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UK analysis correct?

"Russia's 'Low Quality' Troops See Spike in Losses: UK"

Newsweek ^ | Dec. 30, 2023 | James Bickerton.

"The analysis said that Russia is on track to suffer 500,000 killed and wounded by the beginning of 2025, a figure dwarfing Russian losses in any other conflict since World War II. Russian troops have spent the past couple of months trying to seize the eastern Ukrainian town of Avdiivka, situated in Donetsk Oblast, though they have made only limited gains..."

That number of 500,000 would include all KIA and WIA total casualties not just those battlefield deaths. You can reasonably assume that approximately 100,000 of that 500,000 will be personnel that have perished.

Given the very rough rule of thumb from the First World War, the various combatants and armies will begin to collapse when the number of deaths to date equals the number of troops still remaining in the field. Consider that the Russians at the time of February 2022 had about 300,000 troops in the field, combined regular army and militia. I would fully suspect the size of the Russian forces in the field right now approximately the same.

300,000 combined military troops regular army + militia of which about 1/3 militia.

By that standard of World War I collapse/decay/disintegration/rot not eminent!

coolbert.