forces have been withdrawing from the 120-kilometre (75 miles) wide and 30-kilometre (20 miles) deep Turkey-proposed 'safe zone' in north-eastern Syria. However, the situation on the ground is changing rapidly, international observers say, describing scenarios of further developments in the region."

APPRECIATIONS AND SCENARIO AS SUGGEST BY EXPERTS THE DEVOTED READER TO THE BLOG WILL HAVE TO READ FOR THEMSELVES.

"The plan is the base from which all change is made." "War is too important to be left to the generals." "War is politics by other means." Etc.

coolbert.



Friday, November 1, 2019

Caleb.

This is coolbert:

Lots of red here. Alarmist? I guess time will tell. Better safe than sorry too.

From the latest edition of the DEBKAfile news letter the threat of Iranian precision missiles and drones not denied.

WE BE NOT ABLE?

1. "US Mid-East forces relocate out of Iranian cruise missile range. The IDF begins overhaul"

 29 October.

"The US like Israel has no adequate answer for Iran’s cruise missile and drones . . . Tehran is deploying those missiles against Israel in Yemen, as well as Iraq, Syria and Lebanon . . . This alarming gap in US and Israeli defenses shot into sight in Iran’s Sept. 14, attack on Saudi oil infrastructure. Those cruise missiles were not only undetected but proved an unknown precision guidance capacity of 5-10 m. [fifteen to thirty feet] . . . The Pentagon is moving sensitive elements out of range"

Sensitive elements as listed to include the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier and CENTCOM air force and intelligence command posts 

WE BE ABLE?

 2. "Israel’s Air Force chief: Our air defenses ready for Iranian cruise missiles, drones" 

 31 October.

 "Air Force Commander Maj. Gen. Amikam Nurkin made his first public comment on Wednesday about the danger of Iranian cruise missiles and exploding drones. Addressing graduates of the course on anti-air defense systems, Nurkin said: The Arrow, Yahlom, David’s Sling and Iron Dome batteries are on high alert. 'Our defense challenges have grown in complexity in the face of the boosting of Iran’s rockets by the addition of attack drones and cruise missiles.'”

"'We can't attack those people; they are stronger than we are.' 'The land we explored devours those living in it. All the people we saw there were of great size. We saw the Nephilim there . . . We seemed like grasshoppers in our own eyes, and we looked the same to them.'" — Numbers, 13:31-33.

As it was over three thousand years ago as it is now? The moral as to the physical is three to one?

coolbert.


Thursday, October 31, 2019

Harried.

This is coolbert:

In finality as a response to the challenge as posed by the Colonel USMC.

That Israeli perspective the American "retreat" from Syrian SDF/YPG territory. That "retreat" as deemed the subject of many recent blog entries too numerous to list.

"US retreat from Syria likely prevented war with Iran"

RETREAT TOO HARSH A TERM. A PLANNED AND PHASED WITHDRAWAL ALMOST A YEAR IN THE MAKING. RETREAT SUGGESTIVE OF A BEATEN AND ROUTED ARMY.

"Trump has learned the lessons of history"

"President Trump’s executive command decision likely has saved thousands of American soldiers' lives".

ISRAELI CONCERNS MOST MARKED AND IN CONTEXT WITH THE PREVIOUS BLOG ENTRY.

See also an additional blog entry the topic Iranian activities and intentions in the area:

"Soleimani primes pro-Iranian militias in Syria and Iraq for terror attacks on exiting US forces"

"American troops will not be allowed in a manner without being harried constantly. Chased and constantly set-upon is the hope of the commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards."

The late Colonel David Hackworth rating the Iranian as # 1 threat to the USA. Ideological hatred of an implacable nature hardly diminished by a period of decades. Iran too their missile force combined with a potentiality of atomic munitions most worrisome.

coolbert.



Wednesday, October 30, 2019

Sprinkling.

This is coolbert:

Within context I was going to suggest that Israel and Iran both represent the eight-hundred pound gorilla in the room but that phrase not so totally 100 % accurate.

The Syrian Civil War the role of foreign interventionists and the proxies forces of foreign interventionists undeniable.

Furthermore this blog entry also as a continuation of the challenge as posed by the Colonel USMC.

CONSIDER NOW THE INTERESTS AND AGENDA OF FOREIGN INTERVENTIONISTS AND THEIR PROXIES IN THE SYRIAN CIVIL WAR TO BE NOW A DRIVING FACTOR IN THE CONFLICT.

Especially I have in mind the UNREPORTED, UNHERALDED AND UNDECLARED WAR between Israel and the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps [IRGC]. Iran making liberal use in a variety of ways their subordinate proxies.

See a merely sprinkling of previous blog entries as germane:

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/09/joint.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/08/brigade-45.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/08/beirut.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/08/zap.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/07/biggest.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2019/06/95.html

A war consisting of Israeli air strikes against IRGC targets, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon.

