Sunday, July 3, 2022

Tripwire.

This is coolbert:

Russians one, Lithuanians zero. Or is it Russians one, Germans zero?

Rail blockade Kaliningrad lifted. We are all saved!

"EU caves Putin wins, Transportation of Russian goods to Kaliningrad Through Lithuania will resume"

Thanks to "The Conservative Treehouse" ^ | July 2, 2022 | Sundance courtesy the tip Freeper.

"Two weeks ago, a NATO blockade of Kaliningrad, an outpost of Russia, was triggered when Lithuania blocked the transport of goods through Suwalki corridor. According to the Lithuanian justification they were following through on NATO sanctions against Russian goods. However, the escalation was very provocative toward Russia and discussions between Russia and NATO countries were tense. Apparently, Germany was increasingly concerned the blockade was creating a scenario where Russian military were going to escort the transport of railroad goods to Kaliningrad, and that would lead to escalated military conflict with Russia."

GERMAN TROOPS ABOUT A BATTLION OF THEM CURRENTLY STATIONED IN LITHUANIA AS THE NATO "TRIPWIRE" FORCE. NOT SO MUCH AS THE LITHUANIAN CONCERNED AS THE GERMAN CONCERNED!

"tripwire: A tripwire force (sometimes called a glass plate) is a strategic approach in deterrence theory. The tripwire force is a military force smaller than that of a potential adversary, which is designed to signal the defending side's commitment to an armed response to future aggression without triggering a security spiral."

Comments:

* If the German so concerned about their tripwire force Lithuania becoming a tripwire they maybe shouldn't be there in the first place?

* Rail blockade as imposed by the Lithuanian please understand not fully 100 % hobbling to the Russian as perceived. ONLY sanctioned items not permissible to transport from Russia to Kaliningrad via rail So is my understanding.

See prior blob entries as relevant. Blockade of NATO sanctioned items but not essentials: 

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/07/spitzbergen.html

https://militaryanalysis.blogspot.com/2022/06/kaliningrad.html

coolbert.





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