Israeli Air Force [IAF] destroying weapons depots, weapons factories, attempting to deny the Iranian the land-bridge between Iran/Iraq/Syria/Lebanon.

From the Israeli perspective Iranian conspiracy and intrigue in the region constitute an EXISTENTIAL THREAT!! Conspiracy and intrigue as integral to all aspects of the Syrian Civil War!

coolbert.



Underwear.

This is coolbert:

Autopsy! Jihadi! Abu Bakr!

One again thanks to the tip from Freeper:

"Kurdish General: Informant Stole ISIS Leader al-Baghdadi’s Underwear for U.S."

"A Kurdish general [SDF/YPG] revealed Monday that an informant stole the underwear of ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi to prove to his credibility U.S. intelligence . . . Gen. Mazloum Abdi of the Syrian Democratic Forces, said his intelligence unit had a source who was privy to the layout of al-Baghdadi’s secret compound near the Turkish border."

DNA evidence desirable. Confirm with 100 % assurance that the Caliph is indeed dead. A nasty business but within the realm of counter-insurgency [COIN] that now seems to be standard procedure.

Confirm or deny also the validity of an intelligence source.

Forensics as was reputedly done also on Osama bin Laden. A stool sample obtained. To determine if Osama indeed needed dialysis treatment on a regular basis as an intelligence source has reported. Totally 100 % confirmation to the identity of Osama a plus.

Bona fides in the field of intelligence most important!

coolbert.


Tuesday, October 29, 2019

Deteriorate.

This is coolbert:

FROM ONLY TODAY AND AS WE SPEAK TURKISH INCURSION INTO SYRIAN SOVEREIGN TERRITORY HAS GONE FROM BAD TO WORSE!

Thanks here to the tip from Freeper the original story as seen at the English tabloid The Daily Mail:

"Syrian and Turkish armies open fire on each other for the first time since Erdogan [tr]"

"Syrian and Turkish armies opened fire on each other today for the first time since Ankara began its incursion against the Kurds. Artillery and machine-gun fire was exchanged near the village of Assadiya, south of the border town of Ras al-Ain, the Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said. Six Syrian soldiers were killed, according to the war monitor. President Bashar al-Assad had bolstered Kurdish strongholds in northern Syria after Turkey's Recep Tayyip Erdogan began his offensive on October 9 to establish a 75-mile wide, 20-mile deep buffer zone."

Turkey a member of NATO. Turkey able to invoke Article Five of the NATO charter? All other constituent members of the alliance must now come to the aid of Turkey? I doubt that will happen but this is a potential escalation of hostilities without question. Russian mediation will be crucial in settling this dispute and further conflict. So we hope. Syria the situation can deteriorate and do so very rapidly.

coolbert.


Thierry.

This is coolbert:

Anti-state•anti-war•pro-market. Some most recent articles from the LewRockwell.com Internet web site and thanks to same.

The French perspective Rojava/NE Syria thanks to Thierry Meyssan courtesy his Voltairenet.org Internet web site.

1. "Kurdistan, Imagined by French Colonialism".

2. "The Turkish Invasion of Rojava".


* Anadola Agency has found that the French army is actively engaged in Syria in nine different spots. * Even in the event of a U.S pullout from Syria, France said it would continue supporting YPG/PKK terror groups with its roughly 200 troops in the war-torn country. * French troops in Syrian seem almost totally dependent on the U.S. capabilities. * France is far from being capable of filing in for the U.S. military presence should the latter withdraw. Click on image to see a larger view.

U.S. CAPABILITIES AS TO MEAN PREDOMINANTLY LOGISTICAL SUPPORT.

Among the fighters of the Islamic State [ISIL] many French citizens. French determined to not allow those French citizens adherents to the cause of the Islamic State to return home. French presence and determination in the SDF/YPG Syrian Kurd region deemed as absolutely vital to French interests and security.

Even with the U.S troops withdrawal from Rojava French troops will remain?

Hardly I need to remind France as with Turkey constituent members of NATO. Turks and French at odds also hardly a recommended situation.

coolbert.



Monday, October 28, 2019

UAV Idlib.

This is coolbert:

Responding once more to the challenge as posed by the Colonel USMC.

Incursions of Turkish regular army troops south of the Turkish/Syrian border hardly a rarity. That most recent threat as posed to Syrian YPG not a random and unique occurrence. Threat to Syrian/Russian/SDF/YPG as emanating from Turk proxies and associated terrorist groups existing and have existed for some time.

Intervention of the Russian or American using diplomacy also not unusual.

Turkish machinations in the area in part to restore to some degree [even if minor] territories once within the sovereign territory of the old Ottoman Empire? The Sultan [Erdogan] does indeed have megalomaniac aspirations?

See previous blog entries as germane to the topic:

"Drone attack on Russian bases in Syria came from Turkish-backed rebels – MoD"

"Turkey warns Damascus not to send troops to Afrin"

"Trump's Syria envoys arrive in ME: US says no to Idlib offensive"

DIPLOMACY AND A NEGOTIATED SETTLEMENT TO THE SYRIAN CIVIL WAR A MUST. AGREED UPON IN AN AMICABLE MANNER BY ALL WARRING PARTIES! FOREIGN INTERVENTIONISTS INCLUDED. HOW SUCH A NEGOTIATED SETTLEMENT WILL OCCUR I CANNOT SAY BUT NO OTHER MEANINGFUL SOLUTION POSSIBLE. !

Not American troops remaining in the area for another thirty years at the least!!

coolbert.





Buffer.

This is coolbert:

More from the latest edition of the DEBKAfile newsletter.

And also once again in the response to the challenge as posed by the Colonel USMC.

THAT SITUATION VIS-A-VIS THE TURK, THE SDF/YPG NOT SO DIRE. NOT A MILITARY OPERATION ON THE PART OF THE TURK THE OBJECT THE ANNIHILATION OF THE KURD YPG AS WAS FEARED. INTERVENTION OF THE RUSSIAN CRUCIAL.

1. "Russian forces take over America’s N. Syria bases, E. Syrian airspace, and concern for Kurds"

21 October.

"When President Vladimir Putin meets Recep Erdogan at Sochi on Tuesday, Oct. 22, Russian special forces will be moving into evacuated US positions in N. Syria, including the big Tabqa air base."

"Tabqa can accommodate Russian bombers and air cargoes and is located for complete control of eastern Syria, including the Kurdish regions and the Syrian Iraqi border, excepting only the US garrison at al Tanf which sits athwart the intersection of the Syrian, Iraqi and Jordanian borders."

"This changeover was almost certainly coordinated between Washington and Moscow, like all the military steps emanating from the Turkish operation against the Kurds of N. Syria. With responsibility now for the Kurds, Putin will avoid the charges leveled against Trump of abandoning an ally against ISIS to Turkish genocide."

2. "Putin forces Erdogan to call off Turkey’s operation against the Kurds in NE Syria"

22 October.

"Six hours of discussion in Sochi ended in a deal between President Vladimir Putin and President Recep Erdogan for a buffer zone, a halt in Turkey’s operation in NE Syria and its pullback from the country,

"Their [Erdogan and Putin] memorandum of understanding has five main points:

1.    Russia agreed to remove the Syrian Kurdish YPG militia to beyond 30 km [19 miles] from the Turkish border, after which their troops will jointly patrol a narrow 10km [6 miles] deep 'safe zone.'
2.    From Wednesday, Russian military police and Syrian border guards will facilitate the removal of YPG members and weapons to beyond the zone within 150 hours
3.    This truce would be extended as of Wednesday noon.
4.    Syrian Kurds would remain in Ras al-Ayn and Tal Abyad, which Turkish forces never captured, but leave Tal Rifaat and Manjib.
5.    The Turkish army therefore terminates its current operation against the Kurds."

3. "Erdogan notifies Trump that Turkey’s Syria operation is over"

23 October.

"Turkish president Recep Erdogan informed President Donald Trump on Wednesday, after meeting Russia’ Vladimir Putin, that he has ended his military operation in northern Syria and pulled Turkish troops out. Trump responded by revoking the sanctions applied against Turkey last week, while warning Ankara that the sanctions would snap back with increased harshness if Turkish forces renew their attacks on the Kurds of northern Syria."

SYRIAN KURDISH YPG FIGHTERS REMOVED FROM THE BORDER AREA WITH TURKEY. A BUFFER ZONE CREATED. TURKISH FEARS ALLAYED! IS THIS A BAD THING?

coolbert.

Sunday, October 27, 2019

Action.

This is coolbert:

"The plan is the base from all change is made."

We don't want war but!

Additional headline from the latest edition of the DEBKAfile newsletter. And continuing yet further and still more with response to the challenge as made by the Colonel USMC.

"Pompeo: Trump prepared for military action against Turkey if necessary"

22 October.

"Secretary of State Mike Pompeo told a CNBC: 'We prefer peace to war, but you should know that President Donald Trump is fully prepared to take military actions against Turkey in Syria if necessary.'
 As he [Pompeo] spoke, more than 1,000 US troops were pulling back from bases in Syria to western Iraq."

CONSIDER THE POSSIBLE RAMIFICATIONS OF A MILITARY SHOWDOWN AND OUTRIGHT COMBAT BETWEEN AMERICAN AND TURKISH MILITARY FORCES. CONSTITUENT MEMBERS OF NATO AT ODDS TREATY MEMBERS IN CONFLICT WITH ONE ANOTHER MUCH TO THE DETRIMENT OF EVERYONE!

MILITARY ACTION WITH CONTEXT OF CONTINUAL ATTACK ON THE SYRIAN KURD AND SDF FIGHTERS OF AN OVERWHELMING NATURE BEYOND EXPECTATIONS.

USA MILITARY WAS PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF AND WHEN TURKISH INCURSIONS BECAME BEYOND CERTAIN

Intervention of American military forces on behalf of the Syrian Kurds and SDF fighters if and when it was to occur fraught with danger of the most extreme kind.

INCIRLIK AIR BASE, AMERICAN AIR FORCE PERSONNEL, ATOMIC WEAPONS.

American military personnel held hostage and the possible compromise of atomic weaponry.

Compromise in the sense if the atomic munitions needed to used, those weapons not accessible.

SEE FROM A PREVIOUS BLOG ENTRY THE COMMENTS OF THE TURKISH TELEVISION JOURNALIST IBRAHIM KARAGUL REGARDING THOSE NUCLEAR WEAPONS.

[that those atomic weapons at a minimum were not removed a long time ago is amazing to me. Surely planners could perceive the danger a compromise of such munitions would pose. OH, I am sure the Sultan [Erdogan] in Angora [Ankara] would like to get his hands on those bombs.]

SEE ADDITIONALLY PREVIOUS BLOG ENTRIES INCIRLIK, ATOMIC WEAPONS, THE TURKISH CONNECTION.:

"Erdogan locks US airmen, nuclear arms in Incirlik"

"Rushed evacuation of US nukes from Incirlik"

"Ankara threatens to ground US fighters at key Turkish air base"

"Erdogan says Turkey should have nuclear weapons like Israel"

Beware, greatly beware.

coolbert.



Abu Bakr.

This is coolbert:

Major headlines. Good news. The self-proclaimed caliph and head of the Islamic State [ISIL] his demise is not greatly exaggerated!!

As from CNN see the total coverage and the responses from various sources:

"Trump: ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi is dead"

Also as reported by the outstanding Internet web site isegoria.net and as announced by President Trump:

"He [Abu Bakr] died after running into a dead end tunnel, whimpering and crying and screaming all the way. The compound had been cleared by this time with people either surrendering or being shot and killed. Eleven young children were moved out of the house and are uninjured. The only ones remaining were Baghdadi in the tunnel and he had dragged three of his young children with him. They were led to certain death. He [Abu Bakr] reached the end of the tunnel as our dogs chased him down. He ignited his vest, killing himself and the three children. His body was mutilated by the blast."

My comments:

1. It will be suggested that Abu Bakr was not really killed. The body as purported to be Abu Bakr was blown to bits and positive identification is impossible.

2. It will also be suggested that this raid and demise of Abu Bakr is a publicity stunt. As ordered by President Trump to create distraction from the on-going impeachment inquiry.

Whatever transpires in the future the murderous despot has met his end much as did another murderous despot seventy-four years ago. And we can thank the American Special Operations troops for a job well done.

coolbert.


Saturday, October 26, 2019

Plan.

This is coolbert:

"The plan is the base from which all change is made!"

Continuing with yet still more with regard to the withdrawal of American troops from the Northeast [NE] are of Syria. Additionally in response to the challenge as posed the Colonel USMC.

All times courtesy the latest edition of the DEBKAfile newsletter.

1. "Esper: US troops withdrawing from Syria to relocate in Iraq"

18 October.

"US Defense Secretary Mark Esper said on Saturday night that all of the nearly 1,000 troops the US is pulling out of northern Syria are to be re-positioned in western Iraq to continue the campaign against Islamic State (ISIS) and 'to help defend Iraq.'”

As was planned from almost one year ago.

"2. Iraqi trucks evacuate US Syrian bases, some equipment trashed"

21 October.

"Western and Syrian reporters witnessing the US pullback from the embattled areas of northern Syria report that convoys of 100 Iraqi trucks each are transporting the contents of the bases to western Iraq, escorted by US military APCs. The abandoned bases were described as containing dorms, shooting ranges, a command center, a communications hub, vehicle repair workshops, training areas, a medical clinic and entertainment and sports areas. The departing US troops have been blowing up and trashing large quantities of documents, computers, signaling systems, weapons and ammunition."

3. "Trump backtracks on N. Syria: Some US troops to stay, one air base retained"

24 October.

"Only some of the thousand US troops on their way out of northern Syria will leave. Others will remain 'to keep the Bashar al-Assad regime and Iranian forces away from Syria’s oil fields.'”

"DEBKAfile reports that the airfield is at Rmeilan, in the Kurdish province of Hasaka opposite the Iraqi border. A US air force presence there will provide a base for American attack helicopters and armed drones to retain control over North Syrian air space and its border with Iraq . .  Both bases will be guarded by several hundred US special forces, who will also counter counter ISIS forces trying to make a comeback. Trump’s backtrack allays some of Israel’s concerns about Iran gaining an open door from Iraq into Syria."

The plan is the base from which all change is made!

American ground troops as withdrawing from the Rojava area hardly doing with any consideration to planning or with total disregard for SDF/YPG allies. Anything but that.

THE PLAN IS THE BASE FROM WHICH ALL CHANGE IS MADE. THE GREATER THE NUMBER OF ASSUMPTIONS MADE, THE GREATER THE CORRECTNESS OF THOSE ASSUMPTIONS AND YOU NEED LITTLE ALTERATION TO THE ORIGINAL PLAN. PLAN HOWEVER ALMOST NEVER SUBJECTED TO SOME SORT OF CHANGE, DYNAMICS DEMANDING OTHERWISE. WAR IS OFTEN DESCRIBED AS CHAOS. MORE CORRECTLY UNDERSTAND WAR AS CONTROLLED CHAOS?

coolbert.


Friday, October 25, 2019

Unprecedented.

This is coolbert:

Chinese? Chinese military in Syria? Chinese?

Could it be so? Sounds almost preposterous!

Still more a response to the challenge as posted by the Colonel USMC.

PLA = Peoples Liberation Army.

That aspect of the Syrian Civil War the presence of so many foreign interventionists and proxies of foreign interventionists.

Potentially add the Chinese military [PLA] to that long list of foreign interventionists. Chinese their concern the TIP [Turkistan Islamic Party]. Chinese nationals, ethnic Uighur. TIP as deemed a TERRORIST organization.

See previous blog entries regarding same:

"Thousands of Chinese elite troops head to Syria to combat Uighur Islamists"

"Chinese Ambassador To Syria: We Are Willing To Participate 'In Some Way' In The Battle For Idlib Alongside The Assad Army"

"China to join Idlib offensive, took part in Russian Mediterranean drill"

NO CHINESE DEPLOYMENT OF MILITARY FORCES BEYOND THE CHINESE BORDERS [EXCEPTION KOREA] IN SIX HUNDRED YEARS. SUCH AN EXPEDITIONARY FORCE ALLOW THE CHINESE TO DEMONSTRATE GLOBAL REACH AND ALLOW THEIR MILITARY TO GAIN VALUABLE COMBAT EXPERIENCE.

coolbert.


TIP II.

This is coolbert:

TIP of the iceberg? Continuing yet again with a response to the challenge as posed by the Colonel USMC.

The situation in Rojava [Northeast Syria] and the danger to the combat and civilian elements of the [Syrian Democratic Forces [SDF] and the Kurdish ethnic group [YPG] greatly ameliorated by a cease-fire and truce as negotiated between the Turk and Russian?

Rojava and the American military withdrawal apparently only secondary now to the machinations for good or bad of various world powers that have an interest in the area. World power politics in action.

HARDLY HOWEVER IS THIS CURRENT CEASE-FIRE/TRUCE UNIQUE. PREVIOUS CEASE-FIRE/TRUCE THE ROJAVA REGION HAVE BEEN IMPLEMENTED BETWEEN THE WARRING FACTIONS, THE SUBJECT OF A PREVIOUS BLOG ENTRY.

The Sultan [Erdogan] in Angora [Ankara] his motivations now as in the past threefold:

1. Resettle Syrian Arab refugees in that northern part of Syria as controlled by the Turkish military and Turkish proxy forces. 2. Eliminate the military threat to Turkey as posed by the YPG fighters. 3. Guarantee a safe haven for ethnic Turk Uighurs as now and for sometime occupying abandoned Syrian villages.

See also previous blog entries the subject Uighurs in Syria:

"Uighur Syria!"

"Chinese Uighur Settlers Flow into Syria, Replacing War Refugees"

TIP THE TURKISTAN ISLAMIC PARTY [TIP] UIGHUR COMBATANTS AS SUPPORTED BY TURKEY AND ALLIED WITH THE AL NUSRA FRONT AN AFFILIATE OR AN OFF-SHOOT OF AL QAEDA.

THE TIP OF THE ICEBERG AND IT IS ALL SO COMPLICATED, ISN'T IT? A GOOD REASON FOR THE USA TO STAY OUT OF THE FRAY?

coolbert.





Thursday, October 24, 2019

Border.

This is coolbert:

Continuing with blog entries in response to the challenge as issued by the Colonel USMC.

Understand fully well the Syrian Civil War perhaps that most complex and convoluted conflict in human history. Only the Russian Civil War and the Spanish Civil War from recent times compares? And before that The Thirty Years War additionally?

The Syrian Civil War as characterized by a myriad of warring factions internally and the presence of foreign interventionists on a large-scale. Foreign interventionists often employing proxy forces to do their dirty work. A most complicated situation exacerbated by the rise and apparent fall of the Islamic State [ISIL].

Indeed, the Syrian Civil War has become not merely an internal struggle for power in Syria but more importantly now the war as a venue for world power competition. World powers and aspiring world powers each having their own agenda and goals, conflicting.

The Syrian Civil War has the potential to become a much larger regional war with global ramifications that can only be guessed at but in all cases detrimental to a healthy world economy.

Within such a context consider: 1. "War is too important to be left to the generals." 2. War is politics by other means."

With regard to the latest developments in Northeast [NE] Syria and the withdrawal of American troops the contention being that the Kurds being left high-and-dry consider my prior blog entries.

That Syrian Democratic Front [SDF] and Syrian Kurdish militia [YPG] hardly it can be said abandoned as we normally, generally and commonly understand the word abandon to mean.

A SDF/YPG Border Force of 30,000 troops trained and well-armed. Albeit I might think no armor and no artillery. But with an organic air defense capability [as provided by USA] that can prove crucial.

Border Force also consisting of combat experienced and successful fighters, of proven mettle and having on previous occasions having repelled concerted Turkish action.

1. "US and Syrian Kurds setting up 30,000-strong border force"

2. "YPG/USA/SDF/FSA II."

3. "Erdogan can't deliver on his threats to drive out Syrian Kurdish militia"

THE SULTAN [ERDOGAN] IN ANGORA [ANKARA] HAVE BEGAN AN ILL-CONSIDERED MILITARY OPERATION THAT DOES NO ONE ANY GOOD. HARDLY I THINK HOWEVER SO CALAMITOUS AS THOUGHT.

Devoted readers to the blog let me hear from you on this topic. I eagerly await your reply.

This war to be settled by negotiated settlement of the locals and not imposed by foreign interventionists. Let us hope for the best. Nobody ever said any of this was going to be easy.

coolbert.


Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Rojava.

This is coolbert:

Here begins a series of blog entries a response to a challenge as posed by the Colonel USMC.

The most recent withdrawal of American special operations forces from north Syria [Rojava to the Kurdish ethnic group] now seen as extremely controversial.

Withdrawal as described with lurid language. Retreat! Abandonment! Bug-out! Sell-out! Betrayal! Unplanned! Precipitous! Pell-mell! Back stab! Doesn't sound as if it could be any worse.

Retreat as the subject of articles from a variety of sources with universal condemnation so it seems.

1. "U.S. soldiers who fought alongside Kurds blast Trump's Syria retreat"

2. "James Mattis On Trump’s Syria Withdrawal: ‘Re-Instilling Trust Is Going To Be Very Difficult’"

3. "Fearing US abandonment, Kurds kept back channels wide open"

4. "Turkey, Syria, the Kurds, and Trump’s Abandonment of Foreign Policy"

Now for the rest of the story. Retreat? Abandonment? Bug-out? Sell-out? Betrayal? Unplanned? Precipitous? Pell-mell? Back stab? NO!

From over a year ago now see my prior blog entry. The withdrawal of American special operations units in Northeast [NE] Syria planned and announced well in advance.

"The US will still 'maintain a presence' after troop pullout from NE Syria"

"Following the backlash from President Trump’s decision to withdraw US troops from NE Syria, senior administration officials Friday night, Dec. 21 offered Mid East leaders clarifications for allaying their concerns."

Additionally as was announced from a year ago:

* American presence to be diminished but not totally eliminated.
* Withdrawal of American combat units not to be precipitous but phased.
* Further Turkish intervention not to be so extreme as anticipated.
* Allied forces [Iraqi] in the region positioned for rapid reaction if needed.

In finality from my perspective consider: 1. American military units not abandoning the Kurds. Rather the opposite. Ever since the First Gulf War [1991] U.S. troops guaranteeing within the Kurdish Autonomous Zone protection from outside attack. 2. What exact alternative exists to the withdrawal of American military units from NE Syria? Sovereign territory of a sovereign nation-state occupied by a foreign power [USA] uninvited! American troops remaining in place for thirty years more?

Devoted readers to the blog let me hear from you on this one. More on this topic to follow. Much more.

coolbert.




Foxbat.

This is coolbert:

From over fifty years ago. The high-speed Soviet warplane that scared the pants off of NATO.

A threat as perceived by NATO awesome but only with hindsight found to be lacking?

From Sputnik:

"Gotta Go Fast: MiG-25 Fighter Jet Frightened NATO With its Insane Velocity, US Media Reveals"

"The military aircraft, created in 1964 still remains faster than any other fighter plane even from the fourth and fifth generations."

"The world's fastest fighter jet, the MiG-25 (NATO reporting name Foxbat) frightened the US and its NATO allies when it was designed by the Soviet Union, according to the military-themed portal We Are the Mighty."

Foxbat indeed capable of Mach 3 flight. Seen as a distinct and formidable threat to NATO air superiority.

However the mission and threat as posed by Foxbat poorly understood by NATO military intelligence.

Foxbat strictly designed as an interceptor warplane the mission of which was to get really high really fast and shoot down an intruding American supersonic bomber aviation. An American supersonic bomber threat that never materialized. [B-70 Valkyrie supersonic bomber prototypes flown but never manufactured]

Foxbat as rather deployed and among the assets the Soviet PVO Strany. Air defense of the Soviet homeland.

FOXBAT NOT AN AIR SUPERIORITY FIGHTER PLANE OR MULTI-ROLE COMBAT-AIRCRAFT. NOR HAVING THE RANGE TO DELIVER ANTI-SHIP MISSILES THE TARGET NATO WARSHIPS IN THE GREENLAND-UK GAP.

Foxbat a reconnaissance version observed in Mach 3 flight. A single pass over Israel.

FOXBAT IN THE AFTERMATH OF THE MISSION OVER ISRAEL THE PLANE SCRAPPED, SO MUCH DAMAGE DONE TO THE ENGINE!

Foxbat becoming Foxhound [MiG-31. Two-seater interceptor warplane still in service.

It is not so much reality that counts but the perception of reality that counts??

coolbert.



Tuesday, October 22, 2019

Presence.

This is coolbert:

Backstab?

"The US will still 'maintain a presence' after troop pullout from NE Syria"

As was originally posted 22 December of last year but has now been updated with regard to most recent developments.

"Following the backlash from President Trump’s decision to withdraw US troops from NE Syria, senior administration officials Friday night, Dec. 21 offered Mid East leaders clarifications for allaying their concerns."

Clarifications as perhaps most needed in the case of those coalition forces as allied with the American military in the struggle with the Islamic State.

In particular the SDF [Syrian Democratic Forces] and even further and more pertinent the Kurdish fighters that comprise the bulk [?] of the SDF combat forces. Without the Kurds the battle against the Islamic State could not have won? A debt of gratitude is owed all SDF combatants.

The great fear the back-stab as deemed. A hasty and ill-thought-out American withdrawal placing the SDF in great danger.

* American presence to be diminished but not totally eliminated.
* Withdrawal of American combat units not to be precipitous but phased.
* Further Turkish intervention not to be so extreme as anticipated.
* Allied forces [Iraqi] in the region positioned for rapid reaction if needed.

coolbert.


China Idlib.

This is coolbert:

NOT in almost six hundred years has such a thing occurred!

Chinese marines poised and ready? The assault on Idlib if and when it occurs to include Communist Chinese military contingents?

Continuing from the latest edition of the DEBKAfile newsletter.

"China to join Idlib offensive, took part in Russian Mediterranean drill"
   
10 September.

"Chinese warships, fighter jets and bombers took part in the big week-long Russian naval exercise in the eastern Mediterranean that ended on Saturday, Sept. 8 . . .  It was Beijing's first military participation in the seven-year Syrian war and it has been kept under close wraps by Moscow, Washington and Jerusalem. Our military sources report that 3,500 Chinese marines are on standby for flights to Syria to join the Russian-Iranian-Syrian campaign for retaking Idlib province from rebel hands . . . Beijing has a special interest in this campaign in view of the strong presence among the jihadist groups holed up in Idlib of several thousand Uighur Islamists . . . members of the banned Turkistan Islamic Party . . . Al Qaeda's branch in China."

NOT SINCE THE FIFTEENTH CENTURY HAVE CHINESE MARINES GONE INTO COMBAT SO FAR FROM HOME! IDLIB OF CONCERN  TO BEIJING THOSE UIGHUR COMBATANTS NOMINALLY CHINESE NATIONALS.

coolbert.


Demonstrations.

This is coolbert:

WE NEARLY LOST THE PRESIDENT THAT DAY. PRESIDENT OF THE USA. Commander-in-Chief [CiC] of the armed forces.

Demonstrations of naval firepower for the CiC of the American military gone awry. The President nearly being killed. TWICE!

1. "Tyler narrowly escapes death on the USS Princeton".

"Naval gun of prodigious power but not fully tested exploding during a demonstration for President Tyler of the USA. Tyler surviving almost as a miracle. Persons on-deck at the time many killed and wounded."

Read the whole thing.

2. "THE IOWA INCIDENT, 14 NOVEMBER 1943"

"USS Iowa battleship fired on by friendly escorting vessel. Naval weapons live fire demonstration for President Franklin Roosevelt."

Live torpedo armed and directed at the USS Iowa. Iowa able to take evasive action, President Roosevelt unscathed.

SUCH WAS THE FEAR THAT THIS WAS AN ASSASSINATION ATTEMPT ON THE LIFE OF PRESIDENT ROOSEVELT!

Read the whole thing.

Item # 1 I was well aware of. Item # 2 not so. Close call in either case. Weapons of whatever nature loaded or otherwise normally not allowed in the vicinity the President. [exception of course in the instance of the Secret Service protective detail]

coolbert.



Additions.

This is coolbert:

See my previous blog entries here, here and here the topic of which was the future of the battleship in the ancient and venerable form, a major force in naval warfare.

A modern battleship not armed as say the USS Iowa with sixteen inch turreted guns [406 mm] but rather carrying and reliant on an array of weaponry.

Not included in my list of weaponry as to be found in a modern battleship of the type as envisioned by myself CIWS. Close-in-weapons-support. Of the Phalanx variety. Phalanx demonstrably effective [see previous blog entry] against near-supersonic missiles [GRAD type 122 mm rocket artillery] of a very small cross-section and radar signature.

CIWS also needed to defeat small boat attack of the swarm nature. Mount CIWS on towers so the weapons system has an ability to shoot downwards at incoming surface attacker.

Additionally needed would be some sort of anti-drone defense of the type already deployed/active and found to be effective. Defeat the armed combat drone of whatever type. Organic unit of Marines vital for this mission.

coolbert.


Monday, October 21, 2019

Dreadnought III.

This is coolbert:

See my previous blog entries on the same topic here and here.

From a Russian military Internet web site copied in entirety the posting at a forum by KomissarBojanchev.

"Possibility of return of the Battleship? Empty Possibility of return of the battleship?"

"Do you think building cannon armed dreadnoughts is the answer for future warfare? Giving it an MBT [main battle tank] grade composite armor of massive thickness would make AshMs [anti-ship missiles] nearly useless against it since most have fragmentation warheads only useful against the unarmored CVs [aircraft carriers] and destroyers of today and while HEAT [high-explosive anti-tank] warheads might penetrate its armor it would only affect one compartment of the modern dreadnought and wont do much damage unless it is extremely lucky enough to hit an ammo compartment. Also giving it a respectable CIWS [close-in weapons system] will negate the threat of missiles and bombs even more. While the base range of an average 406mm [sixteen inch] projectile would be only about 40km [twenty-five miles] having using assisted shells will give it range surpassing some AshMs. If a 152mm assisted round can go 80km, a 203mm round might go around 120km [seventy-five miles] imagine how much a will a 400+mm [sixteen inch+] round go! The battleship would expend its ammo a lot slower than a missile armed ship. And if a battleships gun could do heavy damage to an armored WW2 cruiser imagine how volleys of guided 406mm [sixteen inch] shells will pulverize unarmored missile destroyers and carriers. Even so adding missiles will still be a good idea for very long range strikes (the iowas had tomahawks). A modern battleship carrying 460mm [sixteen inch] turrets (and carrying about 1000 rounds) and 16 brahmos [supersonic anti-ship missile] or klub-K [Russian anti-ship missile] missiles would be easily the most powerful ship in the sea. Of course carriers could still be useful but adding a battleship to the task force would make it a lot more powerful."

ANSWERS TO THE QUESTION AS POSED MORE OR LESS UNIFORMLY NEGATIVE.

And thank you KomissarBojanchev.

coolbert.

Saturday, October 19, 2019

MDC2.

This is coolbert:

Multi-Domain Command and Control (MDC2).

From a previous blog entry the question as asked: "Details of this latest modernization not given but said to include and to concentrate on multi-domain warfare. Whatever that includes."

Multi-domain warfare!

From the Internet web site War on the Rocks and for the perusal of the devoted reader to the blog info on multi-domain warfare.

"MULTI-DOMAIN BATTLE: AIRLAND BATTLE, ONCE MORE, WITH FEELING"

"So, what is this Multi-Domain Battle that everyone seems to be talking about? Is it a brave new concept that will carry the day and the Army to a revolution in military affairs? Or is it just AirLand Battle with a dose of cyber?"

See also additional web sites with an index or various articles the topic of which is multi-domain warfare:

https://www.tradoc.army.mil/Multi-Domain-Operations/

https://breakingdefense.com/multi-domain-warfare/

Personally I do not understand and do not pretend to know so.

coolbert.




Friday, October 18, 2019

Overhaul.

This is coolbert:

U.S. Army due for a major overhaul. According to the Russia media outlet Sputnik that is.

Major "overhaul" as has not occurred now in forty years or more? We have to rely on the  Russian Internet media for such reporting.

"US Army Embarks on 16-Year Modernization Program to Match ‘Pacing Threat’ Russia, China"

"The Army’s [USA] latest modernization strategy report revealed they will prioritize countering military developments in China and Russia, the US’ 'pacing threat,' as the branch begins a four-stage plan to become a multi-domain force by 2035.

From over forty years ago it was the concepts and doctrine of AirLand Battle [2000]. A means for NATO defense against a massive Soviet attack [doctrine as not totally confined to NATO also envisioning military operations in the Middle East and Korea employing the same weapons and doctrine].

AirLand to be successful in large measure based on the development and fielding of war-winning weaponry to include:

* Bradley vehicle.

* Abrams tank.

* Apache attack helicopter.

* Patriot air defense missile.

* MLRS. Multiple Launch Rocket System.

AirLand Battle and the weaponry as associated with same proving to be successful. Not only a deterrent against Soviet attack [Big Red moves west] but think also Gulf War I and the destruction of Saddam's army, an action accomplished with relative and surprising ease.

Details of this latest modernization not given but said to include and to concentrate on multi-domain warfare. Whatever that includes. Again the idea deterrence but also having a war-winning formula that combination of weapons and doctrine most vital and having been thought through well in advance.

coolbert.